Friendly International
Japan
24 Sep 2026 10:05
Uruguay
Prediction:
Japan to win 1.64
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Japan vs Uruguay Predictions, Picks & Odds – 24/09/2026

Friendly International · Friendlies 1
24 Sep 2026 National Olympic Stadium Louis Hecq

Japan vs Uruguay – Best bets of the match

Bookmaker1X2Bonus info
7bet1.644.004.50Continue
Our prediction
1X: Double Chance Japan or Draw
1.64 on 7bet · Confidence Medium
Odds recorded on 05 Nov 2026 at 15:59 · Odds are subject to change
Competition: Friendly International
Stage: Friendlies 1
Date: 24 Sep 2026
Time: 10:05 UTC
Stadium: National Olympic Stadium

Japan vs Uruguay Preview

Japan approach this friendly in fine fettle, unbeaten on home soil for over three years. Hajime Moriyasu's side enjoyed an impressive World Cup campaign, reaching the Round of 32, and now turn their attention to AFC Asian Cup preparations. A 31-player squad includes two first-time call-ups in Kaina Tanimura and Shuto Nakano. Recent home form reads strongly, with two wins and two draws from their last five outings at the National Olympic Stadium.

Uruguay arrive in Tokyo under new management, with Diego Forlan taking charge for the first time as head coach. La Celeste endured a disappointing World Cup, failing to escape the group stage, and their away form is deeply concerning: winless across their last seven to nine matches on the road. The absence of Federico Valverde through injury is a considerable blow, though captain Jose Maria Gimenez could mark his 100th cap on this Asian tour.

Japan's home record is the cornerstone of this selection. Hajime Moriyasu's side average 1.9 goals scored against just 0.8 conceded per match over the past twelve months, and their recent sequence of three wins and two draws from five outings underlines a consistency that few Asian sides can rival. The home win price at 1.64 reflects that dominance.

Uruguay, by contrast, arrive in Tokyo in dismal travelling form, winless in their last several away fixtures and managing just four draws from five recent results overall. Diego Forlan takes charge for the first time following a disappointing World Cup group stage exit, and the absence of Federico Valverde through injury strips La Celeste of their most influential midfielder. These factors significantly weaken their prospects.

Backing the double chance 1X offers the safest route into this fixture. Japan's fortress record and Uruguay's transitional state under a new coach make a home win or draw the likeliest outcome. The draw at 4.00 provides additional cover should Forlan's side, buoyed by Jose Maria Gimenez's milestone 100th cap, produce a stubborn defensive display. Odds correct at time of publication.

Trends to Know about Japan vs Uruguay

  • Japan unbeaten at home for three years
  • Uruguay winless in recent away fixtures
  • Valverde absence weakens Uruguay midfield depth

Form & Statistics: Japan vs Uruguay

Japan

Recent form

LDWDW
Wins2/5 (40%)
Draws2/5 (40%)
Losses1/5 (20%)

Season statistics (5)

2.5Total goals
43%Both teams score
1.6Goals scored
0.9Goals conceded

Uruguay

Recent form

LDDDD
Wins0/5 (0%)
Draws4/5 (80%)
Losses1/5 (20%)

Season statistics (5)

2.1Total goals
47%Both teams score
1.1Goals scored
1Goals conceded
StatisticJapanUruguay
Last 5 results2W 2D 1L·4D 1L
Avg goals scored1.6·1.1
Avg goals conceded0.9·1.0
Under 2.5 (last 5)2/5·4/5
Probable lineup

Lineups: Japan vs Uruguay

Japan

4-2-3-1
  1. 1 Zion Suzuki
  2. 2 Takehiro Tomiyasu
  3. 3 Ko Itakura
  4. 4 Hiroki Ito
  5. 5 Yukinari Sugawara
  6. 6 Wataru Endo
  7. 7 Ao Tanaka
  8. 8 Takefusa Kubo
  9. 9 Daichi Kamada
  10. 10 Ritsu Doan
  11. 11 Ayase Ueda
  • Keisuke Osako
  • Shogo Taniguchi
  • Ayumu Seko
  • Kaishu Sano
  • Keito Nakamura
  • Junya Ito
  • Koki Ogawa

Uruguay

4-3-3
  1. 1 Santiago Mele
  2. 2 Guillermo Varela
  3. 3 Jose Maria Gimenez
  4. 4 Sebastian Caceres
  5. 5 Mathias Olivera
  6. 6 Rodrigo Bentancur
  7. 7 Giorgian De Arrascaeta
  8. 8 Matías Vecino
  9. 9 Facundo Pellistri
  10. 10 Darwin Nunez
  11. 11 Maximiliano Araujo
  • Matias Vina
  • Agustin Canobbio
  • Federico Vinas
  • Federico Valverde (Grade 3 sprain in left ankle; ruled out of Asian tour to avoid worsening swelling and requires rehabilitation. Could be sidelined for six weeks.)
  • Sergio Rochet (Injury.)
  • Manuel Ugarte (Injury.)

Low confidence

Both lineups carry a speculative tag, with a single source behind each, so the formations shown should be treated as educated guesses rather than settled selections. That said, a 4-2-3-1 against a 4-3-3 shapes up as an intriguing tactical contest, with Takefusa Kubo likely to be the creative fulcrum for Japan in the number ten corridor.

Uruguay's midfield trio will need to contain Japan's press and transition play, and how Darwin Núñez is deployed against a disciplined Japanese backline could prove the defining question of this friendly fixture.

How to Watch Japan vs Uruguay Match?

What time is Japan vs Uruguay?

Japan vs Uruguay kicks off at the National Olympic Stadium on 24 September 2026 at 11:05 BST.

Where is Japan vs Uruguay being played?

This match takes place at the National Olympic Stadium in Tokyo, Japan.

How Can I Watch Japan vs Uruguay on TV and Live Stream?

Check local listings for broadcast details on this friendly international fixture.