UEFA Nations League
Lithuania
27 Sep 2026 14:00
Azerbaijan
Prediction:
Lithuania to win 2.38
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Lithuania vs Azerbaijan Predictions, Picks & Odds – 27/09/2026

UEFA Nations League · 2
27 Sep 2026 Louis Hecq

Lithuania vs Azerbaijan – Best bets of the match

Our prediction
1X: Double Chance Lithuania or Draw
2.38 on Betfred · Confidence Medium
Odds recorded on 25 Sep 2026 at 16:05 · Odds are subject to change
Competition: UEFA Nations League
Stage: 2
Date: 27 Sep 2026
Time: 14:00 BST

Lithuania vs Azerbaijan Preview

Lithuania head into this Nations League D fixture on the back of a win in their most recent outing, offering a timely confidence boost. Their 2026 record shows modest attacking output, though home soil should provide additional impetus. Head coach Edgaras Jankauskas has named a 26-man squad featuring first-time call-up Adrian Lickunas alongside several returning faces, including Vykintas Slivka. A busy schedule sees Lithuania face Liechtenstein three days prior, which could influence selection here.

Azerbaijan arrive with mixed recent form, collecting a win, a loss, a draw, and another victory across their last four outings. Their defensive record in 2026 has been a concern, and they score at a lower rate than their hosts. Preparation includes a friendly against Tajikistan on September 23, giving head coach Fernando Santos a chance to fine-tune his plans before competitive action begins. The head-to-head record between these sides is evenly balanced, with one win apiece and a draw.

Lithuania's home advantage is the cornerstone of our 1X selection. The hosts average slightly more goals per match in 2026 compared to Azerbaijan, whose defensive record away from home leaves much to be desired. With the home side priced at 2.38, there is enough value in covering both outcomes to make the double chance a sensible pick.

Azerbaijan arrive with a mixed run of form, having won two and lost two of their last four outings. Their solitary victory over Lithuania in three previous meetings suggests this is no foregone conclusion, yet the Azeris have struggled to impose themselves on the road. Lithuania's recent recall of experienced heads such as Vykintas Slivka should bolster their squad depth.

The broader context adds intrigue: League D is set to be abolished after this cycle, guaranteeing promotion for all sides involved. That knowledge could ease pressure on both camps, though Lithuania will still want to top the group. Backing the hosts or the draw covers the likeliest outcomes at a combined probability reflected by the home price of 2.38 and the draw at 2.88.

Trends to Know about Lithuania vs Azerbaijan

  • Lithuania average 0.85 goals per match in 2026
  • Azerbaijan concede more frequently away from home
  • Head-to-head record evenly split historically

Form & Statistics: Lithuania vs Azerbaijan

Lithuania

Recent form

L
Wins0/1 (0%)
Draws0/1 (0%)
Losses1/1 (100%)

Season statistics (1)

2.2Total goals
40%Both teams score
0.8Goals scored
1.4Goals conceded

Azerbaijan

Recent form

WWLD
Wins2/4 (50%)
Draws1/4 (25%)
Losses1/4 (25%)

Season statistics (4)

3Total goals
50%Both teams score
0.9Goals scored
2.1Goals conceded
StatisticLithuaniaAzerbaijan
Last 5 results1L·2W 1D 1L
Avg goals scored0.8·0.9
Avg goals conceded1.4·2.1
Under 2.5 (last 5)1/1·3/4

How to Watch Lithuania vs Azerbaijan Match?

What time is Lithuania vs Azerbaijan?

Lithuania vs Azerbaijan kicks off on Saturday 27 September 2026 at 14:00 BST.

Where is Lithuania vs Azerbaijan being played?

The confirmed venue for this fixture is to be determined by the Lithuanian Football Federation.

How Can I Watch Lithuania vs Azerbaijan on TV and Live Stream?

Broadcast details for Lithuania vs Azerbaijan have not yet been confirmed by UEFA or local rights holders.