UEFA Nations League
Türkiye
28 Sep 2026 19:45
Italy
Prediction:
Italy to win 2.40
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Türkiye vs Italy Predictions, Picks & Odds – 28/09/2026

UEFA Nations League · 2
28 Sep 2026 Louis Hecq

Türkiye vs Italy – Best bets of the match

Our prediction
X2: Double Chance Draw or Italy
2.40 on Betfred · Confidence Medium
Odds recorded on 27 Sep 2026 at 00:21 · Odds are subject to change
Competition: UEFA Nations League
Stage: 2
Date: 28 Sep 2026
Time: 19:45 BST

Türkiye vs Italy Preview

Türkiye head into this Nations League fixture with a mixed run of form, having won three of their last five matches but suffering two defeats along the way. The 2026 World Cup proved a bitter disappointment for the Crescent Stars, and they will be eager to channel that frustration into a strong showing on home soil. The absences of Hakan Çalhanoğlu and Kenan Yıldız through injury represent significant losses in creativity and attacking threat.

Roberto Mancini returns to the Italy dugout with a clear mandate: rebuild and restore pride after the Azzurri's failure to qualify for the 2026 World Cup. His revamped squad features nine fresh call-ups, signalling a generational shift. Italy's recent form reads impressively, with three wins and a draw from their last four outings. Injuries to Federico Dimarco and Bryan Cristante are setbacks, though replacements Matteo Ruggeri and Samuele Ricci add youthful depth.

Italy's recent form provides the foundation for backing the draw or away double chance here. The Azzurri have won three and drawn one of their last four outings, a sequence that speaks to growing cohesion under Roberto Mancini's refreshed setup. Türkiye, by contrast, lost two of their recent five, and the absence of Hakan Çalhanoğlu and Kenan Yıldız through injury strips them of creative quality in the final third.

Head-to-head records further tilt the balance towards Italy. Across their most recent meetings, the Azzurri have claimed three victories while conceding just twice, a defensive solidity that Türkiye have struggled to breach. With nine new call-ups, Mancini clearly has depth at his disposal, and the away price at 2.40 reflects genuine bookmaker respect for Italy's credentials in this group.

The draw or away selection captures both realistic outcomes for the visitors. Türkiye's squad is weakened, with five players missing their opening training session and only one Serie A representative, Zeki Çelik, available. Italy's draw odds sit at 3.60, offering additional coverage alongside the away line. This combination represents the strongest angle given the available data.

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Trends to Know about Türkiye vs Italy

  • Italy dominate head-to-head record historically
  • Türkiye missing Çalhanoğlu and Yıldız through injury
  • Italy unbeaten in last four outings

Form & Statistics: Türkiye vs Italy

Türkiye

Recent form

WLLWW
Wins3/5 (60%)
Draws0/5 (0%)
Losses2/5 (40%)

Season statistics (5)

0Total goals
0%Both teams score
0Goals scored
0Goals conceded

Italy

Recent form

WWD
Wins2/3 (67%)
Draws1/3 (33%)
Losses0/3 (0%)

Season statistics (3)

0Total goals
0%Both teams score
0Goals scored
0Goals conceded
StatisticTürkiyeItaly
Last 5 results3W 2L·2W 1D
Avg goals scored0.0·0.0
Avg goals conceded0.0·0.0
Under 2.5 (last 5)2/5·3/3

How to Watch Türkiye vs Italy Match?

What time is Türkiye vs Italy?

Türkiye vs Italy kicks off at 19:45 local time on Sunday 28 September 2026.

Where is Türkiye vs Italy being played?

The venue for this fixture has yet to be confirmed by UEFA.

How Can I Watch Türkiye vs Italy on TV and Live Stream?

Broadcasting details for Türkiye vs Italy have not yet been officially confirmed by UEFA.