Finland vs Belarus Predictions, Picks & Odds – 29/09/2026
Finland vs Belarus – Best bets of the match
Finland vs Belarus Preview
Finland arrive in buoyant mood following a ruthless 7-0 demolition of San Marino, a result that underlined their attacking quality in League C. Joel Pohjanpalo was the standout performer with a hat-trick, while the side's passing accuracy exceeded ninety per cent. Manager Jacob Friis has no fresh injury concerns, and the returns of Glen Kamara and Lucas Bergstrom strengthen his options. Two consecutive losses preceded that rout, so consistency remains the key challenge.
Belarus opened their Nations League campaign with a 2-0 defeat to Albania, a result that exposed their lack of cutting edge in the final third. Viktor Goncharenko's side struggled to create meaningful chances and will need a significant improvement to trouble a confident Finnish outfit. Their recent form offers some encouragement, with a draw and a win from their last two outings prior to this competition. An unchanged lineup is expected as Goncharenko looks for a response.
Finland's home win at 1.67 looks well-founded. Joel Pohjanpalo bagged a hat-trick against San Marino and should lead a confident attack once more. Belarus opened their campaign with a 2-0 loss to Albania, struggling to create chances, and their historical record against Finland offers little comfort: no wins in five previous meetings.
The hosts' dominance in possession and finishing suggests goals. Backing over 2.5 goals at 2.37 carries genuine appeal, particularly given Finland's seven-goal haul last time out and Belarus's defensive fragility against Albania.
A cleaner angle sits with both teams to score no at 1.57. Belarus managed precious little going forward in their opener, and Finland's backline, marshalled with renewed composure, should keep them at arm's length. The combination of Finnish firepower and Belarusian bluntness points firmly towards a comfortable home victory. Odds correct at time of publication.
Trends to Know about Finland vs Belarus
- Finland unbeaten in five against Belarus
- Pohjanpalo's hat-trick form boosts Finnish attack
- Belarus struggled offensively against Albania
Form & Statistics: Finland vs Belarus
Finland
Recent form
Season statistics (2)
Belarus
Recent form
Season statistics (2)
Lineups: Finland vs Belarus
Finland
Starters
- 1 Viljami Sinisalo
- 2 Juho Lähteenmäki
- 3 Samuli Miettinen
- 4 Adam Stahl
- 5 Ville Koski
- 6 Kaan Kairinen
- 7 Onni Valakari
- 8 Adrian Svanbäck
- 9 Leo Walta
- 10 Robin Lod
- 11 Joel Pohjanpalo
Absent
- Naatan Skytta (Knee problems/injury)
- Niklas Pyyhtia (Hand injury)
- Jesse Joronen (Shoulder injury/retired from international duty)
- Oliver Antman (Not selected)
Belarus
Starters
- 1 Fedor Lapoukhov
- 2 Zakhar Volkov
- 3 Kirill Pechenin
- 4 Vladislav Kalinin
- 5 Kirill Gomanov
- 6 Max Ebong
- 7 Aleksandr Selyava
- 8 Evgeni Malashevich
- 9 Valeri Gromyko
- 10 Artem Kontsevoy
- 11 German Barkovskiy
Medium confidence
Both sides line up in a 4-2-3-1 formation, setting up a mirror-image contest in which the battle for midfield control will likely prove decisive. Joel Pohjanpalo leads the Finnish attack, and Finland's double pivot will be tasked with shielding the back four and feeding the creative players ahead of them.
Belarus adopt an identical structure, and their ability to press Finland high and disrupt the home side's build-up play will determine whether they can trouble Sinisalo's goal. With both lineups drawn from multiple credible sources, the tactical picture ahead of this Nations League fixture is reasonably clear.
How to Watch Finland vs Belarus Match?
What time is Finland vs Belarus?
Finland vs Belarus kicks off at 19:45 BST on Monday 29 September 2026.
Where is Finland vs Belarus being played?
The venue for this fixture is yet to be confirmed by UEFA.
How Can I Watch Finland vs Belarus on TV and Live Stream?
Broadcast details for Finland vs Belarus have not yet been confirmed. Check local listings closer to kickoff.
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