UEFA Nations League
Wales
04 Oct 2026 19:45
Denmark
Prediction:
Denmark to win 1.91
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Wales vs Denmark Predictions, Picks & Odds – 04/10/2026

UEFA Nations League · 4
04 Oct 2026 Louis Hecq

Wales vs Denmark – Best bets of the match

Our prediction
X2: Double Chance Draw or Denmark
1.91 on 7bet · Confidence Medium
Odds recorded on 04 Oct 2026 at 03:29 · Odds are subject to change
Competition: UEFA Nations League
Stage: League A, 4
Date: 04 Oct 2026
Time: 19:45 BST

Wales vs Denmark Preview

Wales ended a six-match winless run with a gritty 2-1 victory over Norway on Thursday, though that result owed much to the visitors being reduced to ten men shortly after half-time. Craig Bellamy's side remain in a precarious position in Nations League A, level on three points and staring down the barrel of relegation. The manager made six changes for the reverse fixture in Copenhagen, where his team fell 2-0, and admitted he was "really hurting" afterwards.

Denmark arrive in Cardiff carrying momentum from that comfortable 2-0 win over Wales a week ago, extending their run to four consecutive competitive victories against the Welsh. Their most recent outing, however, was a 4-2 home defeat to Portugal, exposing genuine defensive frailties despite goals from Mikkel Damsgaard and Rasmus Højlund. The Danes have been prolific going forward but alarmingly leaky at the back, conceding seven goals across their last two fixtures.

Denmark's head-to-head dominance over Wales is difficult to ignore. Four consecutive competitive victories, including the 2-0 win in Copenhagen just days ago, paint a clear picture of superiority. Craig Bellamy's side have struggled badly in this group, and while home soil offers some comfort, the Danes possess the quality to frustrate them again.

The double chance covering a draw or Denmark win looks the strongest angle here. Denmark's away odds at 1.91 reflect a side favoured to collect points, and the draw at 3.60 provides a safety net should Wales raise their intensity at Cardiff City Stadium.

Defensively, Denmark have been porous, conceding four against Portugal and three against Norway in recent outings. That vulnerability could see goals at both ends, making both teams to score at 1.62 worth considering alongside the main selection. Wales will throw bodies forward in a must-win relegation battle, but Denmark's attacking firepower through Højlund and Damsgaard should ensure they find the net too. Odds correct at time of publication.

Trends to Know about Wales vs Denmark

  • Denmark won last four competitive meetings
  • Wales winless in six before Norway
  • Denmark's attack scored in every recent match

Form & Statistics: Wales vs Denmark

Wales

Recent form

LD
Wins0/2 (0%)
Draws1/2 (50%)
Losses1/2 (50%)

Season statistics (2)

0Total goals
0%Both teams score
0Goals scored
0Goals conceded

Denmark

Recent form

D
Wins0/1 (0%)
Draws1/1 (100%)
Losses0/1 (0%)

Season statistics (1)

0Total goals
0%Both teams score
0Goals scored
0Goals conceded
StatisticWalesDenmark
Last 5 results1D 1L·1D
Avg goals scored0.0·0.0
Avg goals conceded0.0·0.0
Under 2.5 (last 5)1/2·1/1
Probable lineup

Lineups: Wales vs Denmark

Wales

4-2-3-1
  1. 1 Danny Ward
  2. 2 Neco Williams
  3. 3 Ben Cabango
  4. 4 Ben Davies
  5. 5 Jay Dasilva
  6. 6 Ethan Ampadu
  7. 7 Jordan James
  8. 8 Daniel James
  9. 9 Sorba Thomas
  10. 10 Lewis Koumas
  11. 11 Liam Cullen
  • Mark Harris
  • Cameron Congreve
  • Norrington-Davies
  • Tom King
  • Cornell
  • Josh Sheehan
  • Wes Burns
  • Karl Darlow (Injury.)
  • Joe Rodon (Injury.)
  • Nathan Broadhead (Injury.)
  • Dylan Lawlor (Injury.)
  • Rubin Colwill (Injury.)
  • Isaak Davies (Injury.)
  • David Brooks (Withdrawn from squad.)

Denmark

4-2-3-1
  1. 1 Mads Hermansen
  2. 2 Rasmus Kristensen
  3. 3 Joachim Andersen
  4. 4 Oliver Provstgaard
  5. 5 Joakim Maehle
  6. 6 Morten Hjulmand
  7. 7 Pierre-Emile Hoejbjerg
  8. 8 Gustav Isaksen
  9. 9 Victor Froholdt
  10. 10 Rasmus Hoejlund
  11. 11 Mohamed Daramy
  • Lucas Høgsberg
  • Thomas Jørgensen
  • Adam Daghim
  • Anton Gaaei
  • Andreas Jungdal
  • Mads Bidstrup
  • Victor Bak Jensen
  • Kasper Høgh
  • Victor Nelsson
  • Patrick Dorgu (Injury, forced to withdraw from squad after a first-half injury against Wales on September 27.)
  • Mikkel Damsgaard (Not fit for the match, latest addition to a long injury list.)
  • William Osula (Absentee.)
  • Kasper Dolberg (Absentee.)
  • J. Stage (Absentee.)
  • Andreas Christensen (Absentee.)

Medium confidence

Both sides line up in a 4-2-3-1, setting the stage for a tactically familiar contest. Wales will look to Ethan Ampadu to control the midfield pivot, while Denmark's double six of Hjulmand and Højbjerg offers considerable defensive solidity and the platform for their attacking players to operate.

Denmark's threat through the channels is real, with Rasmus Højlund spearheading a forward line supported by pace on either flank. Wales, compact and organised at home, will need discipline in their defensive shape to contain a Danish side that carries genuine quality across the pitch.

How to Watch Wales vs Denmark Match?

What time is Wales vs Denmark?

Wales host Denmark on Saturday 4 October 2026, with kickoff scheduled for 19:45 BST.

Where is Wales vs Denmark being played?

This fixture is expected to take place at Cardiff City Stadium, the home ground of Welsh football.

How Can I Watch Wales vs Denmark on TV and Live Stream?

Broadcasting details for Wales vs Denmark have yet to be confirmed. Check local listings for coverage information.