UEFA Nations League
Portugal
04 Oct 2026 19:45
Norway
Prediction:
Portugal to win 1.60
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Portugal vs Norway Predictions, Picks & Odds – 04/10/2026

UEFA Nations League · 4
04 Oct 2026 Louis Hecq

Portugal vs Norway – Best bets of the match

Our prediction
2: Norway to win
4.33 on 7bet · Confidence Medium
Odds recorded on 04 Oct 2026 at 02:38 · Odds are subject to change
Competition: UEFA Nations League
Stage: League A, 4
Date: 04 Oct 2026
Time: 19:45 BST

Portugal vs Norway Preview

Portugal enter this Nations League fixture as defending champions, though their recent form has been somewhat inconsistent. Jorge Jesus, appointed in July, oversaw a narrow 1-0 victory over Wales in the opening match, with João Félix netting the winner. Cristiano Ronaldo retained his place but failed to find the scoresheet. The squad's depth remains formidable, with Bernardo Silva, Rafael Leão, and Gonçalo Ramos all available from the bench.

Norway arrive brimming with confidence after a thrilling 3-2 victory over Denmark, where Erling Haaland struck twice. Competing in League A for the first time, this side has evolved considerably, reaching the 2026 World Cup quarter-finals and establishing themselves among Europe's elite. Their recent form reads impressively, with four wins from their last five outings. That momentum, combined with Haaland's ruthless finishing, makes them a genuine threat in Lisbon.

Norway's emergence as a genuine force cannot be overstated. Their quarter-final run at the 2026 World Cup and promotion to League A for the first time signal a side brimming with confidence. Erling Haaland's brace against Denmark in the opener underlines the cutting edge they possess, and their recent form of four wins from five outings is notably stronger than Portugal's mixed sequence of two wins, two draws, and a defeat.

Portugal boast extraordinary squad depth, with the likes of Bernardo Silva, Rafael Leão, and Francisco Conceição available from the bench. Yet Jorge Jesus is still in the early stages of his tenure, and the 1-0 win over Wales hardly inspired conviction. Cristiano Ronaldo's continued presence at 41 offers leadership, but the hosts lacked fluency in their opening fixture, a vulnerability Norway will look to exploit.

The away win at 4.33 represents the value selection here. Norway's superior recent run of results, Haaland's devastating form, and the transitional nature of Portugal under a new manager all tilt the balance. Portugal's defensive record of just 0.6 goals conceded per match is impressive, yet Norway's attacking potency and newfound belief at this level make them a credible pick to claim all three points in this Group A4 clash.

Trends to Know about Portugal vs Norway

  • Haaland's brace highlights Norway's attacking potency
  • Norway unbeaten away in three matches
  • Portugal concede in four of five recent fixtures

Form & Statistics: Portugal vs Norway

Portugal

Recent form

LWDWD
Wins2/5 (40%)
Draws2/5 (40%)
Losses1/5 (20%)

Season statistics (5)

0Total goals
0%Both teams score
0Goals scored
0Goals conceded

Norway

Recent form

LWWLW
Wins3/5 (60%)
Draws0/5 (0%)
Losses2/5 (40%)

Season statistics (5)

0Total goals
0%Both teams score
0Goals scored
0Goals conceded
StatisticPortugalNorway
Last 5 results2W 2D 1L·3W 2L
Avg goals scored0.0·0.0
Avg goals conceded0.0·0.0
Under 2.5 (last 5)3/5·0/5
Probable lineup

Lineups: Portugal vs Norway

Portugal

4-3-3
  1. 1 Ørjan Nyland
  2. 2 Julian Ryerson
  3. 3 Kristoffer Ajer
  4. 4 Torbjørn Lysaker Heggem
  5. 5 Fredrik Aursnes
  6. 6 Martin Ødegaard
  7. 7 Sander Berge
  8. 8 Patrick Berg
  9. 9 Oscar Bobb
  10. 10 Erling Haaland
  11. 11 Andreas Schjelderup
  • David Møller Wolfe (Suspension (red card vs Denmark))

Norway

4-3-3
  1. 1 Diogo Costa
  2. 2 João Cancelo
  3. 3 Rúben Dias
  4. 4 Renato Veiga
  5. 5 Nuno Mendes
  6. 6 João Neves
  7. 7 Vitinha
  8. 8 Bruno Fernandes
  9. 9 Pedro Neto
  10. 10 Cristiano Ronaldo
  11. 11 João Félix

Low confidence

Both sides are expected to line up in a 4-3-3 formation, though these XIs come from speculated sources only, so some caution is warranted before kickoff. The mirror-image shape sets the stage for a contest decided by midfield control, where Martin Ødegaard and João Neves figure to be the creative fulcrums for their respective sides.

Portugal's attacking trident will look to exploit space in behind Norway's backline, while Erling Haaland offers Norway a constant aerial and physical threat inside the box. With both lineups carrying a degree of uncertainty, late changes remain a genuine possibility ahead of the 18:45 kickoff.

How to Watch Portugal vs Norway Match?

What time is Portugal vs Norway?

Portugal vs Norway kicks off at 19:45 BST on Sunday 4 October 2026.

Where is Portugal vs Norway being played?

The venue for Portugal vs Norway is yet to be confirmed by UEFA.

How Can I Watch Portugal vs Norway on TV and Live Stream?

Broadcasting details for Portugal vs Norway will be confirmed closer to the fixture by UEFA and local rights holders.