UEFA Nations League

Greece

04 Oct 2026 19:45

Germany

Prediction:

Germany to win 1.82

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GreeceDraw Germany

Greece vs Germany Predictions, Picks & Odds – 04/10/2026

UEFA Nations League · 4

Our prediction

1X: Double Chance Greece or Draw

3.80 on 7bet · Confidence Medium

Odds recorded on 04 Oct 2026 at 04:00 · Odds are subject to change

Greece vs Germany Preview

Greece have emerged as the surprise package of Group A2, sitting top with seven points from their opening matches. Ivan Jovanovic's side claimed a historic victory over Germany in the reverse fixture, winning 1-0 on 27 September to record their first-ever triumph against the Germans. The loss of Christos Tzolis to a hamstring injury is a blow, though Giorgos Masouras is a capable replacement. Recent results have been mixed, with a loss and a draw in their last two outings.

Germany arrive in Greece seeking revenge after that chastening defeat on home soil. Jürgen Klopp's tenure remains a work in progress; his side sit third in the group on four points, and heavy squad rotation has hampered continuity. There are encouraging signs, however. A composed 2-0 victory over Serbia in their most recent outing gave Klopp his first competitive win as manager, and the quality at his disposal means Germany will fancy their chances of turning this campaign around.

Greece's double chance pick, covering a home win or draw, rests on their commanding group position. With seven points to Germany's four, Ivan Jovanovic's side have earned the right to be respected here. Their historic 1-0 victory in the reverse fixture proved this is no fluke; Greece are organised, disciplined, and capable of frustrating elite opposition. The home price at 3.80 reflects genuine competitiveness.

Germany did secure a morale-boosting 2-0 win over Serbia last time out, their first victory under Jürgen Klopp. Yet Klopp's heavy rotation policy during this international window raises questions about cohesion. A squad still searching for its identity on the road, against a side brimming with confidence, faces a stern examination. The draw at 3.75 looks a realistic outcome.

The loss of Christos Tzolis to a hamstring injury is a blow, though Giorgos Masouras offers a capable replacement. Greece's defensive structure remains their greatest asset, and under 2.5 goals at 2.10 merits consideration given their low-scoring profile in this group. Backing the 1X double chance, supported by the home odds at 3.80, represents the value selection. Odds correct at time of publication.

Trends to Know about Greece vs Germany

• Greece top Group A2 with seven points
• Germany winless in two away fixtures
• Hosts won historic reverse fixture one-nil

Both sides are expected to line up in a 4-2-3-1, setting the stage for a tactically familiar contest in Athens. Florian Wirtz sits at the heart of Germany's attacking midfield, while Greece will look to Vangelis Pavlidis to lead the press and threaten in behind.

Greece's double pivot offers defensive solidity at home, and Nagelsmann's visitors will need to exploit the wider channels to unlock a disciplined Greek rearguard. With both probable XIs drawn from multiple credible sources, the lineups carry reasonable confidence ahead of Sunday evening's kickoff.

How to Watch Greece vs Germany Match?

What time is Greece vs Germany?

Greece vs Germany kicks off at 19:45 BST on Sunday 4 October 2026.

Where is Greece vs Germany being played?

The venue for this fixture is yet to be confirmed by UEFA.

How Can I Watch Greece vs Germany on TV and Live Stream?

Broadcasting details for Greece vs Germany have not yet been confirmed. Check local listings closer to kickoff.