Luxembourg
Estonia
>Luxembourg vs Estonia Predictions, Picks & Odds – 13/11/2026
UEFA Nations League · 5Luxembourg vs Estonia – Best bets of the match
Luxembourg vs Estonia Preview
Luxembourg's Nations League campaign has been a struggle. Jeff Strasser's side have lost their last three group fixtures without finding the net, managing just two goals across four matches. The reverse meeting with Estonia ended in a 1-0 defeat, and their promotion hopes now hang by a thread. Dirk Carlson is suspended, though Tim Hall returns to bolster the defence. Newcomers Patrick Macedo and Farid Ikene offer fresh attacking options.
Estonia arrive in superb form, riding a six-match unbeaten run across all competitions during which they have conceded just a single goal. Jürgen Henn's side boast three clean sheets in four Nations League outings, a defensive record that underlines their organisation and discipline. A win here would consolidate their push for a top-two finish and a potential promotion playoff spot. The visitors carry genuine momentum into this fixture.
Estonia's defensive solidity is the cornerstone of this pick. Three clean sheets in four Nations League outings, with just one goal conceded, speaks to a well-organised side that rarely gives opponents space. Luxembourg, by contrast, have failed to score in their last three group fixtures, managing only two goals across the entire campaign.
The reverse fixture ended 1-0 to Estonia, and little suggests Luxembourg can reverse that outcome here. Jeff Strasser has called up Patrick Macedo and Farid Ikene to address the goalscoring drought, but integrating fresh faces at international level is never straightforward. Dirk Carlson's suspension further weakens the hosts.
Backing the draw or away win reflects Estonia's six-match unbeaten run and Luxembourg's chronic lack of cutting edge. The away price at 3.60 offers genuine value given Estonia's form, while the draw at 3.10 provides additional cover. Under 2.5 goals at 1.57 also merits consideration given both sides' low-scoring tendencies.
Odds correct at time of publication.
Trends to Know about Luxembourg vs Estonia
- Estonia conceded once in four matches
- Luxembourg scoreless in three straight
- Estonia unbeaten across six consecutive fixtures
Form & Statistics: Luxembourg vs Estonia
Luxembourg
Recent form
Season statistics (2)
Estonia
Season statistics
Lineups: Luxembourg vs Estonia
Luxembourg
Starters
- 1 Anthony Moris
- 2 Laurent Jans
- 3 Florian Bohnert
- 4 Vahid Selimovic
- 5 Eric Veiga
- 6 Tomás Cruz
- 7 Enzo Dos Santos
- 8 Omar Natami
- 9 Vincent Thill
- 10 Hamza Kadamani
- 11 Jayson Videira
Bench
- Tim Kips
- Tiago Pereira Cardoso
- Eldin Dzogovic
- Tim Hall
- Enes Mahmutovic
- Miguel Fernandes
- Farid Ikene
- Mathias Olesen
- Sébastien Thill
- Patrick Macedo
- Timothé Rupil
- Aiman Dardari
Absent
- Dick Carlson (Suspension (accumulated yellow cards))
- Christopher Martins (Injury)
- Leandro Barreiro (Thigh injury, sidelined until January 2027)
- Danel Sinani (Injury)
- Seid Korac (Cruciate ligament injury requiring surgery (out for entire Nations League))
- Yvandro Borges Sanches (Injury)
Estonia
Starters
- 1 Matvei Igonen
- 2 Karol Mets
- 3 Maksim Paskotsi
- 4 Erko Jonne Tõugjas
- 5 Rasmus Peetson
- 6 Joseph Saliste
- 7 Kevor Palumets
- 8 Patrik Kristal
- 9 Markus Poom
- 10 Karel Mustmaa
- 11 Mattias Männilaan
Bench
- Karl Jakob Hein
- Karl Andre Vallner
- Frank Liivak
- Michael Schjønning-Larsen
- Tanel Tammik
- Mihhail Kolobov
- Mattias Käit
- Martin Miller
- Mihkel Ainsalu
- Maksimilian Skvortsov
- Marten-Chris Paalberg
Absent
- Rauno Sappinen (Medical reasons)
- Vlasiy Sinyavskiy (Medical reasons)
- Märten Kuusk (Not featuring in squad)
- Markus Soomets (Medical reasons)
- Robi Saarma (Medical reasons / Not featuring in squad)
- Vladislav Kreida (Health reasons)
- Kristo Hussar (Health reasons)
- Tony Varjund (Health reasons)
- Nikita Mihhailov (Health reasons)
- Rocco Robert Shein (Requested not to join national team)
- Soufian Gouram (Accepted call-up to Germany's youth team / Requested to remain with club)
Medium confidence
Luxembourg line up in a 4-2-3-1 against Estonia's 3-5-1-1, a shape designed to crowd the midfield and frustrate the hosts' attempts to play through the lines. Vincent Thill will be central to Luxembourg's ability to dictate tempo from the number ten position.
Estonia's wing-backs will be key to stretching Luxembourg's defensive block, with the visitors relying on width to create openings. Markus Poom operates in the hole behind the lone striker, giving Estonia a creative outlet capable of linking play between a compact midfield and the forward line.
How to Watch Luxembourg vs Estonia Match?
What time is Luxembourg vs Estonia?
Luxembourg host Estonia on 13 November 2026, with kickoff scheduled for 19:45 GMT.
Where is Luxembourg vs Estonia being played?
The venue for this fixture is yet to be confirmed by UEFA.
How Can I Watch Luxembourg vs Estonia on TV and Live Stream?
Broadcasting details for Luxembourg vs Estonia have not yet been confirmed. Odds correct at time of publication.