UEFA Nations League

Albania

12 Nov 2026 19:45

Finland

Prediction:

Albania to win 1.83

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AlbaniaDraw Finland

Albania vs Finland Predictions, Picks & Odds – 12/11/2026

UEFA Nations League · 5

Our prediction

1X: Double Chance Albania or Draw

1.83 on Betfred · Confidence Medium

Odds recorded on 10 Nov 2026 at 20:14 · Odds are subject to change

Albania vs Finland Preview

Albania sit top of Group C1 with nine points from four matches, their three victories giving them a commanding position in the promotion race. That said, their most recent outing ended in a 2-1 defeat to Finland, a result that will sting. Thomas Strakosha remains sidelined with a knee problem, though Etrit Berisha returns from suspension to reclaim the gloves. Midfielder Qazim Laçi is also unavailable due to a thigh injury.

Finland trail Albania by two points in second place, their record of two wins, a draw, and a single loss reflecting a consistent campaign. Their nine goals scored and just two conceded give them the best goal difference in the group, underlining a side that is both clinical and well organised. Glen Kamara and Lucas Bergstrom are back in the fold after injury absences, strengthening the squad for this decisive November fixture in Tirana.

Albania's double chance selection rests on their home advantage at Arena Kombëtare, where the atmosphere can be a genuine factor in tight Nations League fixtures. Leading the group with nine points, Sylvinho's side need only avoid defeat to maintain their cushion over Finland. The return of Etrit Berisha between the posts, after serving his suspension, adds experience at a crucial moment.

Finland pose a real threat, though. Their nine goals scored in four matches represent the group's best attacking output, and their previous victory over Albania demonstrated clinical finishing. Glen Kamara's return strengthens their midfield, yet travelling away from home in a must-win scenario adds pressure that could work against them.

The hosts will miss Qazim Laçi in midfield and Thomas Strakosha in goal, but Albania's overall group form justifies backing them not to lose. The home win price at 1.83 reflects genuine competitiveness, making the 1X double chance a sensible angle. Under 2.5 goals at 1.60 also merits consideration given the stakes involved in this decisive fixture.

Trends to Know about Albania vs Finland

• Albania lead Group C1 with nine points
• Finland scored nine goals in four matches
• Albania conceded three at home this campaign

Both lineups carry a speculated status here, drawn from recent squad patterns rather than confirmed team sheets, so some late changes remain possible. Albania's compact 4-3-1-2 sets up to funnel play through Kristjan Asllani in midfield, with a narrow attacking structure designed to exploit central channels at home.

Finland counter with a more expansive 4-3-3, and the experience of Teemu Pukki and Joel Pohjanpalo up front gives them genuine threat on the break. The 4-3-1-2 versus 4-3-3 shape promises a midfield contest that could define which side controls the tempo in Tirana.

How to Watch Albania vs Finland Match?

What time is Albania vs Finland?

Albania vs Finland kicks off at 19:45 local time on 12 November 2026 in Tirana.

Where is Albania vs Finland being played?

This match will be played at the Arena Kombëtare in Tirana, Albania.

How Can I Watch Albania vs Finland on TV and Live Stream?

Broadcast details for Albania vs Finland have not yet been confirmed. Check local listings closer to kickoff.