La Liga
Atlético de Madrid
16 Sep 2026 18:00
Osasuna
Prediction:
Atlético de Madrid to win 1.44
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Atlético de Madrid vs Osasuna Predictions, Picks & Odds – 16/09/2026

La Liga · 6
16 Sep 2026 Riyadh Air Metropolitano Louis Hecq

Atlético de Madrid vs Osasuna – Best bets of the match

Our prediction
1: Atlético de Madrid to win
1.44 on Betfred · Confidence Medium
Odds recorded on 14 Sep 2026 at 20:06 · Odds are subject to change
Competition: La Liga
Stage: Regular Season, 6
Date: 16 Sep 2026
Time: 18:00 BST
Stadium: Riyadh Air Metropolitano

Atlético de Madrid vs Osasuna Preview

Atlético de Madrid sit sixth in La Liga after a mixed run of form that includes three wins, a draw, and a defeat from their last five outings. The setback came in emphatic fashion: a 3-0 loss at Athletic Bilbao on 5 September, which Diego Simeone blamed on a brief spell of lost concentration. Julián Álvarez made his return from illness as a substitute in that fixture, and his availability at the Riyadh Air Metropolitano will be a significant boost as the hosts look to respond.

Osasuna arrive in Madrid occupying eighth place, though their recent trajectory has been uneven. Two wins and a draw from five matches are offset by a pair of defeats, the most damaging being a 5-2 capitulation away to Deportivo Alavés. Compounding those concerns, midfielder Moi Gómez was diagnosed with a hamstring injury on 8 September and is expected to miss several weeks. That absence weakens an already stretched midfield unit heading into one of La Liga's toughest away fixtures.

Atlético's 3-0 collapse at Athletic Bilbao was a sharp wake-up call, yet Simeone's sides have historically responded well to setbacks at the Metropolitano. Their record of 21 wins from 26 La Liga meetings with Osasuna is formidable, and a home win at 1.44 reflects that dominance. With Julián Álvarez returning to fitness, the hosts should carry enough attacking threat to prevail.

Osasuna arrive in Madrid reeling from a 2-5 hammering at Deportivo Alavés, and the confirmed absence of Moi Gómez through a hamstring injury further weakens their midfield. That loss of creativity and control on the road makes it difficult to envisage the visitors keeping this tight. Under 2.5 goals at 2.10 holds little appeal given both sides' recent defensive frailties.

The value pick sits with a home win combined with over 2.5 goals. Atlético have scored in each of their last four encounters with Osasuna, while the visitors' defensive vulnerabilities were brutally exposed in Vitoria. Backing over 2.5 goals at 1.70 alongside the home victory at 1.44 captures the likeliest outcome from this fixture.

Trends to Know about Atlético de Madrid vs Osasuna

  • Atlético lead head-to-head record 21-5
  • Osasuna missing key midfielder Moi Gómez
  • Hosts won three of last four meetings

Form & Statistics: Atlético de Madrid vs Osasuna

Atlético de Madrid

Recent form

WLWDW
Wins3/5 (60%)
Draws1/5 (20%)
Losses1/5 (20%)

Season statistics (5)

3.2Total goals
40%Both teams score
2Goals scored
1.2Goals conceded

Osasuna

Recent form

LLWWD
Wins2/5 (40%)
Draws1/5 (20%)
Losses2/5 (40%)

Season statistics (5)

2.6Total goals
40%Both teams score
1Goals scored
1.6Goals conceded
StatisticAtlético de MadridOsasuna
Last 5 results3W 1D 1L·2W 1D 2L
Avg goals scored2.0·1.0
Avg goals conceded1.2·1.6
Under 2.5 (last 5)1/5·3/5
H2H, last 4 meetings3 Atlético de Madrid · 0 Draws · 1 Osasuna

Atlético de Madrid vs Osasuna: Head-to-Head

Atlético de Madrid 75 % Draws 0 % Osasuna 25 %

Average statistics (recent meetings)

1.8Total goals
25%Both teams score
1.3Home goals
0.5Away goals
25%Over 2.5 goals
75%Under 2.5 goals

How to Watch Atlético de Madrid vs Osasuna Match?

What time is Atlético de Madrid vs Osasuna?

Kickoff at the Riyadh Air Metropolitano is set for Wednesday 16 September 2026 at 18:00 BST.

Where is Atlético de Madrid vs Osasuna being played?

This fixture takes place at the Riyadh Air Metropolitano, home ground of Atlético de Madrid in the Spanish capital.

How Can I Watch Atlético de Madrid vs Osasuna on TV and Live Stream?

Check local La Liga broadcast listings for live coverage of Atlético de Madrid vs Osasuna in your region.