Belgium vs Italy Predictions, Picks & Odds – 15/11/2026
Belgium vs Italy – Best bets of the match
Belgium vs Italy Preview
Belgium approach this fixture in decent form, having won three and drawn one of their last five outings. Mark van Bommel's side claimed a memorable 2-0 victory over Italy in the reverse fixture back in September, a result that keeps them firmly in contention for the quarter-finals. Jeremy Doku's return from a calf injury is a significant boost, though Thibaut Courtois's absence and Koni De Winter's refusal to join up are notable setbacks.
Italy arrive with momentum, having won both of their recent matches, and sit second in Group 1 on seven points, one ahead of their hosts. Roberto Mancini's squad is bolstered by the expected returns of Federico Dimarco and Bryan Cristante, while several exciting newcomers have earned maiden call-ups. The Azzurri's historical dominance in this fixture is well documented, though that September defeat will sharpen their focus considerably for this crucial encounter.
Italy's recent record against Belgium is compelling. The Azzurri won four of the last seven meetings between these sides and went unbeaten across five consecutive encounters before Belgium's September victory. That result shifted momentum, yet Italy still sit second in the group on seven points, just one ahead of their hosts. With quarter-final qualification at stake, Mancini's squad will be highly motivated to reassert their historical dominance in this fixture.
Belgium welcome Jeremy Doku back from a calf injury, adding pace to their attacking options. However, the absence of Thibaut Courtois between the posts is significant, and Koni De Winter's refusal of a call-up hints at squad disharmony. Italy, by contrast, boast a deep selection; Federico Dimarco and Bryan Cristante are expected to feature, while Nicolò Zaniolo offers further depth. That squad strength tilts the balance towards the visitors.
The draw or away double chance represents the strongest angle here. Italy's away form is flawless in this campaign, with two wins from two, and Belgium's home record, though solid, includes a draw. The away price at 3.20 looks appealing given Italy's pedigree, while the draw at 3.50 provides a safety net. Backing Italy to avoid defeat feels well supported by form, history, and squad quality alike.
Trends to Know about Belgium vs Italy
- Italy unbeaten in five prior meetings
- Belgium missing Courtois between the sticks
- Italy boast four wins from seven clashes
Form & Statistics: Belgium vs Italy
Belgium
Recent form
Season statistics (5)
Italy
Recent form
Season statistics (2)
Lineups: Belgium vs Italy
Belgium
Starters
- 1 Senne Lammens
- 2 Timothy Castagne
- 3 Brandon Mechele
- 4 Nathan Ngoy
- 5 Maxim De Cuyper
- 6 Nicolas Raskin
- 7 Youri Tielemans
- 8 Kevin De Bruyne
- 9 Mika Godts
- 10 Diego Moreira
- 11 Charles De Ketelaere
Absent
- Thibaut Courtois (Taking a break from international duty for the Nations League.)
- Zeno Debast (Leg injury, held out of action by his club.)
- Amadou Onana (Ruptured ACL at the World Cup in July 2026 (long-term injury).)
- Koni De Winter (Refused call-up due to unhappiness about being left on the bench in previous games.)
- Matias Fernandez-Pardo (Illness and limited training.)
- Malick Fofana (Left out of the squad.)
- Lois Openda (Left out of the squad.)
Italy
Starters
- 1 Gianluigi Donnarumma
- 2 Giovanni Di Lorenzo
- 3 Gianluca Mancini
- 4 Giorgio Scalvini
- 5 Riccardo Calafiori
- 6 Sandro Tonali
- 7 Alessandro Romano
- 8 Nicolò Barella
- 9 Nicolò Cambiaghi
- 10 Francesco Pio Esposito
- 11 Moise Kean
Absent
- Manuel Locatelli (Sidelined through injury in September 2026; not included in November squad.)
- Federico Chiesa (Dropped from squad in March 2026 due to injury; not included in November squad.)
Low confidence
Both formations are speculated rather than confirmed, drawn from previous meeting data and squad announcements, so treat the tactical picture as provisional. Should these XIs hold, a 4-3-3 versus 4-3-3 mirror match is anticipated, with Kevin De Bruyne pulling strings in Belgium's midfield three against an Italian engine room built around Nicolò Barella.
The symmetry of the formations places the contest firmly in the middle of the pitch, where Belgium's creative depth and Italy's pressing intensity are likely to prove decisive. With both sides carrying genuine attacking threat across the front line, this Nations League fixture has the makings of an open, competitive affair.
How to Watch Belgium vs Italy Match?
What time is Belgium vs Italy?
Belgium host Italy on 15 November 2026, with kickoff scheduled for 19:45 GMT.
Where is Belgium vs Italy being played?
The venue for Belgium vs Italy is yet to be confirmed by UEFA.
How Can I Watch Belgium vs Italy on TV and Live Stream?
Broadcast details for Belgium vs Italy will be confirmed closer to kickoff by local and international rights holders.
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