Premier League
Brighton & Hove Albion
18 Oct 2026 14:00
Crystal Palace
Prediction:
Brighton & Hove Albion to win 1.53
View odds >

Brighton & Hove Albion vs Crystal Palace Predictions, Picks & Odds – 18/10/2026

Premier League · 7
18 Oct 2026 The American Express Community Stadium Louis Hecq

Brighton & Hove Albion vs Crystal Palace – Best bets of the match

Our prediction
1: Brighton & Hove Albion to win
1.53 on Betfred · Confidence Medium
Odds recorded on 17 Oct 2026 at 18:52 · Odds are subject to change
Competition: Premier League
Stage: Regular Season, 7
Date: 18 Oct 2026
Time: 14:00 BST
Stadium: The American Express Community Stadium

Brighton & Hove Albion vs Crystal Palace Preview

Brighton have been outstanding in the opening weeks of the campaign, sitting third in the table with ten points from five matches. Three consecutive victories have underlined their credentials as genuine top-four contenders, and their attacking output of 3.2 goals per match is complemented by a miserly defensive record of just one conceded per outing. The Amex will be rocking for this south coast derby, and the Seagulls carry serious momentum into the fixture.

Crystal Palace arrive in a far less comfortable position. Fifteenth in the standings with four points from five outings, the Eagles have lost three of their last five league matches and managed only 1.2 goals per match on average. There is some encouragement on the injury front: Jean-Philippe Mateta, Dean Henderson, and Takehiro Tomiyasu are all expected to return, while Ismaïla Sarr is now fit enough to start. Pierre Sage will need every available body for this fierce M23 derby.

Brighton's prolific attack, averaging 3.2 goals per match this season, makes the home win at 1.53 a compelling selection. The Seagulls have won three of their last four league outings at the Amex, conceding just one goal per fixture on average. Crystal Palace, by contrast, have lost three of their last five and sit 15th with a meagre four points.

The M23 derby carries historical tension, and Palace arrive unbeaten in four league meetings with their rivals. Yet Pierre Sage's side have struggled for consistency, scoring only 1.2 goals per match this term. The return of Mateta, Henderson, and Tomiyasu offers a lift, but Palace's away form remains poor and unlikely to trouble Brighton's resolute backline.

Over 2.5 goals at 1.55 looks strong given Brighton's attacking output and Palace's defensive vulnerabilities. Both teams to score at 1.62 also merits consideration; Sarr and Khalaili returning to full fitness could give Palace enough thrust to find the net, even if the hosts ultimately prevail. A home victory with goals at both ends feels the likeliest outcome.

Trends to Know about Brighton & Hove Albion vs Crystal Palace

  • Brighton average 3.2 goals scored per match
  • Palace concede heavily, winning just once in five
  • Brighton's home form features three consecutive victories

Form & Statistics: Brighton & Hove Albion vs Crystal Palace

Brighton & Hove Albion

Recent form

WWWDL
Wins3/5 (60%)
Draws1/5 (20%)
Losses1/5 (20%)

Season statistics (5)

3.8Total goals
33%Both teams score
3Goals scored
0.8Goals conceded

Crystal Palace

Recent form

WDLWL
Wins2/5 (40%)
Draws1/5 (20%)
Losses2/5 (40%)

Season statistics (5)

3.5Total goals
67%Both teams score
1.5Goals scored
2Goals conceded
StatisticBrighton & Hove AlbionCrystal Palace
Last 5 results3W 1D 1L·2W 1D 2L
Avg goals scored3.0·1.5
Avg goals conceded0.8·2.0
Under 2.5 (last 5)2/5·1/5
H2H, last 4 meetings0 Brighton & Hove Albion · 1 Draws · 3 Crystal Palace

Brighton & Hove Albion vs Crystal Palace: Head-to-Head

Brighton & Hove Albion 0 % Draws 25 % Crystal Palace 75 %

Average statistics (recent meetings)

2Total goals
50%Both teams score
0.8Home goals
1.3Away goals
50%Over 2.5 goals
50%Under 2.5 goals

How to Watch Brighton & Hove Albion vs Crystal Palace Match?

What time is Brighton & Hove Albion vs Crystal Palace?

Brighton host Crystal Palace at the Amex on Saturday 18 October 2026, with kickoff set for 2:00 pm BST.

Where is Brighton & Hove Albion vs Crystal Palace being played?

This fixture takes place at the American Express Community Stadium in Falmer, Brighton.

How Can I Watch Brighton & Hove Albion vs Crystal Palace on TV and Live Stream?

Check local listings and your broadcaster's schedule for live coverage of this M23 derby.