Championship

Burnley

19 Sep 2026 15:00

Derby County

Prediction:

Burnley to win 1.83

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Burnley vs Derby County Predictions, Picks & Odds – 19/09/2026

Championship · 8

Our prediction

1: Burnley to win

1.83 on Betfred · Confidence Medium

Odds recorded on 23 Sep 2026 at 19:52 · Odds are subject to change

Burnley vs Derby County Preview

Burnley sit rock bottom of the Championship after a wretched start to life following relegation from the Premier League. Nicky Hayen's side remain winless in eight matches across all competitions, collecting just three draws amid five defeats. The pressure at Turf Moor is palpable, and Hayen has publicly declared that his team "have to win" this fixture. The free-transfer arrival of Jamie Vardy offers a glimmer of hope up front.

Derby County travel to Lancashire in scarcely better shape, sitting 22nd after a dreadful run of three consecutive Championship defeats. John Eustace's squad, which flirted with the playoffs last term, looks a diminished force. Injuries have ravaged their options, most notably the loss of first-choice goalkeeper Jacob Widell Zetterstrom to a knee ligament problem, meaning Josh Vickers is set to deputise. Only one win from their last five outings underlines the Rams' struggles.

Burnley's record against Derby is remarkable: fifteen competitive meetings without defeat since January 2007, including a 2-1 victory in August 2025. That historical dominance carries weight even when form is poor. At Turf Moor, the Clarets should find enough resolve to claim a first win of the campaign, and the home price at 1.83 reflects that expectation. A home win is our primary selection.

Derby's squad has been ravaged by injuries, with John Eustace forced into makeshift selections. Jacob Widell Zetterstrom's knee ligament problem hands the gloves to Josh Vickers, disrupting defensive stability. The Rams have lost three consecutive Championship fixtures and look fragile on the road. Burnley's addition of Jamie Vardy on a free transfer provides a proven goalscorer capable of punishing a weakened backline.

Both sides are desperate for points in this relegation six-pointer, and desperation often breeds open, error-strewn football. With Derby's defensive concerns and Burnley's renewed attacking intent under Nicky Hayen, goals from both ends feel plausible. The both teams to score market at 1.73 offers genuine appeal alongside the home win. Odds correct at time of publication.

Trends to Know about Burnley vs Derby County

• Burnley unbeaten in 15 against Derby
• Derby lost three straight league matches
• Burnley's home advantage at Turf Moor

Both sides line up in a 4-2-3-1, setting the stage for a tactically mirrored contest at Turf Moor. Burnley's double pivot will look to control the tempo in midfield, with Largie Ramazani providing width and directness behind the central striker.

Derby arrive with a similarly structured shape, and Sammie Szmodics operating in the number ten role could prove the key creative outlet for the visitors. The battle between the two midfield pairs is likely to determine which side dictates the afternoon.

How to Watch Burnley vs Derby County Match?

What time is Burnley vs Derby County?

Burnley welcome Derby County to Turf Moor on Saturday 19 September 2026, with kickoff set for 15:00 BST.

Where is Burnley vs Derby County being played?

This Championship fixture takes place at Turf Moor, Burnley's home ground in Lancashire.

How Can I Watch Burnley vs Derby County on TV and Live Stream?

Check your local listings for live coverage of Burnley vs Derby County on Sky Sports or equivalent Championship broadcasters.