Championship
Burnley
02 Sep 2026 20:00
Middlesbrough
Prediction:
Middlesbrough to win 2.50
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Burnley vs Middlesbrough Predictions, Picks & Odds – 02/09/2026

Championship · 4
02 Sep 2026 Turf Moor Louis Hecq

Burnley vs Middlesbrough – Best bets of the match

Our prediction
X2: Double Chance Draw or Middlesbrough
2.50 on Betfred · Confidence Medium
Odds recorded on 01 Sep 2026 at 07:15 · Odds are subject to change
Competition: Championship
Stage: Regular Season, 4
Date: 02 Sep 2026
Time: 20:00 BST
Stadium: Turf Moor

Burnley vs Middlesbrough Preview

Burnley's return to the Championship has been nothing short of torrid. Nicky Hayen's side sit 22nd after collecting a single point from their opening three fixtures, and a humiliating 4-1 defeat to Norwich last time out, compounded by Josh Laurent's red card, has cranked up the pressure on the Belgian coach. Nine goals conceded in three league matches tell their own story. Joe Worrall's return offers some hope, though Zian Flemming's likely departure to Ipswich could further destabilise the squad.

Middlesbrough travel to Turf Moor in outstanding nick, having won four of their five competitive outings to sit fifth in the table with six points. A convincing 3-1 home victory over West Bromwich Albion underlined their growing confidence. Will Lankshear has been sensational since arriving, netting six goals in five appearances, and he will relish the prospect of facing a defence that has shipped goals at an alarming rate. Michael Carrick's men look well drilled and full of belief.

Middlesbrough's early-season momentum makes the draw or away double chance a compelling selection. Boro have won four of their five competitive outings, sit fifth in the table, and boast a potent attack led by Will Lankshear, who has struck six goals in five appearances. The away win at 2.50 reflects genuine value given their current trajectory.

Burnley's defensive frailties strengthen the case further. Nine goals conceded in three league matches points to a side in disarray, and Josh Laurent's suspension following his red card against Norwich only compounds matters. Joe Worrall's return may offer some respite, but a single point from three fixtures tells its own story. The draw at 3.60 remains a realistic fallback given Burnley's unbeaten run in the last eight head-to-head meetings.

Under 2.5 goals at 2.00 warrants consideration too. Despite the headline defensive numbers, Burnley's home matches under Hayen could see a more cautious, compact approach as the new manager attempts to stem the bleeding. Middlesbrough, for all their attacking quality, may settle for controlling possession rather than chasing a high-scoring affair. Odds correct at time of publication.

Trends to Know about Burnley vs Middlesbrough

  • Burnley winless with one point from three
  • Lankshear has six goals in five matches
  • Middlesbrough won four of five outings

Form & Statistics: Burnley vs Middlesbrough

Burnley

Recent form

LDLDD
Wins0/5 (0%)
Draws3/5 (60%)
Losses2/5 (40%)

Season statistics (5)

3.3Total goals
85%Both teams score
1.3Goals scored
2Goals conceded

Middlesbrough

Recent form

WWLWW
Wins4/5 (80%)
Draws0/5 (0%)
Losses1/5 (20%)

Season statistics (5)

2.7Total goals
59%Both teams score
1.5Goals scored
1.2Goals conceded
StatisticBurnleyMiddlesbrough
Last 5 results3D 2L·4W 1L
Avg goals scored1.3·1.5
Avg goals conceded2.0·1.2
Under 2.5 (last 5)2/5·1/5
H2H, last 2 meetings0 Burnley · 2 Draws · 0 Middlesbrough
Probable lineup

Lineups: Burnley vs Middlesbrough

Burnley

4-2-3-1
  1. 1 Max Weiß
  2. 2 Kyle Walker
  3. 3 Anel Ahmedhodzic
  4. 4 Max Alleyne
  5. 5 Connor Roberts
  6. 6 Ugo Raghouber
  7. 7 Hannibal Mejbri
  8. 8 Marcus Edwards
  9. 9 Aaron Ramsey
  10. 10 Jacob Bruun Larsen
  11. 11 Zeki Amdouni
  • Mike Tresor (injury)
  • Manuel Benson (injury)
  • Josh Cullen (injury)
  • Josh Laurent (Red card suspension)
  • Lyle Foster (Muscle Injury (expected mid-September return))
  • Zian Flemming (Injury (also reported to be close to joining Ipswich))
  • Bashir Humphreys (Knee injury)

Middlesbrough

4-2-3-1
  1. 1 Radek Vítek
  2. 2 Callum Brittain
  3. 3 Luke Ayling
  4. 4 Adilson Malanda
  5. 5 Neto Borges
  6. 6 Aidan Morris
  7. 7 Myles Peart-Harris
  8. 8 Morgan Whittaker
  9. 9 Riley McGree
  10. 10 Maximilian Arfsten
  11. 11 Will Lankshear
  • Darragh Lenihan (injury)
  • Jeremy Sarmiento (Injury (forced off against West Brom))
  • Tommy Conway (Muscle injury (recovering from two surgeries, expected mid-September return))
  • Ashley Phillips (Injury)

Medium confidence

A mirror-image 4-2-3-1 versus 4-2-3-1 sets up a fascinating midfield contest at Turf Moor, with Hannibal Mejbri and Ugo Raghouber tasked with controlling the tempo for Burnley against Middlesbrough's industrious double pivot of Aidan Morris and Myles Peart-Harris.

Burnley will look to Marcus Edwards to provide the creativity that unlocks a Middlesbrough backline built around the experienced Luke Ayling, while Will Lankshear leads the line for Michael Carrick's side on what promises to be a tightly contested Wednesday evening fixture.

Burnley vs Middlesbrough: Head-to-Head

Burnley 0 % Draws 100 % Middlesbrough 0 %

Average statistics (recent meetings)

1Total goals
50%Both teams score
0.5Home goals
0.5Away goals
0%Over 2.5 goals
100%Under 2.5 goals

How to Watch Burnley vs Middlesbrough Match?

What time is Burnley vs Middlesbrough?

Burnley host Middlesbrough at Turf Moor on Wednesday 2 September 2026, with kickoff set for 20:00 BST.

Where is Burnley vs Middlesbrough being played?

This fixture takes place at Turf Moor, Burnley's home ground in Lancashire.

How Can I Watch Burnley vs Middlesbrough on TV and Live Stream?

Burnley vs Middlesbrough will be available to watch on Sky Sports in the United Kingdom.