UEFA Nations League
Croatia
06 Oct 2026 19:45
Spain
Prediction:
Spain to win 1.29
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Croatia vs Spain Predictions, Picks & Odds – 06/10/2026

UEFA Nations League · 4
06 Oct 2026 Louis Hecq

Croatia vs Spain – Best bets of the match

Our prediction
X2: Double Chance Draw or Spain
1.29 on Betfred · Confidence Medium
Odds recorded on 05 Oct 2026 at 16:40 · Odds are subject to change
Competition: UEFA Nations League
Stage: League A, 4
Date: 06 Oct 2026
Time: 19:45 BST

Croatia vs Spain Preview

Croatia enter this Nations League fixture under Slaven Bilic's renewed stewardship, having opened their campaign with a 2-1 victory over Czechia. The ageless Luka Modric, now 41, found the net in that match and remains the heartbeat of this side. Their recent form reads as mixed, with two defeats in their last five outings, though three wins offer encouragement. Mateo Kovacic has spoken bullishly about ending Spain's remarkable unbeaten streak.

Spain arrive in formidable shape, boasting five consecutive victories and a staggering 39-match unbeaten run in 90 minutes. Luis de la Fuente's side demonstrated their trademark resilience with a 3-2 comeback against England in their most recent outing. Robin Le Normand has been drafted in to replace the injured Eric Garcia, while Dean Huijsen comes in for the retired Marcos Llorente. Some rotation is anticipated following that demanding fixture against the Three Lions.

Spain's extraordinary 39-match unbeaten run in 90 minutes is the cornerstone of this selection. That streak includes a comprehensive 3-0 dismantling of Croatia at Euro 2024 and a penalty shootout triumph in the 2023 Nations League final. The head-to-head record favours La Roja heavily, with six wins to Croatia's three, and their recent 3-2 comeback against England underlined a squad brimming with resilience.

Croatia possess quality, particularly through the ageless Luka Modric, who remains influential at 41. Mateo Kovacic has spoken bullishly about ending Spain's run, yet confidence alone rarely bridges such a gap. Spain's five consecutive wins contrast with Croatia's more inconsistent form, which includes two defeats in their last five outings. Luis de la Fuente may rotate, but the depth at his disposal is formidable.

The draw or away double chance represents the strongest angle here, backed by Spain's away price at 1.29. Even if Croatia perform admirably at home, Spain's pedigree and form make defeat in normal time highly unlikely. A share of the spoils remains plausible, but the balance of evidence tilts firmly towards the visitors avoiding defeat in this Group A3 clash.

Trends to Know about Croatia vs Spain

  • Spain unbeaten in 39 consecutive matches
  • Spain won six of nine head-to-head meetings
  • Croatia won once in last five encounters

Form & Statistics: Croatia vs Spain

Croatia

Recent form

LWWLW
Wins3/5 (60%)
Draws0/5 (0%)
Losses2/5 (40%)

Season statistics (5)

0Total goals
0%Both teams score
0Goals scored
0Goals conceded

Spain

Recent form

WWWWW
Wins5/5 (100%)
Draws0/5 (0%)
Losses0/5 (0%)

Season statistics (5)

0Total goals
0%Both teams score
0Goals scored
0Goals conceded
StatisticCroatiaSpain
Last 5 results3W 2L·5W
Avg goals scored0.0·0.0
Avg goals conceded0.0·0.0
Under 2.5 (last 5)1/5·3/5
Probable lineup

Lineups: Croatia vs Spain

Croatia

4-3-3
  1. 1 Dominik Livakovic
  2. 2 Josip Stanisic
  3. 3 Luka Vuskovic
  4. 4 Joško Gvardiol
  5. 5 Ivan Perisic
  6. 6 Luka Modric
  7. 7 Mateo Kovacic
  8. 8 Luka Sucic
  9. 9 Mario Pasalic
  10. 10 Ante Budimir
  11. 11 Andrej Kramaric
  • Josip Šutalo
  • Lovro Majer
  • Marin Pongracic
  • Kristijan Jakic
  • Josip Juranovic (Hamstring injury)
  • Martin Erlic (Foot injury)
  • Martin Baturina (Illness)
  • Nikola Vlašić (Ruled out (status from April 2026))

Spain

4-3-3
  1. 1 Unai Simon
  2. 2 Marc Pubill
  3. 3 Pau Cubarsi
  4. 4 Aymeric Laporte
  5. 5 Marc Cucurella
  6. 6 Rodri
  7. 7 Pedri
  8. 8 Fabian Ruiz
  9. 9 Lamine Yamal
  10. 10 Mikel Oyarzabal
  11. 11 Dani Olmo
  • Alejandro Grimaldo
  • Eric Garcia (Left knee discomfort (withdrew from squad))
  • Joan Garcia (Minor knee issue (replaced in squad))
  • Yeremy Pino (Serious shoulder injury (ruled out for 2026 World Cup, no recent update))
  • Gavi (Long-term knee issue (cruciate ligament tear in July 2026))

Low confidence

Both formations are speculated rather than confirmed, so treat the shape of this fixture with appropriate caution. That said, a mirror 4-3-3 contest looks plausible, with Luka Modric anchoring Croatia's midfield against a Spain side built around the returning Rodri, whose presence transforms the visitors' control and tempo.

Croatia will look to exploit wide channels through Perisic and Kramaric, while Spain's front three carries the greater individual quality on paper. The tactical intrigue centres on whether Croatia's midfield trio can disrupt Spain's characteristic positional play before the visitors establish their rhythm.

How to Watch Croatia vs Spain Match?

What time is Croatia vs Spain?

Croatia vs Spain kicks off on 6 October 2026 at 19:45 BST.

Where is Croatia vs Spain being played?

The confirmed venue for this fixture is yet to be announced by UEFA.

How Can I Watch Croatia vs Spain on TV and Live Stream?

Broadcast details for Croatia vs Spain will be confirmed closer to the fixture date.