France vs Sweden Predictions, Picks & Odds – 30/06/2026

World Cup · Round of 32

30 Jun 2026 New York New Jersey Stadium Louis Hecq

France vs Sweden – Best bets of the match

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Bonus info
Betfred	1.29	5.50	11.00	View odds
William Hill	1.26	5.75	10.00	View Odds
Smarkets	1.31	6.20	13.50	View Odds
Matchbook	1.29	6.40	13.50	View Odds
Coral	1.65	2.75	7.00	View Odds

Our prediction

1: France to win

1.29 on Betfred

· Confidence High

Odds recorded on 29 Jun 2026 at 22:25 · Odds are subject to change

France vs Sweden Preview

France have been devastating in this tournament, topping Group I with three consecutive victories and a remarkable goal difference of plus eight. Ousmane Dembélé's hat-trick against Norway capped a 4-1 demolition, while Kylian Mbappé and Michael Olise continue to terrorise defences. Didier Deschamps is reportedly absent for personal reasons, which adds a layer of uncertainty, but the squad's depth and momentum remain formidable heading into the knockout rounds.

Sweden's path to the last 32 was far rockier, qualifying as one of the best third-placed sides from Group F. A thrilling 5-1 rout of Tunisia showcased their attacking threat through Viktor Gyökeres and Alexander Isak, yet a 5-1 hammering by the Netherlands exposed serious defensive frailties. Graham Potter's men drew 1-1 with Japan to scrape through, and assistant coach Sebastian Larsson insists they have nothing to lose as underdogs.

	Betfred	William Hill	Smarkets
France to win	1.29	1.26	1.31
BTTS Yes	2.00	1.95	·

France's attacking firepower makes a home win at 1.29 the standout selection. Les Bleus scored ten goals across three group matches, with Ousmane Dembélé's hat-trick against Norway underlining the depth of quality at Didier Deschamps' disposal. Kylian Mbappé and Michael Olise provide further menace, and this side has conceded just twice in the tournament so far.

Sweden's form offers little cause for optimism. One win, two draws and two defeats from their last five outings paint a picture of inconsistency. That solitary group victory, a 5-1 demolition of Tunisia, was sandwiched between a humbling 5-1 loss to the Netherlands and a draw with Japan. Defensive fragility is a genuine concern against France's frontline.

Over 2.5 goals at 1.50 also carries strong appeal. France averaged over three goals per match in the group stage, while Sweden's fixtures produced an average north of four. With both teams to score priced at 2.00, there is further value given Sweden's willingness to attack through Viktor Gyökeres and Alexander Isak, even if the likely outcome favours France.

Trends to Know about France vs Sweden

France averaged 3.33 goals per group match
Sweden conceded five against the Netherlands
Dembélé's hat-trick highlights French attacking depth

Form & Statistics: France vs Sweden

France

Recent form

WWWWL

Wins4/5 (80%)

Draws0/5 (0%)

Losses1/5 (20%)

Season statistics (5)

3.5Total goals

65%Both teams score

2.3Goals scored

1.2Goals conceded

Sweden

Recent form

DLWDL

Wins1/5 (20%)

Draws2/5 (40%)

Losses2/5 (40%)

Season statistics (5)

4.1Total goals

67%Both teams score

2.7Goals scored

1.4Goals conceded

Statistic	France		Sweden
Last 5 results	4W 1L	·	1W 2D 2L
Avg goals scored	2.3	·	2.7
Avg goals conceded	1.2	·	1.4
Under 2.5 (last 5)	0/5	·	1/5
H2H, last 2 meetings	1 France · 0 Draws · 1 Sweden