Friendly International

Greece

07 Jun 2026 20:00

Italy

Prediction:

Greece to win 2.10

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GreeceDraw Italy

Greece vs Italy Predictions, Picks & Odds – 07/06/2026

Friendly International · Friendlies 1

Our prediction

X2: Double Chance Draw or Italy

3.25 on William Hill · Confidence Medium

Odds recorded on 15 Jul 2026 at 14:49 · Odds are subject to change

Greece vs Italy Preview

Greece approach this friendly in Crete without the consolation of a World Cup place to defend, their qualifying campaign having ended in disappointment. Recent results paint a mixed picture: three outings yielding two draws and a defeat. Ivan Jovanovic's side scraped a 2-2 draw with Sweden on June 4, rescued by a late Giorgos Masouras equaliser, though the coach flagged concerns over concentration lapses and positional discipline within his experimental three-at-the-back system.

Italy arrive in similarly humbling circumstances, also absent from the 2026 World Cup. Interim coach Silvio Baldini, promoted from the Under-21 setup, fields a remarkably youthful squad averaging just 20 years and six months, with 19 of 24 players receiving maiden senior call-ups. Only Gianluigi Donnarumma offers genuine international pedigree. A narrow 1-0 victory over Luxembourg courtesy of Francesco Pio Esposito provided modest encouragement, yet three wins from their last three broader results suggest underlying resilience.

Greece's recent form reads poorly, with two draws and a defeat from their last three outings, and the 2-2 rescue act against Sweden exposed persistent defensive frailties. Italy, by contrast, have won two and drawn one of their most recent three fixtures, maintaining a level of organisation even with a drastically reshaped squad. The quality gap between these two nations at senior level remains considerable, favouring the Azzurri despite their experimental setup.

Silvio Baldini's squad is strikingly youthful, averaging just over 20 years of age, with Gianluigi Donnarumma the only player carrying genuine senior international pedigree. That rawness introduces volatility, yet Italy's 1-0 win over Luxembourg showed this group can grind out results. Greece's frustration at facing what amounts to an Under-21 contingent is understandable, but their own inconsistency makes capitalising on it far from straightforward.

The recommended selection here is the double chance covering a draw or an Italy victory. At 3.25 for the away win and 3.25 for the draw, there is reasonable value in backing Italy not to lose. Greece have beaten the Azzurri only once in their entire head-to-head history, and nothing in their current trajectory suggests that record is about to shift. Odds and markets subject to change.

Trends to Know about Greece vs Italy

• Italy won 8 of last 10 matches
• Greece winless in last three outings
• Italy's squad averages just 20 years old

Both sides line up with confirmed XIs, setting up a tactically intriguing 3-4-1-2 versus 4-3-3 contest. Greece's back three offers defensive solidity and width through the wing-backs, while Christos Tzolis operates in the hole behind a front two, tasked with unlocking Italy's flat back four.

Italy field a notably youthful side, with Gianluigi Donnarumma the clear senior presence behind a back line and midfield built largely from the next generation. Spalletti's successors will be keen to assess whether this blend of emerging talent can impose their 4-3-3 structure against a well-organised Greek defensive shape.

How to Watch Greece vs Italy Match?

What time is Greece vs Italy?

Greece vs Italy kicks off at 20:00 local time on Saturday 7 June 2026.

Where is Greece vs Italy being played?

This match takes place at the Stadio Thódoros Vardinoyánnis in Crete, Greece.

How Can I Watch Greece vs Italy on TV and Live Stream?

Check local listings for broadcast details, as coverage varies by region. Odds and markets subject to change.