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>Italy vs Belgium Predictions, Picks & Odds – 25/09/2026
UEFA Nations League · 1Italy vs Belgium – Best bets of the match
Italy vs Belgium Preview
Italy enter this Nations League campaign with a point to prove after the crushing disappointment of missing the 2026 World Cup. Roberto Mancini's return for a second spell in charge has injected fresh optimism, and early results suggest the Azzurri are responding. Their recent form reads impressively, with three wins and a draw from four outings, and they will fancy their chances of making a strong opening statement on home soil.
Belgium, by contrast, are in a period of significant transition. Mark van Bommel takes charge for the first time, replacing Rudi Garcia, and faces the unenviable task of rebuilding without several pillars of the golden generation. Thibaut Courtois, Kevin De Bruyne, and Romelu Lukaku are all unavailable for this fixture. The Red Devils managed three wins and a draw in their last five, but that solitary defeat and the absence of key personnel raise questions about their readiness.
Italy's recent form makes them the standout side in this fixture. Three wins and a draw from their last four outings reflect a squad that has quickly found cohesion under Roberto Mancini's second spell. Belgium, by contrast, have managed three wins alongside a loss and a draw in five, and Mark van Bommel faces the challenge of shaping a side in transition during his very first match in charge.
The head-to-head record heavily favours the Azzurri, who boast six victories from eight previous meetings with just a single defeat. That historical dominance, combined with the absence of key Belgian figures such as Thibaut Courtois, Kevin De Bruyne, and Romelu Lukaku, tilts the balance further towards the hosts. Van Bommel's 4-3-3 system will need time to bed in.
A home win at 2.10 looks appealing, though the draw at 3.60 offers cover given the early-season uncertainties for both camps. The double chance 1X captures the value here, reflecting Italy's superior form and Belgium's rebuilding phase. Under 2.5 goals at 1.95 also merits consideration in a match where tactical caution could prevail on both sides.
Trends to Know about Italy vs Belgium
- Italy dominant in head-to-head record
- Azzurri averaging 2.17 points per match
- Belgium managing just 1.5 points recently
Form & Statistics: Italy vs Belgium
Italy
Recent form
Season statistics (3)
Belgium
Recent form
Season statistics (5)
How to Watch Italy vs Belgium Match?
What time is Italy vs Belgium?
Italy vs Belgium kicks off at 19:45 BST on Thursday 25 September 2026.
Where is Italy vs Belgium being played?
The venue for Italy vs Belgium is yet to be confirmed, with an official announcement expected in due course.
How Can I Watch Italy vs Belgium on TV and Live Stream?
Broadcast details for Italy vs Belgium will be confirmed closer to the fixture date.