Carabao Cup
Liverpool
28 Oct 2026 20:00
Chelsea
Prediction:
Liverpool to win 2.75
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Liverpool vs Chelsea Predictions, Picks & Odds – 28/10/2026

Carabao Cup · 8th Finals
28 Oct 2026 Anfield Louis Hecq

Liverpool vs Chelsea – Best bets of the match

Bookmaker1X2Bonus info
Ladbrokes2.752.502.75View Odds
Coral2.802.502.80View Odds
BoyleSports2.303.802.38View odds
William Hill2.453.502.50View Odds
Matchbook2.503.902.72View Odds
Our prediction
1X: Double Chance Liverpool or Draw
2.75 on Ladbrokes · Confidence Medium
Odds recorded on 26 Oct 2026 at 21:49 · Odds are subject to change
Competition: Carabao Cup
Stage: 8th Finals
Date: 28 Oct 2026
Time: 20:00 GMT
Stadium: Anfield

Liverpool vs Chelsea Preview

Liverpool arrive at this Carabao Cup eighth-round fixture in robust form, having won four of their last five matches. Their most recent outing, a hard-fought 2-1 victory over Brentford, came at a cost: Dominik Szoboszlai reaggravated a hamstring problem and faces a prolonged absence. Iraola will likely rotate his squad given the congested schedule, with youngsters Lewis Koumas and Trey Nyoni expected to feature prominently under the Anfield floodlights.

Chelsea travel to Merseyside buoyed by four wins and a draw across their last five outings, though Xabi Alonso's preparations have been disrupted considerably. First-choice goalkeeper Emiliano Martinez is sidelined after jaw surgery, meaning young Mike Penders will start between the posts. Doubts also linger over Malo Gusto and Pep Chavarria. Despite those setbacks, Chelsea possess the squad depth to compete, and their recent Carabao Cup final defeats to Liverpool in 2022 and 2024 will sharpen their motivation.

Liverpool's home record underpins our 1X double chance selection. Four victories in five outings reflect a side brimming with confidence, and Anfield remains a fortress under Andoni Iraola. The home win price at 2.75 offers context, though the double chance cushion accounts for Chelsea's own strong recent run of four wins from five.

Chelsea's preparations have been disrupted. Emiliano Martinez's jaw fracture forces Mike Penders into the starting role, while doubts over Malo Gusto and Pep Chavarria thin the squad further. Liverpool have injury concerns of their own, with Dominik Szoboszlai sidelined, but their depth appears more resilient, particularly with Lewis Koumas and Trey Nyoni ready to contribute.

Both managers are expected to rotate given packed schedules, yet Liverpool's squad depth and Anfield's atmosphere tilt the balance. The draw at 2.50 remains a realistic outcome in a tight knockout tie where neither side will take unnecessary risks. Backing the home or draw outcome captures the likeliest scenarios in a fixture shaped by absentees and cup pragmatism.

Trends to Know about Liverpool vs Chelsea

  • Liverpool won four of last five
  • Chelsea missing first-choice goalkeeper Martinez
  • Szoboszlai's absence weakens Liverpool's midfield depth

Form & Statistics: Liverpool vs Chelsea

Liverpool

Recent form

WWWWL
Wins4/5 (80%)
Draws0/5 (0%)
Losses1/5 (20%)

Season statistics (5)

3.5Total goals
58%Both teams score
2.2Goals scored
1.3Goals conceded

Chelsea

Recent form

LWWLD
Wins2/5 (40%)
Draws1/5 (20%)
Losses2/5 (40%)

Season statistics (5)

4.7Total goals
67%Both teams score
2.7Goals scored
2Goals conceded
StatisticLiverpoolChelsea
Last 5 results4W 1L·2W 1D 2L
Avg goals scored2.2·2.7
Avg goals conceded1.3·2.0
Under 2.5 (last 5)1/5·2/5
H2H, last 15 meetings3 Liverpool · 7 Draws · 5 Chelsea
Probable lineup

Lineups: Liverpool vs Chelsea

Liverpool

4-2-3-1
  1. 1 Alisson
  2. 2 Araujo
  3. 3 Jacquet
  4. 4 Van Dijk
  5. 5 Kerkez
  6. 6 Gravenberch
  7. 7 Mac Allister
  8. 8 Ngumoha
  9. 9 Wirtz
  10. 10 Gakpo
  11. 11 Isak
  • Wataru Endo (suspended)
  • Dominik Szoboszlai (injury)
  • Jeremie Frimpong (injury)
  • Federico Chiesa (suspended)
  • Hugo Ekitiké (injury)
  • Victor Muñoz (Injury.)
  • Conor Bradley (Injury.)
  • Giovanni Leoni (Injury.)

Chelsea

4-3-3
  1. 1 Penders
  2. 2 Disasi
  3. 3 Silva
  4. 4 Colwill
  5. 5 Chilwell
  6. 6 Caicedo
  7. 7 Fernandez
  8. 8 Palmer
  9. 9 Sterling
  10. 10 Neto
  11. 11 Mudryk
  • Jamie Gittens (injury)
  • Emiliano Martínez (injury)
  • Reece James (injury)
  • Roméo Lavia (suspended)
  • Emmanuel Emegha (Known unavailability (injury).)

Low confidence

A 4-2-3-1 against a 4-3-3 shapes up as the tactical frame for this Carabao Cup tie at Anfield, with Florian Wirtz operating behind Alexander Isak in Liverpool's probable setup. The Reds' midfield axis of Gravenberch and Mac Allister will look to control the tempo against a Chelsea side with genuine quality through the centre.

Chelsea's formation carries a caveat: their XI remains speculated rather than confirmed, drawn from recent patterns and injury context rather than multiple credible sources. That uncertainty makes it difficult to read Enzo Maresca's precise intentions, though Cole Palmer is expected to feature prominently in behind the front line.

Liverpool vs Chelsea: Head-to-Head

Liverpool 20 % Draws 47 % Chelsea 33 %

Average statistics (recent meetings)

4Total goals
100%Both teams score
2.3Home goals
1.7Away goals
83%Over 2.5 goals
17%Under 2.5 goals

How to Watch Liverpool vs Chelsea Match?

What time is Liverpool vs Chelsea?

Liverpool host Chelsea at Anfield on Wednesday 28 October 2026, with kickoff set for 20:00 BST.

Where is Liverpool vs Chelsea being played?

This fixture takes place at Anfield, Liverpool's iconic home ground on Merseyside.

How Can I Watch Liverpool vs Chelsea on TV and Live Stream?

This match will be broadcast live on Sky Sports in the United Kingdom.