World Cup
Mexico
19 Jun 2026 02:00
Korea Republic
Prediction:
Home win 1.95
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Mexico vs Korea Republic Predictions, Picks & Odds – 19/06/2026

World Cup · 2
19 Jun 2026 Guadalajara Stadium Louis Hecq

Best odds to bet on Mexico vs Korea Republic

Our prediction
1X: Double Chance Mexico or Draw
1.95 on Betfred · Confidence Medium
Odds recorded on 17 Jun 2026 at 03:49 · Odds are subject to change
Competition: World Cup
Stage: Group Stage, 2
Date: 19 Jun 2026
Time: 02:00 BST
Stadium: Guadalajara Stadium

Mexico vs Korea Republic Preview

Mexico are in formidable form heading into this Group A clash, unbeaten in their last five outings with four wins and a draw. Co-hosts and group leaders, El Tri opened their World Cup campaign with a confident victory over South Africa at the Guadalajara Stadium. Javier Aguirre faces a defensive puzzle, however, with César Montes suspended and Julián Quiñones a doubt after limping off in the opener. Edson Álvarez is expected to slot into central defence.

South Korea sit second in Group A after a resilient comeback win against Czechia, where super-sub Oh Hyeon-gyu struck the decisive goal. Their recent form reads impressively with three consecutive victories before suffering two defeats, and Hong Myung-bo's side will need that fighting spirit in Guadalajara. Off-pitch distractions linger following a media rift involving captain Son Heung-min, while midfielder Bae Jun-ho remains doubtful with an ankle complaint that limits his movement.

Mexico's double chance selection rests on a compelling foundation. The hosts have won four of their last five matches and sit top of the group, while their World Cup record against South Korea is flawless with two victories from two meetings. At Guadalajara, with a fervent home crowd behind them, Javier Aguirre's side carry a psychological edge that the odds at 1.95 reflect.

South Korea's recent form gives pause; two defeats in their last five suggest vulnerability, and the off-pitch turmoil surrounding the media rift could prove a distraction. César Montes' suspension forces Mexico into a defensive reshuffle, yet Edson Álvarez dropping into central defence offers quality cover. The doubt over Julián Quiñones is a concern, though Alexis Vega provides a capable alternative.

Backing the 1X double chance covers both a Mexico win and a draw, offering solid protection. The home win price at 1.95 anchors this selection, and with Mexico's dominant head-to-head record and home advantage, the value sits firmly with the hosts avoiding defeat. Odds and markets subject to change.

Trends to Know about Mexico vs Korea Republic

  • Mexico unbeaten in last five matches
  • Four wins from five head-to-head meetings
  • Korea Republic lost two of last five

Form & Statistics: Mexico vs Korea Republic

Mexico

Recent form

WWWWD
Wins4/5 (80%)
Draws1/5 (20%)
Losses0/5 (0%)

Season statistics (5)

2.1Total goals
27%Both teams score
1.3Goals scored
0.8Goals conceded

Korea Republic

Recent form

WWWLL
Wins3/5 (60%)
Draws0/5 (0%)
Losses2/5 (40%)

Season statistics (5)

2.7Total goals
8%Both teams score
1.2Goals scored
1.5Goals conceded
StatisticMexicoKorea Republic
Last 5 results4W 1D·3W 2L
Avg goals scored1.3·1.2
Avg goals conceded0.8·1.5
Under 2.5 (last 5)4/5·2/5
H2H, last 5 meetings3 Mexico · 1 Draws · 1 Korea Republic
Probable lineup

Lineups: Mexico vs Korea Republic

Mexico

4-3-3
  1. 1 Guillermo Ochoa
  2. 2 Jorge Sánchez
  3. 3 Edson Álvarez
  4. 4 Johan Vásquez
  5. 5 Jesús Gallardo
  6. 6 Erik Lira
  7. 7 Álvaro Fidalgo
  8. 8 Orbelín Pineda
  9. 9 Roberto Alvarado
  10. 10 Raúl Jiménez
  11. 11 Alexis Vega
  • César Montes (Suspension (red card in previous match))

Korea Republic

4-2-3-1
  1. 1 Jo Hyeon-woo
  2. 2 Seol Young-woo
  3. 3 Kim Min-jae
  4. 4 Lee Tae-seok
  5. 5 Kim Moon-hwan
  6. 6 Hwang In-beom
  7. 7 Paik Seung-ho
  8. 8 Lee Kang-in
  9. 9 Son Heung-min
  10. 10 Hwang Hee-chan
  11. 11 Oh Hyeon-gyu

Medium confidence

A 4-3-3 against a 4-2-3-1 shapes up as the tactical contest here, with Mexico looking to press high through their front three and Raúl Jiménez serving as the focal point. Korea's double pivot will be crucial in disrupting the rhythm of Álvaro Fidalgo and Erik Lira in the middle third.

Son Heung-min operating just behind Oh Hyeon-gyu gives Korea a creative threat that Mexico's backline cannot afford to lose sight of. Both probable XIs carry reasonable source confidence, making this a well-grounded preview of what should be a compelling Group Stage fixture.

Mexico vs Korea Republic: Head-to-Head

Mexico 60 % Draws 20 % Korea Republic 20 %

Average statistics (recent meetings)

3.4Total goals
60%Both teams score
2Home goals
1.4Away goals
80%Over 2.5 goals
20%Under 2.5 goals

How to Watch Mexico vs Korea Republic Match?

What time is Mexico vs Korea Republic?

Mexico host Korea Republic at Guadalajara Stadium on 19 June 2026, with kickoff set for 02:00 BST.

Where is Mexico vs Korea Republic being played?

This fixture takes place at the Guadalajara Stadium in Mexico.

How Can I Watch Mexico vs Korea Republic on TV and Live Stream?

This match will be available to watch via major broadcasters carrying the 2026 FIFA World Cup.