COLUMNIST KEVIN SPARKE
Who Will Blink First?
The first point is that Premier League clubs this season have had a huge influx of potential spending money at their collective disposal from TV money.
Secondly, some Premier League clubs have also received or are supposed to be receiving a huge financial boost from their new foreign owners to speculate on players (Liverpool, West Ham etc)
Thirdly, clubs (and agents) outside of the English Premier League elite, know that the EPL is soaked in surplus cash at the moment and I?m including foreign clubs as well as lower league sides in this generalisation. They are naturally going to want to maximise their earning potential from transfers and suddenly the £4 million speculative buy of 2006-07 becomes an £8 million bargain for season 2007-08.
In short, it is a sellers market at the moment, so buyers are naturally wary of being screwed.
I can see a game of brinksmanship being played my the majority of Premier League clubs, who will make their interest in players known, perhaps even make formal bids, but will not commit themselves to paying over the odds unless they absolutely have no choice. Of course there are exceptions to this rule, like Manchester United who have taken the sting of over-priced players firmly on the chin ? but we can?t afford to do that. Neither can most of the other teams in the EPL.
It?s my guess we are going to see a frantic final week or two of intense bargaining as disgruntled players and agents seek a move from clubs who want to sell at the highest possible price and 'buying teams' who want these players badly but don?t want to get ripped-off.
It will be a case of who blinks first, I guess!
Reader Comments
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2 Posted 12/06/2007 at 16:05:59
3 Posted 12/06/2007 at 16:07:14
I just think that Moyes is risk averse. I doubt he will buy Fernandes and its a risk he should most certaintly take given the amount of money being paid for average players at the moment. £12m seems a lot, but that is now the going rate and the board have to realise this. If he is going to be at the club for 10 seasons, then thats £1.2 a season. Not bad at all.
Also, theres no getting away from the fact that Arteta wont want to stay if Moyes and Everton do not show intent in the transfer market.
On a side note, i would rather two quality signings come in than five average players.
Jagielka and Fernandes on a years loan are my predictions. Dont expect to see much more.
4 Posted 12/06/2007 at 16:35:55
5 Posted 12/06/2007 at 17:20:33
6 Posted 12/06/2007 at 17:21:02
Today the rumour mill has turned again to Yaya Toure (£8M?). Is this another Kenwright smokescreen (remember the ridiculous bid for Alan Smith a few years ago) or merely media mischief? Could we seriously compete with Barcelona or Roma. Perhaps if the lure of the EPL is great enough we may have a chance. Can you imagine Toure AND Fernandes in the same Everton midfield...wow!! Nice dream anyway. I watched Fernandes the other night for Portugal U21 and I think I can understand now why Moyes is not entirely convinced. Perhaps a loan is a good option but I would like to see a rider that it is with a view to make the move permanent in 12 months time if he improves sufficiently next season. I believe that Jagielka will be a good signing if we can get him. Personally I have no problem with the idea of Naysmith going in the opposite direction. We should offload Beattie, it will be difficult for him to win back any kind of respect from EFC fans now, VDM and possibly McFadden as well. McFadden has had 4 years to prove himself but he still can not command a regular 1st team place. Money from selling those three could provide the funds to bring in another striker, possibly Nugent, without using current transfer funds. Offloading current players has the downside of shrinking the overall squad, so clearly we would need a few ?bargains? if possible. My possible selections would be Stephen Hunt ? Reading (£1.5M max) left midfield, Michael Kightly ? Wolves (£3M max) midfield (great prospect), Leighton Baines ? Wigan (£3M) left back, Johnny Evans ? Man Utd (nominal) long term replacement centre back. Probably an exaggerated dream sheet but it might cause some comment!!
7 Posted 12/06/2007 at 18:09:26
8 Posted 12/06/2007 at 18:51:20
But I’d rather have a winger instead of a centre midfielder.. why so much speculation on centre midfielders? Toure, Barton, Jagielka etc we need a winger (preferably left footed) to help Arteta dictate play. I like the idea of Stephen Hunt,which someone suggested earlier, he showed his class this season and wouldnt be too expensive I dont think, but I’d rather see a foreign classy player, maybe the young Swiss winger Barnetta from Leverkusen. Dream buys in this category would be Riquelme or Van der Vaart, even though they’re not technically wingers, but can play anywhere in midfield. I’d love a huge signing for us, to show Moyes’s ambition and to shows Everton can attract big names.
9 Posted 12/06/2007 at 19:16:24
I have said for a while that with regard to EFC intent this summer who we ship out will be as significant as who we bring in. Wright & Pistone have already gone (zero input last season), while Beattie, McFadden, Naysmith and VDM provided very little. Even if we only trade one for one; i.e. six out and six in, as long as the six incoming are immediately effective squad members then I believe we will have gained. It would of course be preferable if we could bring in as many as eight but that is probably unlikely.
I do agree with you 100% that we need a left sided midfielder to take some of the heat off Arteta. Central midfield is every bit as important though if we are to truly get the best out of AJ and the rest. We currently rely far too heavily on the long ball and particularly the ball over the top towards the corner flags for AJ to chase. While this can occasionally be effective it is not really where we want AJ to be. It would be great to have a couple of midfielders who are capable of picking out a class ball into the channels where AJs first touch is in sight of goal. Then we could realistically expect a 20+goal season return from him.
10 Posted 12/06/2007 at 20:26:28
11 Posted 12/06/2007 at 20:11:16
It will be difficult as many comments have noted, prices will be over inflated more than normal due to the increased revenue gained by Premiership clubs, but i am confident that moyes is no fool and will sneak at least 2-3 quality players before next season.
As an example i would say we need:-
1. Jagielka
2. Koumas
3. Nugent/Smith
4. creative, pacey winger
5. Fernandes on loan
For the season we have ahead and if we want to progress to where we belong, this is a MINIMUM requirement, period!!
12 Posted 12/06/2007 at 22:27:21
In some respects I'm worried about leaving signings late as they wont get enough time to blend in with the current squad and take advantage of what pre-season offers. But on the otherhand I would rather Moyes wait to get the best possible signings than rush and get poor/average ones. I agree that the transfer market at the moment is producing inflated prices and there is also the wages which account for more than the transfer itself.
Given my opinion on the transfers Everton should acquire, I believe we need a combination of both versatility and creativity. We don't have a big squad and with the African Nations Cup taking away Yobo and Anichebe from our squad weakens it further. I like the prospect of Jagielka because of his versatility and have heard rumours of Scharner as well which I feel would benefit the club. I think a young centre back like Jonny Evans from Man U wouldnt be bad cover for Stubbs, Lescott and Yobo and is someone who would develop.
As for the midfield, Joe Parkinson said it himself .. we need creativity! We as a team cannot depend on the likes of Arteta all the time, my own opinion is that Fernandes is not worth £12 million, any loan deal for him would be a welcome miracle but I would look elsewhere if we cannot obtain him. I watched Koumas in the play off final and wouldnt mind him, I feel he has developed over the last two seasons, but I feel any deal depends on the price. For creativity I would look across the continent and im sure Moyes has players in mind. I agree we need a winger, preferably a left sided one, after losing Kilbane in August, who I would get I wouldnt have a clue, preferably someone with flair and a decent cross. Our current strikers, five including Mcfadden, I feel is enough for next season, if Beattie goes than that changes things, i would prefer to see someone with years ahead of them.
One thing I would like to end on is that I feel Moyes should keep the bulk of his players as by selling even the likes of McFadden and Naysmith will weaken us further, by having fewer players and any replacements we do get needing time to gel into the squad. I would also look into the lower divisions for players. There is enough young talent there that can be explioted, just look at the likes of Lescott, Cahill and Johnson. I wouldnt be suprised if Moyes were to look into the lower divsions this summer and hope he does.
13 Posted 12/06/2007 at 22:58:06
Football is however haunted by Risdale and his misguided leeds utd. Risdale went with the philosophy that if you spend to get into the champions league, you will end up there etc. Of course, this clearly didn’t work, and many managers/chairmen are cautious about overspending that dont have financial investment like Chelsea.
I think everton are over cautious in their budgeting sometimes, and because of this miss out on some players that Moyes would otherwise want.
14 Posted 12/06/2007 at 23:32:01
15 Posted 12/06/2007 at 23:09:18
I dont understand why people are saying he just showed flashes, he dosent defend etc. He, Arteta and Kanchelskis are the best three players I have seen at goodison for the past 2 decades. When did he ever go missing? Yes he released the ball to his own player. That is his game. He played well in every game I seen him play this season home and away.
If Everton ever want to progress we need to mix hard working British players like Stubbs, Johnson, Carsley and Lescott with foreign technically gifted players like Arteta and fernandes.
16 Posted 13/06/2007 at 02:51:23
17 Posted 13/06/2007 at 06:26:33
Baines(at least 4 mill)
Jagielka(4 mill if SU stays in the Championship)
Koumas(at least 3,5 mill)
Nolan(at least 4 mill)
Fernandes( unknown loan fee or at least 8 mill)
That adds up to at least 15,5 silly season millions not counting Fernandes! If Moyes can secure Nolan he won´t go for Manny of course, but I think Fernandes would be a super signing, if nothing else but to show Mikel and the other big guns that Everton means business.
18 Posted 13/06/2007 at 07:45:08
We finished 6th and have the injection of the Sky money. We have had similar crowds to Liverpool, Spurs etc. We have a relative low wage bill compared to many other teams, and Goodison can’t cost that much to run.
So again why do we not have any money to spend?
I have seen over the last few weeks on this site everyone talking about Nugent, Nolan, Koumas and Jags. I am not adverse for one or maybe two of these signing but we need players of class now to move the club forwards and create a new history for the club.
I think that the following players would be great additions, Kightly, Hunt, Ibanez, Guily, Toure amongst other players that seem to be available in the transfer market.
We need to keep up with Spurs and try to close the gap on Arse and Liverpool this coming season. We can only do that by adding quality players to the squad. I agree with the comments on PN in midfield, his distribution is not the best and is a good right back.
So come on Dave and Bill take the club forwards as you have promised and add the already fantastic history of this club.
19 Posted 13/06/2007 at 08:16:09
20 Posted 13/06/2007 at 07:20:30
21 Posted 13/06/2007 at 13:56:35
My thoughts follow a similar pattern to those above - we need to make a statement of intent this close season - not only to bolster our chances of finishing in a UEFA league position, but also to convince players like Arteta, Cahill, Yobo and Lescott that they should stay Blue. I didn’t mention AJ in that list because although he’s a quality marksman, I just wonder whether we shouldn’t cash in on him and use the funds to buy other players. We could use the currently inflated market environment to our advantage, raise £15m+ for AJ and buy Fernandes (or Toure) and Jags. We performed well this season when AJ was injured - and when he did play, he was often seen down the wing, in the corners and chasing back. Getting a more balanced and technically superior midfield would surely remove the need for our centre-forward(s) to operate in these areas and concentrate on the issue of goal-scoring.
I also don’t understand why AJ and Darren Bent are being mentioned in the £18m category when Owen has a £9m release clause. Granted, he’d probably go for more than £9m, but despite the pace he’s lost since he played for RS, I’d be more confident of scoring goals with him in our side than AJ. Would Owen come to us after his time at RS and feeling he owes Newcastle a debt for supporting him through injury? Who knows.
The future is bright for us up front anyway. In a few seasons JV and VA will be ready for full seasons. What about testing RS’s resolve over Crouch? He would be a perfect foil for our younger whipper-snappers. I guess it all depends on Moyes’ tactics this season. We haven’t played with 2 up front too much recently, so a target man might not be on our shopping list - and a return to the play we adopted when Big Dunc played would not be welcome, but Crouch would give us an option we lacked last season.
Ultimately, I just hope we make one (or two?) signings to set my pulse racing over the next month or so. I can’t help feeling that Spurs will finish even further ahead of us if we don’t make our mark in the transfer market this close season. For however inflated the current market is, it is likely to continue increasing - which means unless we win something this season, we will find it even harder to buy quality next season. Come on BK - dust off your wallet and get out some readies!
22 Posted 13/06/2007 at 15:58:31
Everton need 6 players.J.B and AVM need to go. But let the manager decide.Have a bit of patience.
23 Posted 14/06/2007 at 17:11:12
24 Posted 14/06/2007 at 20:18:30
Jagielka would be a good signing as he can play in a number of positions. We do need more creativity in midfield to complement Arteta. Koumas is over priced and not the answer. I also doubt Fernandes will stay at the club. Hunt would be a good signing. He gives 100%, provides width and can score goals.
I am not convinced by Nugent. Okay, he scored a tap in against Albania. However he is unproven in the Premiership. Alan Smith would be a good option.
Let VDM go for nothing. This makes sense rather than pay another million pounds for his beer money.
25 Posted 14/06/2007 at 21:37:53
26 Posted 24/06/2007 at 17:44:13
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1 Posted 12/06/2007 at 15:58:30
We enquired about bringing in Koumas on the never never and got
the knock back from West Brom.
If we cant afford him God help us.