The Mail Bag

The World Cup affecting a Player's Value

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Here on ToffeeWeb and all over the television are continuous references to guys having a "Great" World Cup and increasing their value in their Club career.

I find it hard to believe this actually happens? That is, some fellow playing out of his mind in a World Cup and Clubs thinking, "My God, who's that, where does he play, and how much will he cost to get"?

I understand the media have to fill time and/or space and players/agents/sponsors have an interest in World Cup performance being viewed a legitimate measurement of player worth. But how many genuine talents can there be on some World Cup national team who are not already known?

I don't doubt some club team has tossed big bucks at a player based on the World Cup. If nothing else, pro sports ownership proves riches and stupidity are not incompatible.

But how do you come to the conclusion a player is worth substantially more based on one 7 game-maximum sample of his play?
James Flynn, Virginia, USA     Posted 14/06/2010 at 21:35:09

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Jamie Sweet
1   Posted 15/06/2010 at 05:47:10

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Daniel Amokachi! I believe we paid well over the odds for him - a player of questionable talent that not many people had heard of before his wonder strike in the '94 World Cup in America.

I think his value doubled based not even on one World Cup James, but purely on one moment of brilliance during one World Cup game.

Having said that, his substitute appearance in the 4-1 FA Cup victory over Spurs in '95 actually made him, to my mind, worth every penny we spent on him! A truely priceless moment!
Pat Finegan
2   Posted 15/06/2010 at 06:02:40

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A good World Cup proves that a player can preform on the highest level. I understand what you're saying and I agree to an extent; a player, such as Pienaar, who plays in the Premier League or another top quality league should not be judged based on how well they preform in the World Cup. Managers have already seen Pienaar play at the top level and they can judge based on how he has done for us whether or not he is worth a punt for their team.

There are other, lesser known players who play in lower quality leagues who have the opportunity to prove their worth this month. Andrei Arshavin's Euro 2008 campaign is a great example of this type of player. He had played in the Russian league for a few years and shown his potential but it wasn't until he played well at The Euros that everyone saw that he could compete at the highest level. Arsenal picked him up and it has worked out well for them.
Dave Wilson
3   Posted 15/06/2010 at 06:37:44

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You raise a good point, James.

There's always one, but I doubt if there will be many surprises. The top clubs will already be aware of the ability these players have. In fact, with the TV coverage we enjoy these days, even the fans will have seen most of the players before.

Let's face it, if you were guided only by what you had seen so far, you would spend a fortune on who you know to be average players, but you wouldn't pay a penny on the likes of Rooney. If you're the sort who watches footy from all around the world, you are unlikely to discover "new talent". You will however find out who can hold his nerve when the world is watching,

Gavin Ramejkis
4   Posted 15/06/2010 at 08:34:52

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The laziest teams in the world have global television cameras catching every angle and every moment of a player's performance or lack of it, a free scouting mission. Players who perform under every possible camera angle with nowhere to hide and all their faults and skills on show.

I can't see how this exposure wouldn't affect their potential value, if a team hadn't scouted them before they get to for free and players that might not have been on the radar of managers certainly would be after a good performance.
Gary Creaney
5   Posted 15/06/2010 at 08:55:00

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I distinctly remember Zidane becoming a big name after the Euro '96 tournament. Sure he was a very good player before that but he dazzled in an average French team and Juventus splashed out.

I had never heard of Mehmut Ozil of Germany until 2 nights ago — he currently plies his trade with Werder Bremen but if he continues in that vein of form some of the really big boys will be knocking the door.

I find that these big international tournaments can kick start a really big career for someone who was always going to be good — it's just that it now gets highlighted. We found this out with Rooney in Euro 2004 unfortunately.

David Ellis
6   Posted 15/06/2010 at 10:08:38

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There are lots of examples of players being "discovered" by overseas clubs by a good World Cup performance.

Lineker in '86, Gascoigne and Platt in '90. And then there were others in the 1970s- 1990s whose names I forget. Normally they flopped in their new environments. The star of Euro '96 was a Czech right midfielder who Man U bought but who was then kept out of the team by a young David Beckham.

However nowadays the scouting of the bigger clubs is much more sophisticated so I would have thought they place much less value on World Cup performances than before.

I watched M'Bia (a supposed Everton target a couple of seasons ago) play for Cameroon last night — I thought he was very ordinary (if playing out of position at right back. Tony Hibbert would have done a much better job, including distribution).

The other problem with World Cup football is that compared to Premier League football it is incredibly slow. This requires a different skill set, so World Cup stars often find it hard to perform in the PL, which on the evidence so far is a higher average standard.
Brendan O'Doherty
7   Posted 15/06/2010 at 11:39:54

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Unless he's masquerading as Poborsky or Berger...
Gavin Ramejkis
8   Posted 15/06/2010 at 12:03:30

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Gary, I mentioned Ozil before the WC as I watched him in the U21s which is a good place to scout, Petr Cech had a blinder there years ago and landed at Chelski not long after. Ozil scored a great goal in the 4-0 demolition of Engerland U21s and what I've cught of him from highlights in the Bundesliga have shown he is a decent player with speed and an eye for goal. The WC will increase his value and put him on the list of the big money teams.
Miles Wilson
9   Posted 15/06/2010 at 13:46:26

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It's the hightest profile stage on which a player can show what he can do to an audience of millions. Agents ruthlessly exploit this and fees DO get exaggerated as highlighted by others above.
Matt Traynor
10   Posted 15/06/2010 at 16:48:15

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Gary Lineker would be a relevant example for us. Top scored in WC with 6 goals (admittedly after a great domestic season - where we won nothing), and sealed a £2.8m move to Barcelona.

You see, we were a selling club back then. Treble the money after one year? On your way son....
David Hallwood
11   Posted 15/06/2010 at 17:39:55

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Another one in the hat is Milan Baros, who the RS bought after a good WC (or was it the Euros) and had one good game in six, and was eventually sold to Villa. Oh and we were linked with Ozil some months ago, not much chance of that now
Richard Parker
12   Posted 15/06/2010 at 22:17:15

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Karel Poborsky, Jordi Cruyff, Papa Bouba Diop and El Hadji Diouf..... that's off the top of my head.

There's little in the way of undiscovered talent these days at the World Cup – it's fast becoming a thing of the past, but it's definitely an opportunity for a player plying his trade in a lesser league to make a name.

I very much doubt that any of Everton's lads are little known enough to make much difference to their value, although it could give a timely reminder in the case of Pienaar. Our lads are seen week-in, week-out in the most popular league in the world, so don't expect anyone's value to triple overnight.

One exception could have been Anichebe, if he'd gone and played well.... but he didn't, so he won't...
Richard Parker
13   Posted 15/06/2010 at 22:23:47

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Also Mustafa Hadji and his lesser known teammate who were bought by Villa....
Iain Love
14   Posted 15/06/2010 at 22:37:01

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The world is changing, I used to look forward to the World Cup partly to see new talent emerging, but now so far I haven't seen anyone I wasn't aware of. Ozil has probably looked the best but, as Gavin (10) said, I saw him before at the U21s.

I would have liked us to have taken A Johnson from Citeh as I think he has a touch of class about him, but if Capello is going to take Heskey & Carra it's obvious our youth aren't going to get a look in.

Mike Allison
15   Posted 15/06/2010 at 22:41:41

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Ozil is very well known to all the big clubs, as Gavin points out, but he is performing 'on the biggest stage of all' will surely answer some doubts in the minds of potential buyers and make people more likely to believe he is 'the real deal'. Thus, if he continues to play like that, the 'interest' will become very large firm bids. After all, value is arbitrary, it can only be defined as what someone is prepared to pay, and after seeing proof that he can do it on the world stage, not just in an U-21 tournament or his own domestic league, people will be prepared to pay more.

In fact, James, I'd say I find it hard to believe values wouldn't go significantly up and down during the World Cup.
Mike Allison
16   Posted 15/06/2010 at 22:46:18

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Just occurred to me, James, I think you're American aren't you? Imagine a player playing 162 games of the baseball season with fairly average stats. His team breaks into the playoffs and suddenly he's batting .500 and pulling off impossible fielding plays. His unfancied team then upset the Yankees and he's the MVP. Are you telling me his 'value' wouldn't go up?
Eamonn Turner
17   Posted 16/06/2010 at 01:01:00

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An ageing Paul McGrath made Phil Babb look like Franz Beckenbaur at the 1994 World Cup, and the shite broke the then record fee for a defender to sign him.
Craig Tomasinski
18   Posted 16/06/2010 at 01:17:03

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Mesut Ozil I think is already being chased by the big European clubs even before the World Cup. I watched a few Bremen games this year and he was the key to most of their play. I think during this World Cup his value will greatly increase as he shows he can perform at the very highest level.
James Flynn
19   Posted 16/06/2010 at 03:07:48

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Mike (18): That's the right idea, but I don't think it would change an everyday player's status much in baseball. The person seeing a distinct possibility of value increase in the baseball playoffs would be a young pitcher. That often does happen; with mixed results, by the way.

It just struck me listening to one of the games and hearing the announcer talk about so-and-so's value might go up if he has a big WC.

Which brought to mind the talk of Pienaar supposedly wanting to wait until after the WC to resolve his contract. The implication being a great WC = more dough. And that I don't get. Someone like Peanuts: late-20s, proven, good pro... Who's going to offer him more because of the WC? I find that hard to believe.

Now some very young players, like the German youngster? OK. Maybe I can see a little bidding by moneyed teams or his current club moving to tie him up. But the Pienaar's and Landon's? Seems to me their salary value is established.

Alright then, maybe if we attach their monetary value as a club getting a larger transfer fee based on a higher profile from the WC. That I could see, I suppose.
Ben Howard
20   Posted 16/06/2010 at 13:51:50

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I'm currently watching Chile vs Honduras and Alexis Sánchez looks like a real player. The lad is 5' 6", super quick and an exceptionally skillful winger. The 21-year-old currently plays for Udinese and I wouldn't be surprised if a huge offer came in for him after the World Cup. He's been linked with Real Madrid but go get him Moyes! Er... maybe not.

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