World Cup

South Africa

28 Jun 2026 20:00

Canada

Prediction:

Canada to win 1.73

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South Africa vs Canada Predictions, Picks & Odds – 28/06/2026

World Cup · Round of 32

Our prediction

2: Canada to win

1.73 on Betfred · Confidence Medium

Odds recorded on 27 Jun 2026 at 01:25 · Odds are subject to change

South Africa vs Canada Preview

South Africa find themselves in uncharted territory, contesting a World Cup knockout fixture for the first time in their history. Hugo Broos' side endured a turbulent group stage, recovering from a 2-0 opening defeat to Mexico with a draw against Czech Republic and a narrow 1-0 victory over South Korea. Their recent form reads inconsistently, yet a defensive shutout spanning over 174 minutes heading into this match provides genuine cause for optimism.

Canada's trajectory since the 2022 tournament has been remarkable. The co-hosts secured second place in Group B courtesy of a stunning 6-0 demolition of Qatar, in which Jonathan David struck a hat-trick, though a 2-1 loss to Switzerland tempered expectations. Jesse Marsch will welcome Stephen Eustaquio back from a minor muscle injury, while Alphonso Davies is expected to make his first start. The absence of Ismael Kone, ruled out with a fractured leg, remains a blow.

Canada's statistical superiority across the group stage is striking. The Canadians averaged 2.7 goals and 19 shots per match, while South Africa managed just 0.7 goals and 11.3 shots. That creative gulf, 13 chances created per match versus 7.3, underlines a fundamental imbalance in attacking output that should prove decisive in an elimination setting.

South Africa's defensive resilience cannot be dismissed entirely; Hugo Broos's side kept clean sheets for over 174 minutes heading into this fixture. Yet the loss of Ismael Kone is offset by the anticipated returns of Alphonso Davies and Stephen Eustaquio, giving Canada renewed dynamism in transition and midfield control.

The away win at 1.73 represents the standout selection here. Canada's firepower, spearheaded by Jonathan David following his hat-trick against Qatar, should overwhelm a Bafana Bafana side that struggled badly against Mexico's press. Over 2.5 goals at 2.20 also merits attention given Canada's prolific output. Co-hosts carry momentum, quality and depth sufficient to advance.

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Trends to Know about South Africa vs Canada

• Canada average 2.7 goals per match
• South Africa create just 7.3 chances per match
• Canada generate 19 shots per match

A 4-2-3-1 against a 4-3-3 sets up a compelling tactical contest, with South Africa's double pivot looking to screen their back four against Canada's fluid front three. Alphonso Davies on the left will be the axis around which much of the visitors' attacking play revolves.

For Bafana Bafana, Relebohile Mofokeng carries the creative burden in behind Evidence Makgopa, and his ability to find pockets between Canada's midfield and defence could prove decisive. Both lineups are drawn from multiple credible sources, giving reasonable confidence in what each side will field at kickoff.

How to Watch South Africa vs Canada Match?

What time is South Africa vs Canada?

South Africa vs Canada kicks off at 20:00 BST on Saturday 28 June 2026 at Los Angeles Stadium.

Where is South Africa vs Canada being played?

This World Cup Round of 32 fixture takes place at Los Angeles Stadium in Los Angeles, California.

How Can I Watch South Africa vs Canada on TV and Live Stream?

South Africa vs Canada will be broadcast live on BBC and ITV in the United Kingdom.