Championship
Southampton
29 Aug 2026 15:00
Millwall
Prediction:
Southampton to win 1.95
View odds >
Pick your prediction

Southampton vs Millwall Predictions, Picks & Odds – 29/08/2026

Championship · 3
29 Aug 2026 St. Mary's Stadium Louis Hecq

Southampton vs Millwall – Best bets of the match

Our prediction
X2: Double Chance Draw or Millwall
3.60 on Betfred · Confidence Medium
Odds recorded on 22 Sep 2026 at 03:08 · Odds are subject to change
Competition: Championship
Stage: Regular Season, 3
Date: 29 Aug 2026
Time: 15:00 BST
Stadium: St. Mary's Stadium

Southampton vs Millwall Preview

Southampton sit rock bottom of the Championship, though their position is misleading. A four-point deduction for last season's 'Spygate' affair has left them anchored to the foot of the table despite a 3-1 victory over Stoke City last time out. Cyle Larin remains in fine fettle, having scored in five consecutive league matches. A 4-1 EFL Cup defeat to West Ham, however, exposed defensive frailties that Tonda Eckert will be desperate to address.

Millwall arrive at St. Mary's as the Championship's early pacesetters, top of the table with two wins from two and no goals conceded. Alex Neil's side rotated heavily for their midweek EFL Cup victory over Cambridge United, keeping key starters fresh for this fixture. Tairyk Arconte and Josh Coburn have each bagged twice already, providing a potent attacking threat. The Lions are unbeaten in their last ten away matches, a run that underlines their remarkable resilience on the road.

The draw or away double chance represents the strongest value in this fixture. Millwall have won all three of their opening matches across all competitions without conceding a single goal, and their squad rotation in midweek means key figures like Tairyk Arconte and Josh Coburn arrive at St. Mary's fully rested. Southampton's four-point deduction masks decent recent results, but a 4-1 cup thrashing by West Ham exposed defensive frailties.

Historically, Millwall have avoided defeat in their last three meetings with Southampton, including a goalless draw at this very ground in January. The Lions are also unbeaten in ten consecutive away fixtures, a run that speaks to genuine resilience on the road. With the visitors priced at 3.60 for the outright win, backing the double chance covering the draw and a Millwall victory offers a sensible route into this match.

Cyle Larin's five-match scoring streak gives Southampton a genuine threat, which is why both teams to score at 1.67 merits consideration alongside the main selection. Millwall's defensive record is formidable, yet St. Mary's remains a difficult venue; the hosts are unbeaten in ten home matches. Under 2.5 goals at 1.95 also appeals given Millwall's miserly approach. Odds correct at time of publication.

Trends to Know about Southampton vs Millwall

  • Millwall unbeaten in last ten away matches
  • Southampton carry four-point deduction burden
  • Millwall have conceded zero league goals

Form & Statistics: Southampton vs Millwall

Southampton

Recent form

LWLW
Wins2/4 (50%)
Draws0/4 (0%)
Losses2/4 (50%)

Season statistics (4)

3.1Total goals
75%Both teams score
1.8Goals scored
1.3Goals conceded

Millwall

Recent form

WWWD
Wins3/4 (75%)
Draws1/4 (25%)
Losses0/4 (0%)

Season statistics (4)

2.2Total goals
38%Both teams score
1.2Goals scored
1Goals conceded
StatisticSouthamptonMillwall
Last 5 results2W 2L·3W 1D
Avg goals scored1.8·1.2
Avg goals conceded1.3·1.0
Under 2.5 (last 5)1/4·3/4
H2H, last 3 meetings1 Southampton · 1 Draws · 1 Millwall
Probable lineup

Lineups: Southampton vs Millwall

Southampton

4-2-3-1
  1. 1 Daniel Peretz
  2. 2 James Bree
  3. 3 Taylor Harwood-Bellis
  4. 4 Nathan Wood
  5. 5 Welington
  6. 6 Flynn Downes
  7. 7 Kuryu Matsuki
  8. 8 Tom Fellows
  9. 9 Léo Scienza
  10. 10 Divin Mubama
  11. 11 Cyle Larin
  • Cameron Bragg
  • Ross Stewart
  • Kamaldeen Sulemana (injury)
  • Will Smallbone (injury)
  • Ryan Manning (injury)
  • Mads Roerslev (injury)
  • Finn Azaz (injury)
  • Jack Stephens (injury)
  • Gavin Bazunu (injury)
  • Yukinari Sugawara (unavailable/ankle injury)
  • Caspar Jander (muscle injury)

Millwall

4-3-3
  1. 1 Lukas Jensen
  2. 2 Mark Sykes
  3. 3 Caleb Taylor
  4. 4 Jake Cooper
  5. 5 Zak Sturge
  6. 6 Jenson Metcalfe
  7. 7 Casper De Norre
  8. 8 Camiel Neghli
  9. 9 Taïryk Arconte
  10. 10 Josh Coburn
  11. 11 Kyrell Lisbie
  • Tristan Crama (injury)
  • Massimo Luongo (muscle injury)
  • Ryan Leonard (injury)
  • Alfie Doughty (injury)
  • Femi Azeez (injury)
  • Mathis Servais (hamstring injury)
  • Derek Mazou-Sacko (injury)
  • Mihailo Ivanović (hamstring injury)

Medium confidence

A 4-2-3-1 against a 4-3-3 shapes up as the tactical contest at St Mary's, with Southampton's double pivot looking to control the tempo and give Léo Scienza the freedom to link play behind Cyle Larin. Both probable XIs are drawn from multiple credible sources, so the selections carry reasonable confidence.

Millwall arrive with a compact midfield three designed to press high and transition quickly, and Josh Coburn will be the focal point of their attacking threat. Southampton's wide defenders will need to manage the Lions' flanks carefully if the hosts are to impose their structure on what promises to be a combative Championship fixture.

Southampton vs Millwall: Head-to-Head

Southampton 33 % Draws 33 % Millwall 33 %

Average statistics (recent meetings)

2Total goals
33%Both teams score
1Home goals
1Away goals
33%Over 2.5 goals
67%Under 2.5 goals

How to Watch Southampton vs Millwall Match?

What time is Southampton vs Millwall?

Southampton host Millwall at St. Mary's Stadium on Friday 29 August 2026, with kickoff scheduled for 15:00 BST.

Where is Southampton vs Millwall being played?

This fixture takes place at St. Mary's Stadium in Southampton.

How Can I Watch Southampton vs Millwall on TV and Live Stream?

Southampton vs Millwall will be broadcast on Sky Sports and available to stream via the Sky Go app.