World Cup
Tunisia
21 Jun 2026 05:00
Japan
Prediction:
Away win 1.50
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Tunisia vs Japan Predictions, Picks & Odds – 21/06/2026

World Cup · 2
21 Jun 2026 Monterrey Stadium Louis Hecq

Tunisia vs Japan – Best bets of the match

Our prediction
2: Japan to win
1.50 on Betfred · Confidence Medium
Odds recorded on 19 Jun 2026 at 06:54 · Odds are subject to change
Competition: World Cup
Stage: Group Stage, 2
Date: 21 Jun 2026
Time: 05:00 BST
Stadium: Monterrey Stadium

Tunisia vs Japan Preview

Tunisia's World Cup campaign begins under a cloud of poor form. Sabri Lamouchi's side have managed just one win from their last four outings, sitting fourth in their group, and their final warm-up friendly ended in a chastening 5-0 defeat to Belgium. That result laid bare defensive frailties Lamouchi will need to address quickly. Hannibal Mejbri is expected to slot back into the starting eleven, offering creativity, but confidence across the squad will be fragile.

Japan arrive in Mexico on a three-match winning streak, capped by an impressive 1-0 victory over England in their final pre-tournament friendly. The loss of captain Wataru Endo to a foot injury is significant; Ko Itakura steps into the armband, while Shuto Machino joins the squad as a replacement. Kaoru Mitoma and Takumi Minamino are also absent through injury. Despite those setbacks, the Samurai Blue carry real momentum and boast a flawless head-to-head record against Tunisia.

Japan arrive at the Estadio BBVA Bancomer riding a three-match winning streak, capped by a 1-0 friendly victory over England. Tunisia, by contrast, sit fourth in their group projections after a dire run of one win in four, culminating in a 5-0 hammering by Belgium. The away win at 1.50 reflects that gulf in momentum and quality.

The head-to-head record is emphatic. Japan have won all three previous meetings with Tunisia, scoring six goals and conceding none, including a 2-0 triumph in the 2002 World Cup group stage. Despite losing captain Wataru Endo to a foot injury, Ko Itakura steps into the armband for a squad brimming with depth and tournament pedigree.

Tunisia's ambition to reach the knockout rounds for the first time remains admirable, yet the evidence points firmly towards Japan. Under 2.5 goals at 1.73 also merits attention given Japan's defensive solidity in this fixture. The away win is our primary selection, supported by form, history and the pricing available at 1.50.

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Trends to Know about Tunisia vs Japan

  • Japan unbeaten in three head-to-head meetings
  • Tunisia conceded five in final friendly
  • Japan hold three consecutive clean sheets

Form & Statistics: Tunisia vs Japan

Tunisia

Recent form

LLLDW
Wins1/5 (20%)
Draws1/5 (20%)
Losses3/5 (60%)

Season statistics (5)

2.9Total goals
50%Both teams score
1.2Goals scored
1.7Goals conceded

Japan

Recent form

DWWW
Wins3/4 (75%)
Draws1/4 (25%)
Losses0/4 (0%)

Season statistics (4)

2.7Total goals
36%Both teams score
1.9Goals scored
0.8Goals conceded
StatisticTunisiaJapan
Last 5 results1W 1D 3L·3W 1D
Avg goals scored1.2·1.9
Avg goals conceded1.7·0.8
Under 2.5 (last 5)3/5·3/4
H2H, last 2 meetings0 Tunisia · 0 Draws · 2 Japan
Probable lineup

Lineups: Tunisia vs Japan

Tunisia

4-3-3
  1. 1 Abdelmouhib Chamakh
  2. 2 Yan Valery
  3. 3 Omar Rekik
  4. 4 Montassar Talbi
  5. 5 Ali Abdi
  6. 6 Ellyes Skhiri
  7. 7 Rani Khedira
  8. 8 Hannibal Mejbri
  9. 9 Elias Achouri
  10. 10 Firas Chaouat
  11. 11 Ismael Gharbi
  • Ferjani Sassi (Injury)
  • Mohamed Ali Ben Romdhane (Injury)

Japan

3-4-2-1
  1. 1 Zion Suzuki
  2. 2 Hiroki Ito
  3. 3 Ko Itakura
  4. 4 Ayumu Seko
  5. 5 Yukinari Sugawara
  6. 6 Ao Tanaka
  7. 7 Kaishu Sano
  8. 8 Keito Nakamura
  9. 9 Takefusa Kubo
  10. 10 Daichi Kamada
  11. 11 Ayase Ueda
  • Wataru Endo (Foot injury, retired from international football)
  • Kaoru Mitoma (Hamstring injury)
  • Takumi Minamino (ACL rupture)
  • Koki Machida (Injury)

Medium confidence

Tunisia's probable 4-3-3 lines up against Japan's 3-4-2-1 in what promises to be a fascinating tactical contest. Hannibal Mejbri will be central to Tunisia's creative ambitions, whilst Japan's compact back three offers a disciplined platform for their wing-backs to press forward with intent.

Both lineups carry a probable status, though Japan's source is a single outlet against Tunisia's more established confirmation, so a degree of caution is warranted. Takefusa Kubo operating in the double ten role behind Ayase Ueda gives Japan genuine guile in the final third, and Tunisia's midfield three will need to track those movements diligently.

Tunisia vs Japan: Head-to-Head

Tunisia 0 % Draws 0 % Japan 100 %

Average statistics (recent meetings)

2Total goals
0%Both teams score
2Home goals
0Away goals
0%Over 2.5 goals
100%Under 2.5 goals

How to Watch Tunisia vs Japan Match?

What time is Tunisia vs Japan?

Tunisia vs Japan kicks off at the Estadio BBVA Bancomer on Saturday 21 June 2026 at 05:00 BST.

Where is Tunisia vs Japan being played?

This fixture takes place at the Estadio BBVA Bancomer in Monterrey, Mexico.

How Can I Watch Tunisia vs Japan on TV and Live Stream?

Broadcast details for Tunisia vs Japan will be confirmed closer to kickoff by local and international rights holders.