Carabao Cup

Sunderland

28 Oct 2026 19:45

Brentford

Prediction:

Brentford to win 2.45

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Sunderland vs Brentford Predictions, Picks & Odds – 28/10/2026

Carabao Cup · 8th Finals

Sunderland vs Brentford Preview

Sunderland's form has been patchy, with two wins and three defeats across their last five outings. The Black Cats have struggled in front of goal, averaging fewer than one strike per match, and their defensive record offers little reassurance either, keeping clean sheets in barely one fixture in seven. Their route to this stage was a narrow 1-0 victory over Hull City, and Régis Le Bris will need a sharper display at the Stadium of Light.

Brentford arrive on Wearside in steadier shape, unbeaten in three of their last five matches with two wins and two draws cushioning a single defeat. Thomas Frank's side boast a considerably stronger attacking output, averaging close to two goals per match, and they have proven clinical in this competition, dispatching Birmingham City 6-1 and Reading 2-1 in earlier rounds. The Bees will fancy their chances of reaching the quarter-finals.

Brentford's attacking output makes them the standout selection at 2.45. They average 1.86 goals per match and generate 15 shots per outing, figures that dwarf Sunderland's 0.86 goals and 11.6 attempts. That disparity in firepower is difficult to overlook, particularly given the hosts have kept a clean sheet in only 14% of their fixtures this term.

The visitors also boast a 33% clean sheet rate, which feeds into the under 2.5 goals angle at 1.95. Sunderland's struggles in front of goal suggest they will find it hard to breach a well-organised Brentford rearguard more than once, if at all. A tight, low-scoring affair controlled by the away side fits the statistical profile neatly.

Brentford's route to this stage, including a commanding 6-1 demolition of Birmingham City, underlines their appetite in this competition. With a Europa Conference League place on offer for the eventual winners, Thomas Frank's side carry genuine motivation. The away win at 2.45 represents the value pick for this last-sixteen tie at the Stadium of Light.

Trends to Know about Sunderland vs Brentford

• Brentford average 1.86 goals per match
• Sunderland keep only 14% clean sheets
• Brentford outshoot Sunderland 15 to 11.6

How to Watch Sunderland vs Brentford Match?

What time is Sunderland vs Brentford?

Kickoff at the Stadium of Light is set for 19:45 BST on Wednesday 28 October 2026.

Where is Sunderland vs Brentford being played?

This Carabao Cup eighth-final takes place at the Stadium of Light in Sunderland.

How Can I Watch Sunderland vs Brentford on TV and Live Stream?

UK viewers can watch Sunderland vs Brentford live on Sky Sports, with streaming available via the Sky Go app.