Serie A
Fiorentina
29 Oct 2026 19:45
Atalanta
Prediction:
Fiorentina to win 2.20
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Fiorentina vs Atalanta Predictions, Picks & Odds – 29/10/2026

Serie A · 9
29 Oct 2026 Stadio Artemio Franchi Louis Hecq

Fiorentina vs Atalanta – Best bets of the match

Our prediction
1X: Double Chance Fiorentina or Draw
2.20 on 7bet · Confidence Medium
Odds recorded on 29 Oct 2026 at 15:37 · Odds are subject to change
Competition: Serie A
Stage: Regular Season, 9
Date: 29 Oct 2026
Time: 19:45 GMT
Stadium: Stadio Artemio Franchi

Fiorentina vs Atalanta Preview

Fiorentina's season has been one of deep frustration. The Viola sit 18th in Serie A with a solitary win from their last five league outings, a run that has left them perilously close to the relegation places. Their defensive record is alarming, with 14 goals conceded in just six matches, and confidence at the Stadio Artemio Franchi is fragile. Raffaele Palladino's side desperately need a result here to arrest a slide that threatens to become terminal.

Atalanta arrive in Florence in inconsistent form, having lost three of their last four away fixtures. Gian Piero Gasperini's men occupy 11th place with nine points from six matches, a return that falls well short of their European ambitions. The Bergamo outfit possess greater quality on paper, yet their recent travels tell a different story. A historical record of just 12 wins in 49 meetings against Fiorentina across all competitions underlines the challenge they face on Thursday evening.

Fiorentina's home advantage at the Artemio Franchi remains a significant factor despite their wretched league position of 18th. The Viola have managed just one win in their last five outings, yet the bookmakers still price them as slight favourites at 2.20, reflecting the historical edge they hold over Atalanta. Across 49 previous meetings, Fiorentina have claimed 22 victories compared to just 12 for the Bergamo side.

Atalanta's own form offers little reason for away confidence. Gian Piero Gasperini's men have lost three of their last four matches, a sequence that has stalled any push towards European qualification. Sitting 11th with nine points, they arrive in Florence carrying vulnerabilities of their own. The draw at 3.60 looks a realistic outcome given both sides' inconsistency, and that possibility underpins the double chance selection.

The 1X pick captures both a Fiorentina home win and a stalemate, providing coverage against two likely scenarios. With 14 goals conceded in six matches, the hosts' defence is porous, yet Atalanta's away record of one win in five suggests they lack the cutting edge to exploit it decisively. The home price at 2.20 anchors this selection, offering value where the historical head-to-head and venue advantage converge.

Trends to Know about Fiorentina vs Atalanta

  • Fiorentina hold strong historical head-to-head advantage
  • Viola have conceded 14 in six
  • Atalanta won just once in four away

Form & Statistics: Fiorentina vs Atalanta

Fiorentina

Recent form

LLLDW
Wins1/5 (20%)
Draws1/5 (20%)
Losses3/5 (60%)

Season statistics (5)

3.5Total goals
75%Both teams score
1.1Goals scored
2.4Goals conceded

Atalanta

Recent form

DLWLL
Wins1/5 (20%)
Draws1/5 (20%)
Losses3/5 (60%)

Season statistics (5)

3.7Total goals
75%Both teams score
1.8Goals scored
1.9Goals conceded
StatisticFiorentinaAtalanta
Last 5 results1W 1D 3L·1W 1D 3L
Avg goals scored1.1·1.8
Avg goals conceded2.4·1.9
Under 2.5 (last 5)1/5·1/5
H2H, last 4 meetings1 Fiorentina · 1 Draws · 2 Atalanta
Probable lineup

Lineups: Fiorentina vs Atalanta

Fiorentina

4-3-3
  1. 1 de Gea
  2. 2 Jiménez
  3. 3 Drăgușin
  4. 4 Valde
  5. 5 Ndour
  6. 6 Oulaï
  7. 7 Fagioli
  8. 8 Mastantuono
  9. 9 Beto
  10. 10 Gnonto
  • Dodô
  • Brescianini
  • Pongračić
  • Mário
  • Lezzerini
  • Njie
  • Pote
  • Pellegrino
  • Viery
  • Christensen
  • Mazzeo
  • Arthur Atta (injury)
  • Luca Ranieri (injury)

Atalanta

4-2-3-1
  1. 1 Carnesecchi
  2. 2 Bellanova
  3. 3 Kristensen
  4. 4 Zappacosta
  5. 5 Kessié
  6. 6 Éderson
  7. 7 Elmas
  8. 8 De Ketelaere
  9. 9 Rowe
  10. 10 Krstović
  • Pašalić
  • Scamacca
  • Samardžić
  • Obrić
  • Idele
  • Bernasconi
  • Sonzogni
  • Sportiello
  • Giacomo Raspadori (injury)
  • Thomas Pompei (injury)
  • Giorgio Scalvini (injury)
  • Sead Kolasinac (injury)
  • Odilon Kossounou (injury)

Low confidence

Both lineups carry a speculative caveat, drawn from a single source, so treat the shape of this fixture with appropriate caution. That said, a 4-3-3 against a 4-2-3-1 promises a fascinating midfield contest, with Fagioli asked to orchestrate for Fiorentina against the double pivot of Kessié and Éderson.

For Atalanta, De Ketelaere operating in the number ten role will be central to how Gian Piero Gasperini's side look to unpick a Fiorentina backline that appears reshuffled from its more familiar configuration. Much could hinge on which XI is ultimately confirmed come kickoff.

Fiorentina vs Atalanta: Head-to-Head

Fiorentina 25 % Draws 25 % Atalanta 50 %

Average statistics (recent meetings)

2.5Total goals
50%Both teams score
1.8Home goals
0.8Away goals
25%Over 2.5 goals
75%Under 2.5 goals

How to Watch Fiorentina vs Atalanta Match?

What time is Fiorentina vs Atalanta?

Fiorentina welcome Atalanta to the Stadio Artemio Franchi on 29 October 2026, with kickoff set for 19:45 BST.

Where is Fiorentina vs Atalanta being played?

This fixture takes place at the Stadio Artemio Franchi in Florence, Fiorentina's historic home ground.

How Can I Watch Fiorentina vs Atalanta on TV and Live Stream?

Check local Serie A broadcast listings for live coverage of Fiorentina vs Atalanta in your region.