Iceland vs Luxembourg Predictions, Picks & Odds – 16/11/2026

UEFA Nations League · 6

16 Nov 2026 Louis Hecq

Iceland vs Luxembourg – Best bets of the match

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Bonus info
Betfred	1.33	4.60	8.00	View odds
Ladbrokes	1.73	2.60	6.50	View Odds
Coral	1.75	2.60	7.00	View Odds
BoyleSports	1.30	4.75	9.50	View odds
William Hill	1.33	4.50	8.00	View Odds

Our prediction

1: Iceland to win

1.33 on Betfred

· Confidence High

Odds recorded on 14 Nov 2026 at 17:22 · Odds are subject to change

Iceland vs Luxembourg Preview

Iceland have been magnificent in this Nations League campaign, sitting atop Group C4 with three wins and two draws from five matches, scoring 12 goals while conceding just once. Their most recent outing was a stunning 5-0 demolition of Bulgaria away from home, underlining the side's attacking potency and defensive solidity. A draw here would likely suffice to seal promotion to League B, but this is a team playing with real conviction.

Luxembourg arrive in dire straits, rooted to the bottom of the group after losing four consecutive matches without finding the net. Their sole point of encouragement came on the opening matchday; since then, Jeff Strasser's side have been unable to stem the tide. A 1-0 home defeat to Estonia last time out compounded their misery. The return of Laurent Jans and Eldin Dzogovic from injury offers fresh options, though the scale of the task remains considerable.

Recommended Bets

	Betfred	Ladbrokes	Coral
Iceland to win	1.33	1.73	1.75
Under 2.5	·	2.00	2.00
BTTS Yes	2.10	2.15	2.15

Odds recorded on 14 Nov 2026 at 17:22 · Odds are subject to change

Iceland's dominance throughout this group stage makes the home win at 1.33 a compelling selection. They demolished Bulgaria 5-0 in their previous outing and have conceded only once across five matches. Luxembourg, by contrast, have lost four consecutive fixtures without scoring since matchday one, a collapse that leaves them rooted to the bottom of the table.

The head-to-head record further supports this pick. Iceland have lost just once in ten meetings with Luxembourg, winning five and drawing four. That 3-0 victory in the reverse fixture underlines the gulf between these two sides this campaign. Backing Iceland to win to nil looks attractive at 1.67.

Under 2.5 goals at 2.05 might tempt some, yet Iceland's attacking output of 12 goals in five group matches suggests otherwise. The over 2.5 goals market at 1.76 carries genuine appeal given Luxembourg's defensive frailties and Iceland's firepower. A comfortable home victory with multiple goals scored is the likeliest outcome here.

Odds correct at time of publication.