UEFA Nations League

Estonia

16 Nov 2026 17:00

Bulgaria

Prediction:

Estonia to win 2.05

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EstoniaDraw Bulgaria

Estonia vs Bulgaria Predictions, Picks & Odds – 16/11/2026

UEFA Nations League · 6

Our prediction

1X: Double Chance Estonia or Draw

2.05 on Betfred · Confidence Medium

Odds recorded on 14 Nov 2026 at 17:22 · Odds are subject to change

Estonia vs Bulgaria Preview

Estonia arrive in superb form, having already secured at least a play-off spot for promotion to League B after a hard-fought 1-0 victory away to Luxembourg. Manager Jürgen Henn's side have been resolute throughout this campaign, conceding just once across five matches and remaining unbeaten at home. That defensive solidity, combined with a growing collective confidence, makes them formidable opponents in this final group fixture.

Bulgaria, by contrast, are in disarray following a humiliating 0-5 thrashing at the hands of Iceland. That result will have severely dented morale, and manager Atanas Ribarski faces a tactical rethink as well as the loss of Martin Minchev through injury, with Svetoslav Kovachev called up as replacement. The earlier meeting between these sides ended goalless, and Bulgaria will need a vastly improved display to avoid further embarrassment here.

Estonia's defensive record throughout this group campaign has been remarkable, conceding just once across five matches. That miserly backline, combined with an unbeaten home record in the Nations League, makes the double chance covering a home win or draw an attractive proposition at 2.05. Bulgaria, by contrast, arrive in disarray following a humiliating 5-0 thrashing by Iceland, a result that will have shattered confidence.

Manager Atanas Ribarski has been forced into squad changes, calling up Svetoslav Kovachev to replace the injured Martin Minchev. Morale will be fragile after that Icelandic capitulation, and the earlier 0-0 draw between these sides suggests Bulgaria struggle to create against Estonia's organised structure. The hosts, under Jürgen Henn, have shown a willingness to press and attack rather than sit deep.

The under 2.5 goals line at 1.50 also merits consideration given the low-scoring nature of this fixture. Estonia have conceded at a rate of 0.2 per match in the group, and their previous meeting produced no goals whatsoever. Backing the 1X double chance remains the primary selection, well supported by the home side's form and Bulgaria's evident vulnerability.

Odds correct at time of publication.

Trends to Know about Estonia vs Bulgaria

• Estonia unbeaten at home this campaign
• Bulgaria conceded five against Iceland
• Earlier meeting finished nil-nil

Estonia set up in a compact 5-3-2, inviting Bulgaria to break them down and looking to exploit transitions through Mattias Käit in the midfield engine room. Bulgaria counter with a more expansive 4-2-3-1, a shape that offers width and a clear focal point in Atanas Iliev up front.

Both lineups carry probable rather than confirmed status, though Bulgaria's selection is grounded in their recent outing against Iceland, lending it slightly firmer footing. The tactical contrast is sharp: Estonia's defensive solidity against a Bulgarian structure designed to dominate possession and create overloads in the final third.

How to Watch Estonia vs Bulgaria Match?

What time is Estonia vs Bulgaria?

Estonia vs Bulgaria kicks off on Monday 16 November 2026 at 17:00 GMT.

Where is Estonia vs Bulgaria being played?

The venue for this fixture is still to be confirmed by UEFA.

How Can I Watch Estonia vs Bulgaria on TV and Live Stream?

Broadcast details for Estonia vs Bulgaria will be confirmed closer to kickoff by UEFA and local rights holders.