Premier League Winner Odds: Our Betting Guide for EPL 2025/26 Season
The Premier League Winner odds for 2025/26 are live and likely to fluctuate throughout the campaign, which will come to a thrilling conclusion in May. If you’re looking for information on the winner odds and the winner bets for this Premier League season, you’re in the right place!
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The Quest for the Premier League Title
Liverpool won the Premier League emphatically in 2024/25, but the Reds find themselves off the pace as we reach December.
The likes of Arsenal, Manchester City and Chelsea are all optimistic of the title… or could we see a repeat of the 2015/16 season, when Leicester City lifted the trophy at odds of 5,000/1?
Current EPL Winner Odds
| Team | Odds |
|---|---|
| Arsenal | 4/9 |
| Manchester City | 10/3 |
| Chelsea | 14/1 |
| Liverpool | 20/1 |
| Manchester United | 28/1 |
| Everton | 750/1 |
Odds are subject to change. Last updated 23/11/25.
Arsenal
Arsenal finished in second place in the Premier League in each of the last three seasons… can they finally get over the line in 2025/26? The early indications suggest they can.
Mikel Arteta’s men have opened up a six-point lead at the top of the table, with arguably Europe’s best defence the foundation of their success. Arsenal have conceded just six times in their first 12 games, and set a club-record of eight straight clean sheets across all competitions earlier in the campaign.
The Gunners certainly appear to be stronger this term, with the signings of Viktor Gyokeres and Eberechi Eze adding to their threat in the final third. It’s been over two decades since Arsenal last won the league, but Arteta’s team are the favourite.
Manchester City
Having won six Premier League titles between 2017/18 and 2023/24, Manchester City established themselves as one of the most dominant forces in world football.
So their drop-off in 2024/25 – finishing in third, with 20 points fewer than in the season prior – was both surprising and eyebrow-raising.
Pep Guardiola has opted for revolution, not evolution, in 2025/26. Rayan Cherki, Tijjani Reijnders, Rayan Ait-Nouri and James Trafford have all been signed for big fees, while club icon Kevin de Bruyne has been released, alongside Jack Grealish and Kyle Walker.
That busy summer of transfer activity has led to some teething issues, but City are powered by the phenomenon that is Erling Haaland. The Norwegian has scored 14 goals in just 12 games this season.
Chelsea
Chelsea have not won the Premier League title since 2016/17, but there’s a feeling that they are better placed now than they have been for a while to end that drought.
The Blues were crowned Club World Cup champions in the summer, while their expensive tastes saw them spend another £250 million on new players during the off-season.
Whether Enzo Maresca can knit together such a large and inexperienced squad remains to be seen, but their low(ish) Premier League winner odds are respectful of a team that has shown it’s capable of beating the world’s best. A 3-0 destruction of European champions PSG in the Club World Cup final was a sign of their promise.
Liverpool
Liverpool’s hopes of defending their Premier League title are fading fast. The defending champions opened the season with five straight wins, but a dramatic decline has seen Arne Slot’s side lose six of the next seven. Down in 11th, Liverpool are already 11 points behind leaders Arsenal.
Their struggle comes despite a record-breaking summer spend. Liverpool invested around £415m on new talent – a record for any side in world football for single window – but the new arrivals have not gelled. Neither Florian Wirtz or Alexander Isak has performed to the level expected of record recruits.
Manchester United
Manchester United came into the 2025/26 with increased optimism, given they splashed the cash on an exciting new front three of Matheus Cunha, Bryan Mbeumo and Benjamin Sesko.
There have been small signs of progress for Ruben Amorim’s men, though many of last season’s problems remain. An EFL Cup humiliation at the hands of League Two side Grimsby Town was a reality check, so those that have placed Premier League winner bets on Manchester United may be heading for disappointment.
Amorim has title-winning experience from Portugal, but United have not tasted success in the Premier League since 2013. A sustained challenge looks unlikely.
Everton
For many seasons, the EPL relegation odds have been of more relevance to Everton than the winner market.
Although it seems unlikely that the Toffees will challenge for the title any time soon (750-1 winner odds), the positivity around the new stadium – allied to signings like Jack Grealish and Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall – at least affords Everton fans the chance to feel optimistic… for the first time in a while!
Alternative Betting Markets
Punters have a suite of outright betting markets to explore beyond just the PL winner odds.
And these could offer some value in 2025/26:
Top Four Finish
Although the number of Champions League places available to EPL sides is a bit more fluid these days, in years gone by you needed to finish inside the top four to secure a UCL berth.
And that was the genesis of this popular betting market. This is an option for punters who want to get involved in the Premier League odds with a specific team, but with one eye on hedging risk given that there’s four positions that satisfy this bet… rather than just one.
Top Six Finish
As the name implies, bets are settled as winners here if your chosen team finishes in sixth place or higher.
One strategy to employ here is to look to teams that don’t have a hectic European schedule to contend with; sides like Manchester United and Brighton fit the bill, as they can concentrate solely on the Premier League.
Relegation
Three teams are relegated from the Premier League to the Championship at the end of the season.
Often, the sides that have been promoted are the most vulnerable in the relegation odds, but could Leeds United, Burnley or Sunderland buck that trend in 2025/26?
Golden Boot
Punters can harness their knowledge of the EPL top goalscorers in the Golden Boot betting market.
The Golden Boot, named after the trophy presented to the winner, is handed to the player that scores the most Premier League goals during the current season.
If there’s two or more players tied in the standings, they both win the Golden Boot – your bookmaker may pay out in full, or halve your profit if there’s a two-way share.
PFA – Player of the Season
At the end of the campaign, the Professional Footballers’ Association (PFA) gets together to cast votes on the player that has excelled beyond all others during that EPL season.
Typically, players that score and/or assist lots of goals win the PFA Player of the Season award, but the likes of Virgil van Dijk and N’Golo Kante have also lifted the trophy in the past decade – don’t write off defensive players when betting on this market.
Betting Strategies for the EPL Winner Market
When considering the best EPL betting tips and building a strategy around them, there’s a few key pointers to consider.
Timing Your Bets
The first is the timing of your Premier League winner bets. The odds are available from the end of the prior campaign all the way until the end of the new season – or whenever the champion is mathematically confirmed.
You will, typically, have access to longer Premier League winner betting odds before a ball is kicked than once the season is live – unless, that is, you opt for a slow-starting underdog, whose price has lengthened.
Understanding Value and Implied Probability
When betting on any market, it’s essential that you’re getting value prices as often as possible.
One way to perceive value is through the notion of implied probability, which offers a percentage chance of a something occurring.
At even money, a selection has an implied probability of 50% of happening. At 5/1, that becomes 16.7%. By the time we get to 10/1, implied probability has slipped to 9.1%.
You can use an implied probability calculator online to transform odds into percentages – this can be a useful way to better perceive betting value.
Bankroll Management
The temptation is to place Premier League winner bets at the start of the season and then hope that they come good.
But in terms of managing your bankroll, it can be sensible to spread your bets across multiple entry points.
That way, you can take advantage of fluctuating EPL champions odds – perhaps even backing two or more teams to hedge your risk.
For example, rather than betting 100% of your stake at the start of the season, you could instead wager 33.3% on your chosen team – before backing them, or a rival, with the rest of your stake after a few weeks/months of the campaign.
Expert Predictions and Insights
Before a ball was kicked in 2025/26, Liverpool were strong favourites in the PL winner odds.
But their EPL results have dipped drastically and showcased vulnerabilities. Six defeats in seven games have shown frailties… and they could worsen when Mohamed Salah heads off to the Africa Cup of Nations.
Arsenal have seen the biggest price movement early in the season. They look a different animal in 2025/26, with better squad depth and a proven goalscorer now in their ranks.
Can the Gunners finally shake off their ‘seconditis’? They certainly look ready.
Meanwhile, most of the Premier League pundits and analysts have predicted either a third or fourth place finish for Manchester City.
Maybe that’s fair, given the transition in their squad, but Pep Guardiola is a proven winner and in Erling Haaland, has one of the most prolific strikers in world football – write them off at your peril.
You wonder if the cracks will start to show at Chelsea later in the season. A hectic 2024/25 saw them win the Europa Conference League, win a few games in each of the FA Cup and EFL Cup and play their 38 Premier League matches.
They then went to the Club World Cup, playing more games in fatigue-inducing heat in the United States. So no summer off, before heading into a campaign which will see them return to the Champions League as well as competing on the domestic front.
Could that prove to be too much to bear even for this sizable Chelsea squad?
Historical Context: Previous EPL Winners
It was Liverpool that ended Manchester City’s monopoly on the Premier League trophy in 2024/25.
Prior to that, City had won the title in six of the prior seven season; Liverpool themselves breaking up that dominance with a win in 2019/20.
Chelsea hoisted the trophy in 2014/15 and 2016/17, with arguably the greatest underdog story in sporting history unfolding in 2015/16.
Leicester City, who were nearly relegated from the Premier League in the season prior, delivered one of the most remarkable stories in sport – winning the EPL title, despite odds of 5,000/1… perhaps the biggest betting win ever for the 150 or so punters that are said to have backed them.
Perhaps the historical context teaches us to expect the unexpected in the Premier League title race!
How to Place a Bet on the EPL Winner
So, maybe you’ve decided that you’re ready to explore the Premier League winner odds and place your bet.
To do so, just follow these steps:
1. Choose Your Bookmaker
There’s countless bookmakers that offer Premier League winner odds. But you should still choose yours wisely.
It’s recommended that you focus on betting sites that have a UK operating licence, that are protected by SSL encryption, that offer a generous welcome bonus, ongoing promotions (relevant to EPL betting) and an easy-to-use website and app.
To accelerate this process for you, we recommend the likes of bet365, TalkSPORT Bet, William Hill, Ladbrokes, Sky Bet, William Hill and Betfair to our readers. You can check our English Premier League Betting Sites & Offers comparators for more details.
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2. Navigate to the Premier League
After registering for an account at your bookie of choice, log in and navigate to the Premier League betting section.
Find football on the A-Z of sports (it’s listed as ‘soccer’ at bet365), before tapping the ‘competitions’ header.
There, you’ll see English Premier League listed.
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3. Select Your Bet
After selecting ‘English Premier League’, you’ll perhaps be met with odds for the upcoming matches.
However, you will somewhere find the word ‘outright’. Click that to see a full range of season-long bets: winner, top four finish, top six finish, relegation etc.
Tap the winner option and browse the list of contenders.
Advertising | Image captured on 21-Nov-2025, for illustrative purposes. Subject to change.
4. Place Your Bet
Once you have found your selection, click the odds to add it to your betslip.
Enter your stake – handy tip: always double check you haven’t added an extra ‘0’ by mistake – before clicking to confirm your bet.
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Responsible Gambling Practices
No matter who you bet on during the Premier League season, you should always gamble responsibly.
Good practices include:
- Only bet what you can afford to lose
- Never chase losses
- Never bet when under the influence or feeling angry, emotional etc
- Use responsible gambling tools like deposit limits and session time reminders
If you feel like you have lost control of your gambling, don’t panic. Help is at hand from a number of trusted sources that are free and anonymous: GambleAware and Gamblers Anonymous are helpful, non-judgemental starting points.
Learn More About Our Standards
We believe in transparency. That’s why we’ve created dedicated pages detailing our review and work frameworks:
- UK Responsible Gambling – How we ensure our betting content promotes safe and sustainable play.
- How We Rate Bookmakers in the UK – A deep dive into our scoring methodology and criteria.
And you can always check the UK Gambling Commission for some first-hand information.
More FOOTBALL BETTING Information and guides
If you liked this article, you might be interested in our other football betting content. As a team of betting experts based in the UK, football is a main focus for us. We’ve gathered all our knowledge and shared it in the guides below:
FAQs
Can I bet on the Premier League winner mid-season?
The Premier League winner odds are available from the summer until the end of the season.
Who are the favourites to win the Premier League?
The Premier League winner odds shift throughout the season, so the favourite can change from one week to the next. But Liverpool, Arsenal, Man City and Chelsea are the likely contenders.
What do the different odds formats mean (decimal, fractional, moneyline)?
People often want to know how to read odds — e.g. fractional (common in the UK), decimal, or moneyline — and how to interpret them in terms of payout and implied probability.
How are Premier League odds calculated / what factors influence them?
Beyond simple match result bets (home win/draw/away), you can often bet on double chance, draw‑no‑bet, handicaps, total goals (over/under), correct score, both‑teams-to-score, player props, and more.
Are live, in‑play odds available for Premier League matches?
Yes — many UK bookmakers offer live or in‑play markets for Premier League matches, allowing odds and markets to update dynamically during the match (e.g. next goal, updated match result, over/under).
Can I convert odds into probabilities — and how to understand what those probabilities mean?
Yes. For example with decimal odds, implied probability = 1 ÷ odds. For fractional odds you can likewise work out implied probabilities. This helps you understand how likely bookmakers think an outcome is.
