UEFA Nations League
San Marino
12 Nov 2026 19:45
Belarus
Prediction:
Belarus to win 1.11
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San Marino vs Belarus Predictions, Picks & Odds – 12/11/2026

UEFA Nations League · 5
12 Nov 2026 Louis Hecq

San Marino vs Belarus – Best bets of the match

Our prediction
2: Belarus to win
1.11 on Betfred · Confidence High
Odds recorded on 10 Nov 2026 at 20:36 · Odds are subject to change
Competition: UEFA Nations League
Stage: League C, 5
Date: 12 Nov 2026
Time: 19:45 GMT

San Marino vs Belarus Preview

San Marino's wretched run shows no sign of relenting. Roberto Cevoli's side have lost their last two Nations League outings and remain winless in 28 of their past 30 matches across all competitions. Already confirmed as relegated to League D, they head into this fixture with little more than pride at stake. The absences of Nicolas Giacopetti through suspension and injured duo Michele Cevoli and Alberto Riccardi further thin an already limited squad.

Belarus arrive in far healthier shape. Viktor Goncharenko's men are unbeaten in their last two group fixtures, drawing one and winning the other, and sit second in Group C1 level on points with Finland. A victory here would go a long way towards securing a top-two finish. They will, however, be without suspended pair Artem Shumanskiy and German Barkovskiy, with Shumanskiy's absence particularly felt given his recent goals against both San Marino and Finland.

Belarus arrive in commanding form, unbeaten in their last six matches with three victories and two draws. Their defensive record in this Nations League campaign stands out: just two goals conceded across four fixtures. San Marino, meanwhile, have leaked 16 goals in the same span, averaging four per match. The away win at 1.11 reflects that gulf and represents the cornerstone of our selection.

The head-to-head record is devastating. Belarus have won all three previous meetings against San Marino with an aggregate score of 11-0, including a 4-0 victory in October. Even without suspended forward Artem Shumanskiy, who netted in that rout, Goncharenko's side possess enough quality to breach a defence missing Cevoli and Riccardi through injury.

Given San Marino's inability to score freely and Belarus's miserly backline, both teams to score: no at 1.40 offers genuine value alongside the outright away win. Over 2.5 goals at 1.57 also merits consideration, consistent with the pattern of lopsided results in this fixture. Odds correct at time of publication.

Trends to Know about San Marino vs Belarus

  • Belarus won all three previous meetings
  • San Marino conceded 16 goals in four
  • Belarus averaging under one goal conceded

Form & Statistics: San Marino vs Belarus

San Marino

Recent form

LL
Wins0/2 (0%)
Draws0/2 (0%)
Losses2/2 (100%)

Season statistics (2)

0Total goals
0%Both teams score
0Goals scored
0Goals conceded

Belarus

Recent form

DW
Wins1/2 (50%)
Draws1/2 (50%)
Losses0/2 (0%)

Season statistics (2)

0Total goals
0%Both teams score
0Goals scored
0Goals conceded
StatisticSan MarinoBelarus
Last 5 results2L·1W 1D
Avg goals scored0.0·0.0
Avg goals conceded0.0·0.0
Under 2.5 (last 5)0/2·0/2
Probable lineup

Lineups: San Marino vs Belarus

San Marino

4-3-1-2
  1. 1 Edoardo Colombo
  2. 2 Filippo Fabbri
  3. 3 Marco Pasolini
  4. 4 Dante Rossi
  5. 5 Simone Giocondi
  6. 6 Cristian Meloni
  7. 7 Lorenzo Capicchioni
  8. 8 Enea Della Balda
  9. 9 Samuele Zannoni
  10. 10 Fausto Salicioni
  11. 11 Samuel Pancotti
  • Nicolas Giacopetti (Suspension (second booking of the group))
  • Nicola Nanni (Not in the listed squad)
  • Michele Cevoli (Injury)
  • Alberto Riccardi (Injury)

Belarus

4-4-2
  1. 1 Fedor Lapoukhov
  2. 2 Vladislav Kalinin
  3. 3 Zakhar Volkov
  4. 4 Kirill Gomanov
  5. 5 Kirill Pechenin
  6. 6 Anton Lukashov
  7. 7 Valeri Bocharov
  8. 8 Maks Ebong
  9. 9 Aleksandr Selyava
  10. 10 Artem Kontsevoy
  11. 11 Vitaliy Lisakovich
  • Artem Shumanskiy (Suspension (booking threshold))
  • German Barkovskiy (Suspension (booking threshold))

Medium confidence

A 4-3-1-2 against a 4-4-2 sets up an intriguing midfield contest, with San Marino's narrow diamond shape inviting pressure through the flanks. Samuele Zannoni will be pivotal in linking the lines for the hosts, who must remain compact if they are to frustrate a Belarusian side built on width and directness.

Belarus look to Vitaliy Lisakovich to provide the cutting edge in a partnership up front, and their flat midfield four should give them numerical parity across the centre of the pitch. Both probable XIs carry similar confidence levels from their sources, so the tactical picture is reasonably clear ahead of kickoff in Serravalle.

How to Watch San Marino vs Belarus Match?

What time is San Marino vs Belarus?

San Marino host Belarus on 12 November 2026, with kickoff scheduled for 19:45 GMT.

Where is San Marino vs Belarus being played?

The venue for this fixture is yet to be confirmed by the organisers.

How Can I Watch San Marino vs Belarus on TV and Live Stream?

Broadcast details for this fixture have not yet been confirmed. Check local listings closer to kickoff.