The question we are all asking: "Will we finish 5th?"
Looking at things from Portsmouth's and Villa's point of view:
Portsmouth have to get 5 more points than us, from the remaining games. Villa have to get 7 more points than us, from the remaining games.
With Portsmouth our goal difference is worth a point. If Portsmouth and us end up with equal points then our goal difference should see us above them.
With Villa goal difference is not such an advantage, so if they finish with equal points to us, goal difference may not help us, but the gap with them is 6pts.
If we lose our three remaining games, Man City and Blackburn could catch us, but the equation with them is loaded in our favour. So losing the remaining games would probably see us finish 6th or 7th, which assumes that Villa and / or Portsmouth will pick up enough points to move above us.
Any points we can pick up will make the task of Portsmouth and Villa that much more difficult.
I reckon another 4 points should be enough to see us home. So 3pts against either Villa or the Bar Codes is a must.
As far as Intertoto qualification is concerned, we need to finish above Villa, unless they end up being 5th.
If we could look into the future and see Portsmouth win the FA cup, then we could all breathe more easily.
Brian Baker, Posted 18/04/2008 at 09:11:51
Note: the following content is not moderated or vetted by the site owners at the time of submission. Comments are the responsibility of the poster. Disclaimer
1 Posted 18/04/2008 at 22:43:44
The clincher here, though, is that both teams have a game advantage. So, worst case after this weekend is Portsmouth have to get 2 more points than us and Villa 4. I think things will be either more rosy or more scary once we’re all on 35 games played.