Season 2012-13
Opinion
Talking Points
The Tide is Changing on Merseyside
I know we’re only 6 games into a long hard season. We’re currently in 2nd place. I know a lot of things can happen between now and May to cause us to fall from our lofty position. I’m certainly not trying to tempt fate, but having gone through over 10 seasons with David Moyes, I think we can be fairly sure that none of his Everton teams will ever be one-season wonders.
Over the past 10 years, Moyes has slowly and steadily built a team that marries hard work with tenacity, and now, with guile and tremendous skill as well. We may not end up in 2nd place this season, but I think based on past track record, we can be fairly certain that we’ll be in or around 6th place, maybe higher.
I’m sure all would agree that the Everton team of today is one that is going places. They may not be Premier League champions yet, but they are without doubt a top 6 side, and – with luck – may be able to scrap into the top 4 as well. With good husbandry of our finances and hopefully a benefactor to eventually materialise on the back of a few good years ahead, Everton are well poised to build on their current success and to secure themselves as a consistent top 6 team in the League.
Looking at the other end of Stanley Park, however, another picture emerges. What we see is a team that once was probably the best footballing side in Europe, if not the world. But, after over 10 years of poor management, dodgy transfers and acrimonious ownership changes, Liverpool FC are decidedly a mid-table side today. The 8th position they finished last year is a true reflection of how far they have fallen, and if they can achieve 10th place this year, many of the RS fans will see that as an achievement.
They currently have a team made up of one or 2 genuine world class players, who are surrounded by ageing stars, one-dimensional over-priced wannabes, and some promising, though untested youngsters who could potential become stars of the future. They are running out of money to fund further big ticket acquisitions, and if they fail to get into Europe this season, their remaining top players may need to be sold off over the summer to keep the club’s finances above water. This will mean that the RS will fall further behind the top 6 EPL clubs, of which Everton are one.
So we are in the cusp of a change on Merseyside, the likes of which we haven’t seen since 1984 when Kendall’s team came to the fore and competed head-to-head with Liverpool for the next 5 years (1985 to 1989). This time, however, the change will not be between Liverpool and Everton fighting for 1st and 2nd place in the League, but rather, fighting to see who will get into the top 6 places. And based on how the future will unfold, I’m banking that Everton will be the one that will consistently be in the top 6 position, and from time to time, nudge into the top 4 position. Liverpool, on the other hand, will struggle to break into the top 6 group, and will from time to time, drop into the mid-table range of 10th to 12th place.
Change is certainly upon us. We are living the history now. And we can tell our children in the future that we were there in 2012 when the tide changed on Merseyside.
Tim Luke, Posted 04/10/2012 at 10:33:08
Reader Comments
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812 Posted 04/10/2012 at 15:14:41
814 Posted 04/10/2012 at 15:19:20
In fact I can already hear a commentary on a game 10 years from now.
It's....it's a Champions League final I think.
Yes, it's Bayern V Porsmouth (a billionaire Arab bough them and they 'did a City').
Commentator: 'Well Portsmouth now absolutely cruising...3 nil up and 20 minutes to go....I don't want to Tim Luke them, but I'd say they have this in the bag".
Type stuff.
815 Posted 04/10/2012 at 15:28:58
We will know more about the tide after 10-12 games.
818 Posted 04/10/2012 at 15:33:43
828 Posted 04/10/2012 at 15:57:23
831 Posted 04/10/2012 at 16:01:59
832 Posted 04/10/2012 at 16:00:38
Also, I'm struggling a bit with "we can tell our children in the future that we were there in 2012 when the tide changed on Merseyside". Er, Tim - if it happens you won't be there, you're in Singapore!
838 Posted 04/10/2012 at 16:13:53
839 Posted 04/10/2012 at 16:10:19
Whether our time really has come, is yet to be determined. Let us see how we fare against the likes of Arse, Shitty, and Chelski.
842 Posted 04/10/2012 at 16:27:16
Are you ok?
Those people do exist Julian. There called con-artists.
845 Posted 04/10/2012 at 16:42:06
Liverpool may need to sell to balance their books a bit and we may well finish above them this season. But longer term unless there is a structural uplift to Everton (i.e. we get into the Champions League a few years running or get a billionaire owner) that even without LFC getting Champions League football their revenue is going to be consistently more than ours. Which means that they will be able to hire and pay better players.
The gap has closed because they have lost their automatic access to the Champions League. But the structural advantage remains with LFC for now.
847 Posted 04/10/2012 at 16:34:01
Even during Kendals revival of our great club they turned us over in 3 cup finals.
They're not as bad as we like to think which could be proved in a few weeks when Moyes decides whether to revert to type or not.
849 Posted 04/10/2012 at 16:45:48
855 Posted 04/10/2012 at 16:54:06
871 Posted 04/10/2012 at 17:29:44
873 Posted 04/10/2012 at 17:43:24
874 Posted 04/10/2012 at 17:43:36
As for the football, I said as we finished well last May, we've got one more season to nail this. Fellaini, Jelavic, Heitinga, maybe Baines and Jagielka will be made offers they can't refuse if we don't get a high finish. Top 4 even then may be essential. Then the 'investment' would, probably, follow. And the squad would be strengthened .... etc.
7th or lower could have very serious consequences for us.
Across the park? Don't know to be honest. How you piss £50mil against the wall, although I've done my best, I just can't imagine. But its a dangerous beast, possibly more so when wounded.
If our own house remains in order for the next, what? 40 games or so, all will be well, no matter what they do.
893 Posted 04/10/2012 at 18:37:25
I say, mate, enjoy today's view and wish for rosier settings tomorrow. None of us have the faintest clue about tomorrow - If you listened to BK 10 years ago you'd thought we'd have been sold by now.
Liverpool was also purchased by people looking to make money on their investment first and foremost. That means they will find someone eventually who will take it off their hands who has big money and thus the tides could certainly change right back in a hurry.
Enjoy Today.
And on an aside, I know's it's great that Liverpool are a shambles but it just seems so pessimistic for us to always bring them up. It's as if some people would rather see them lose than us win.
In Boston, they cheer "Yankees suck!" when they're not even playing the Yankees. The Yankees aren't worried about the Red Sox because they haven't beaten them consistently for 60 years (sans two championships). Liverpool isn't worried about us, they've been kicking our asses since the 80's. Lets focus on us and how well we can do for once. Let's let them cheer "Everton suck!" When they're playing Stoke.
919 Posted 04/10/2012 at 19:43:22
944 Posted 04/10/2012 at 20:33:01
It is a matter of fact - " The Highest Payers win the Highest Awards" - FACT , We need a huge increase in our income stream to compete not only with Liverpool but the rest of the Top " 12/15" out there.
One comment I would like to challenge hoping someone out there knows the answer is that the fact stated above hold true in England, Spain etc but does Germany buck the fact . Dortmund vs City last night , anyone know the respective income/salaries as Dortmund battered City.
948 Posted 04/10/2012 at 20:49:07
The glass half full view will say we have only lost 3 league games in 2012 and on this calendar years form should be considered top 4.
The glass half empty view will tell you about the FA,FIFA , referees and media conspiracies to ensure both the Red devils and Satan's reds will prosper even in adversity.
We have promised so much and failed to deliver on so many occasions that my real fear is the now raised level of expectancy when we hit a bad run and the supporters turn on the players instead of encouraging them.
Southampton was a classic case in point.
There we are fighting for second place and the ground was like a mausoleum at times.
We cant even get consistency over 90 minutes let alone a season so it is far too early to predict what will be.
Lets just enjoy it for now and see where it takes us.
950 Posted 04/10/2012 at 21:08:12
I am not knocking it by the way, Walter had a couple of big wins but mostly dreadful. Special mention to chucking my guts up at Maine Road on the wrong end of a mauling, thanks Walter.
953 Posted 04/10/2012 at 21:19:01
955 Posted 04/10/2012 at 21:16:07
958 Posted 04/10/2012 at 21:25:54
959 Posted 04/10/2012 at 21:31:21
Shite are getting beat though. Ha Ha.
961 Posted 04/10/2012 at 21:36:13
970 Posted 04/10/2012 at 22:01:45
The Shite have spent thirty years playing kick and rush, shove and push, direct, long ball football. They bought their Geordie folly last season to fit this style. All their teams have been coached to play the same way, the juniors, the stiffs, the lot. The new style isn’t working for them. Rodgers can’t persevere for ever with his game if they continue to languish near the bottom. They could get caught betwixt and between for a while. And then they’ll sack their manager. At which point Rafa returns … to a “smaller” club.
I’d “luv it” to happen.
973 Posted 04/10/2012 at 22:13:20
983 Posted 04/10/2012 at 22:29:27
One home game, one defeat. So far, so good, keep it help Agent Rodgers.
999 Posted 04/10/2012 at 23:22:59
Regarding Dortmund, I was thinking the same thing. I know they bought Reus for 37 million euros - or something close to that - so they definitely have money. They also sell well and draft good young players in the Xavi, Iniesta mold. They are fabulous to watch and make me believe in the fact that if the system is good, there can be a lot of moving parts. Kagawa leaves and Reus comes in. They take young players like Gundogan who looks to be a peach. Arsenal is similar but not as "together" as Dortmund. This is the style that most continental teams now utilize. Small players that can fit into different roles with the fullbacks coming forwards. We're just catching onto it. Better late than never.
018 Posted 05/10/2012 at 03:32:41
I just don't have the same optimism as some on here who are salivating at the prospect of a strong Everton going into a derby match as faves. I remember us being the pits and Liverpool as Champions of Europe in the 70s but we raised our game and usually earned a share of the spoils or – thanks to King's strike – even better.
They have a habit of scaring the shit out of Moyes; if only he'd adopt the same formula as the AJ game, we'd have a real go at them for a change. Sadly, I'm certain he'll prefer 'Kung-fu' Tony at right back and Jelly on his own up front. Just like last season, he will probably hand over the initiative instead of telling his players they are there for the taking.
This is probably the last chance of us achieving anything under DM as the vultures will come buzzing if we don't live up to expectations this season. So, starting with the derby, let's hope he surprises us and keeps the pressure on their fading lights.
019 Posted 05/10/2012 at 04:41:29
This season will be pretty defining for both clubs and it could see us established as a top club and them finished as the big club they have tried to maintain they are for 20 barren years.
021 Posted 05/10/2012 at 05:52:12
024 Posted 05/10/2012 at 06:37:24
025 Posted 05/10/2012 at 06:35:44
026 Posted 05/10/2012 at 06:51:24
Going back to Liverpool scoring 5. The interesting thing was all of Suarez's goals were outside the box. When he's hot he's hot, when he's not they're in the stand. If he'd scored 3 tap-ins it's time to worry. He's a good footballer, but he will squander a lot of points.
027 Posted 05/10/2012 at 07:11:48
029 Posted 05/10/2012 at 07:31:43
041 Posted 05/10/2012 at 09:42:35
If we don't concede our annual 6 points to them, maybe I'll believe this has a different ending.
044 Posted 05/10/2012 at 09:50:23
048 Posted 05/10/2012 at 09:23:04
Should they play Downing on the left we wouldn't need any right back at all, he is gash! If the Sterling gets the nod then Seamus has got the pace to keep up with him, though his trickery could lead to silly fouls.
I'm currently weighing up whether to go, the deciding factors being funds, someone to go with and the fear of Moyes pulling his pants down and bending over. (Not literally, of course!)
063 Posted 05/10/2012 at 11:11:54
Brendan Rodgers's Relegation Dodgers are absolute gash if you ask me, sold off all their (half-decent) players and are now relying on England's worst ever B-team, over-hyped no-mark kids and a crap system enforced by a useless (out-of-his-depth) PE teacher who really thinks they've played great every time they get beat..
We Blues couldn't have asked for better than King Kenny... stand up Queen Brenny!
066 Posted 05/10/2012 at 11:31:09
Gosling and AJ excluded I have very rarely ever had fun when the derby kicks off in my 20 years...
073 Posted 05/10/2012 at 12:13:22
082 Posted 05/10/2012 at 12:15:15
083 Posted 05/10/2012 at 12:38:36
084 Posted 05/10/2012 at 12:39:26
085 Posted 05/10/2012 at 12:44:32
I think one transformation that is happening is a reduction in their phytsical prowess. Rafa's teams all used to be over 6 foot, they would choke the life out of you, bash it long, harry you into mistakes and hope Gerrard would lash in a deflected rebound. Rodgers's team is full of smaller physically weaker players.
If it comes to a football competition rather than a kick-and-rush job then I fancy our chances a bit more. Some of the newer arrivals like Jelavic, Mirallas and Gibson don't seem to have any respect for whoever they're playing so will hopefully not freeze like past players have at the mere mention of Liverpool. We've shrugged off our Man Utd complex in recent times now to finally shake off our last burden.
087 Posted 05/10/2012 at 12:26:47
Basically it was just so blinkered, with the emphasis on when and not if Liverpool start sweeping away all before them. It was if they are not allowed to say anything at all in case someone at Liverpool got upset by any sort of objectivity or caveat following on from the gushing praise.
The icing on the cake for me was that at 1-1 they brought on Gerrard and Suarez and within 10 minutes they were 3-1 down. Suarez then scores from a free kick and both commentators just ignored the fact that they'd conceded 2 goals and kept going on about how great they were for Liverpool when before they came on they were actually drawing not losing. I was shouting at the telly by this point.
Conclusion is that they have such a big fanbase they must not be upset at any cost by commentary teams.
088 Posted 05/10/2012 at 12:58:39
092 Posted 05/10/2012 at 13:26:47
093 Posted 05/10/2012 at 13:42:25
If we treat the RS the same way we treat everyone else then we have nothing to fear. I'll believe it when I see it though.
094 Posted 05/10/2012 at 13:10:12
I think we all enjoy a bit of escapism and this fanciful post is great. For that reason: I'm in.
However, extrapolation with little concern for variables should be enjoyed with a pinch of salt.
Everton, for instance, have a good team but a thin squad. Also, may be on financial thin ice. If the bank comes knocking again players will go.
Liverpool, a team in transition with some very good players, have a new man at the helm who needs time to prove himself. I've heard him referred to as a great manager, which is clearly silly as he hasn't done anything yet, but, in truth, nobody knows how good he is.
I like talking about them because it makes me feel even better about Everton but, nice though schadenfreude can be, I'm not sure it is either healthy or helpful. For that reason: I'm out.
095 Posted 05/10/2012 at 13:26:30
098 Posted 05/10/2012 at 14:01:43
Despite their abysmal form over a long period, you are still talking up the RS. This recent Norwich away victory was their first in the league this season. Granted, they scored five, but having looked at the stats (I don't watch their matches, as a rule), and it possibly wasn't the overwhelming victory that the media make out. Practically everything they tried worked, and even a very poor Norwich team managed to score twice.
How about focussing on us, and showing a bit more optimism and positivity for our team? We are playing the best football since the eighties, and crucially, we have end product.
I know, I know, they always seem to "do us" in the derbies, and I've had my share of heartbreak at their hands since the early 1970s, but let's shake off this negativity and inferiority complex amongst the fans, eh?
101 Posted 05/10/2012 at 14:50:19
103 Posted 05/10/2012 at 14:52:51
Perhaps you remember what Moyes then did to throw a bucket of wet fish over that optimism and positivity.
What's that saying: fool me once...
105 Posted 05/10/2012 at 14:39:51
Their successes in the past have assured them of a massive fanbase and a turnover that dwarfs ours several times over. Barring their continued decline on the pitch (and maybe even inspite of it), they will buy themselves out of trouble if they have to. They will eventually build their new stands to accommodate some of their massive waiting list of fans and extend their financial lead over us still further.
If Moyes can start actually winning trophies, and their on-pitch fortunes decline further we may have a chance to actually turn that tide..... do to them what they did to us in the 70s. But, it will really take something of that level to turn things around properly. Either that or a Man City type take-over.
124 Posted 05/10/2012 at 15:53:36
162 Posted 05/10/2012 at 19:42:52
201 Posted 05/10/2012 at 22:54:39
So here: We play them on the 28th. I expect us to take them apart. After which, a "2010 EFC-ManU" post game rant from you, please.
You beautifully expressed passion in words then. More of the same? We're on?
218 Posted 06/10/2012 at 00:07:22
I have attacked Moyes many times for being cautious and seemingly in awe of them and yet we the fans are afflicted by this 'urban myth' of them being some kind of invincible red army. They are shite and have been for years, yes we have been worse in the past, but we are better than them NOW and its now that counts. We need to get stuck in on the 28th I couldnt stomach another gutless performance like the last two.
220 Posted 06/10/2012 at 00:26:07
224 Posted 06/10/2012 at 01:06:23
Everton have an injury crisis; Duffy and Hibbert at centre back. Coleman crosses and Duffy heads in the winner to complete the first ever hat trick by a center half in a derby game.
Sorry, they were doing two bottles of strong red for £9 in the offy tonight.
233 Posted 06/10/2012 at 03:34:42
235 Posted 06/10/2012 at 04:00:08
256 Posted 06/10/2012 at 07:15:12
289 Posted 06/10/2012 at 10:26:09
295 Posted 06/10/2012 at 10:51:48
Two bottles of stong red for £9....Duffy to score a hat-trick? Many bottles did you buy?
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811 Posted 04/10/2012 at 15:12:06