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Karl Masters
1 Posted 05/01/2021 at 23:58:23
I'd agree with most of that.

Think we will still be looking at buying players. The squad is a good one, needing maybe three more quality acts to propel us to true top 4 potential.

I wouldn't be too surprised if we cashed in on Richarlison and reinvested the whole amount. I can't see Barca being able to offer £85M again though.

One thing stands out – we haven't half wasted a lot of money in the last 4 years!

Habib Erkan Jr
2 Posted 06/01/2021 at 00:38:50
Thanks Paul for an excellent analysis. Really appreciate the time and effort you put in the article.
Martin Mason
3 Posted 06/01/2021 at 09:33:32
Excellent article, as always, Paul.
Ajay Gopal
4 Posted 06/01/2021 at 12:24:42
Paul, as always you go a fantastic job of sifting through the data, analysing it and presenting it in a coherent fashion, so that we as fans can form a more informed opinion rather than the “I can do a better job than Brands, and Everton don't have to pay me anything” nonsense that gets spouted on here frequently. Much appreciated, Sir.
Kevin Prytherch
5 Posted 06/01/2021 at 12:37:32
“Thus in less than 3 years, less than 25% of the initial squad remain.”

Sorry, but this shouldn't be a phrase to congratulate Brands with. A great deal of players either left because their contracts expired or had their contracts cancelled.

It might have been more interesting to quote a percentage of players that Brands has actually managed to get rid of before their contracts expired.

Also, Walcott and Kean have been omitted from the second list (still contracted) while the second list contains U23s in italics whilst the first list doesn't. Heavily skewed to make Brands seem better than he is.

  • Was Duke-McKenna ever actually part of the first team?
  • Will Brands's job of getting rid of players finally be complete in 2 years time when everyone's contract has expired?
  • Are we to ignore the ridiculous increase in wage costs?
  • What about the 7 senior pros signed by Brands, each for big money or substantial wages, who are not considered first-team regulars? (I've even excluded Mina from that list.)

Until this season (decent fees for Allan, Rodriguez, Doucouré and the signings of Nkounkou and Branthwaite), I would say that Brands has not been a success.

Brian Harrison
6 Posted 06/01/2021 at 12:40:57
Paul

Yet another great and informative piece I have no idea how long it takes you to put these articles together but they are in my opinion the best articles that appear on T/W.

I think that you have highlighted for months now that our present approach to buying players is unsustainable, unless we can offload a number of players. This is undoubtedly true, but the players we would like to sell don't seem to be in any hurry to move on, which is quite understandable as no other club will meet their present salary level. That's why the only players we have moved out are those on loan deals, which requires Everton to still pay the lion's share of the player's wages. The players we did eventually move out permanently were sold for little or no fee at all.

Although that FFP hasn't been mentioned much during the pandemic, I think that it will be under more scrutiny when this season finishes. Now we must be very close to falling foul of the FFP rules, and we may have to make some unpalatable decisions come the next summer window.

The problem that Ancelotti and Brands will be faced with is a very small finite amount of money they will be allowed to spend, and will only be allowed to sell before they buy. Which will make the job of improving the squad so much harder.

We are fortunate that we have enough back-four players to help us compete at the top end of the league, but we badly need more attacking players and we know they are the most expensive to buy.

So I just wonder how Moshiri gives Ancelotti and Brands the funds that they need to improve the squad, but still stays inside the FFP rules? As, apart from Kean, I don't see anyone who is not a first-team regular who would bring in the sort of money needed to improve this squad.

Kevin Molloy
7 Posted 06/01/2021 at 13:05:56
He's spent hundreds of millions, and been responsible for signing one player I think whose value will have gone up (in a way you'd notice) not down (Digne). It's not like we don't know what good transfer market dealings look like (see David Moyes's tenure).

If it wasn't for the job Ancelotti has done, we would be an example to global football in how to get things catastrophically wrong by spending obscene amounts of money to no real effect.

Notwithstanding the fact that a greater buffoon stands behind him in the shape of the current manager of Barcelona. If it was me, his feet wouldn't touch the floor.

Alan J Thompson
8 Posted 06/01/2021 at 13:41:34
Paul; I know you list them as "key loans out" but you seem to have omitted Lewis Gibson. I mention him as he was purchased from another club and there were, I believe, add-ons after either time or appearances. It may not be much but it would be included amortisation and possibly a lower wage bill.

Sorry if it is just nitpicking without affecting the overall picture.

Phil (Kelsall) Roberts
9 Posted 06/01/2021 at 19:57:10
Kevin #5 - I give you Mirallas and Garbutt to name but 2 and I am sure there were others.

Players who should have been quietly released at the end of their contract but we given a new contract in the vain hope that they would come good or some other desperate team would come in and buy them. We gave them new contracts. Garbutt never even pulled on an Everton shirt in those 5 years. Mirallas signed new contracts in 2015 and 2017 and played 44 games in total over those 5 years.

Perhaps his ability to not offer stupid contracts is something for which he needs our thanks that being condemned for letting others run out to move them on.

Kevin Prytherch
10 Posted 07/01/2021 at 12:37:07
Phil 9 - not disputing things like that. Just pointing out that the article is heavily skewed in Brands favour (Paul’s articles are usually fairly neutral I’ve found) and suggesting that Brands has been responsible for 75% of an inflated squad leaving in 3 years is wide of the mark.
Jerome Shields
11 Posted 07/01/2021 at 17:48:21
I think Brands has done a fair job, but has been hampered by what he inherited, and an unsuitable manager in Silva, that was imposed upon him. A lot of his job has been getting rid of deadwood, which he has been successful at.

As Paul the Esk says, he is only half-way through the job. There have been a lot of changes happening at the academy which are not reported, but are happening according to ToffeeWebbers who following the youth teams and watch them play when they can.

I expect Brands to sign a new contract.

Brian Murray
12 Posted 08/01/2021 at 06:29:02
No reason to point the finger now at Brands over past deals. It's the here and now he needs to step up and swiftly loan or get rid of the likes of Tosun and Sigurdsson etc.

Call me naive or fanciful but shouldn't he already be prepared for getting his targets in place? Not just the obvious well-documented ones like the Norwich lad!

Jerome Shields
13 Posted 08/01/2021 at 12:59:43
I notice that Paul the Esk is in favour of a new Sigurdsson contract, on financial grounds. It has occurred to me that Soggy's recent good performances have something to do with wanting a new contract. I would exercise caution, because over his contract he has often sat on his hands, performance-wise.
James Parker
14 Posted 08/01/2021 at 15:36:59
I think Brands has done a decent job and has transfer deals have been decent on the whole and added value to the squad. I think the wage bill from the walsh and koeman era has made it difficult to recoup value from signings such as Sandro.

I can see Brands signing a new contract. I don't think however he or any other DOF will have the wide encompassing remit of a DOF under Moshiri. Moshiri and Kenwright seem to be responsible for picking managers drawing up random shortlists betweem them.

Squad planning is incredibly difficult if there is no consistent style of play or formation with the managers appointed. All of the managers recruited under Moshiri have seemingly been reluctant to play academy players so I am not sure if we will get the full benefit of the academy. Board seems happy for the DOF to be on the whole a transfer negiotator and Brands has shown he is very good at that
Nicholas Ryan
15 Posted 09/01/2021 at 19:58:38
Spot on Paul.

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