UEFA Nations League
England
12 Nov 2026 19:45
Croatia
Prediction:
England to win 1.25
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England vs Croatia Predictions, Picks & Odds – 12/11/2026

UEFA Nations League · 5
12 Nov 2026 Louis Hecq

England vs Croatia – Best bets of the match

Our prediction
1: England to win
1.25 on Betfred · Confidence High
Odds recorded on 10 Nov 2026 at 20:28 · Odds are subject to change
Competition: UEFA Nations League
Stage: League A, 5
Date: 12 Nov 2026
Time: 19:45 GMT

England vs Croatia Preview

England are in devastating form, winning four of their last five matches and riding the momentum of that historic 7-0 demolition of Croatia in the reverse fixture. Harry Kane, fresh from claiming the 2026 Ballon d'Or, has been prolific with 11 goals this calendar year. Anthony Gordon and Jude Bellingham have also been outstanding contributors. The Three Lions will look to maintain pressure on group leaders Spain in League A, Group 3.

Croatia arrive at this fixture carrying the scars of their heaviest ever defeat. Slaven Bilić's side have shown resilience elsewhere, winning three of their last five outings, but that October humiliation looms large. Luka Modrić, still orchestrating proceedings at 41, remains central to their hopes of a response. Climbing the group standings is essential, and restoring collective pride after such a chastening result will be the primary motivation for this experienced squad.

England's home win at 1.25 is the cornerstone of this selection. The Three Lions have won four of their last five outings, and their attacking output this campaign has been extraordinary, averaging 3.5 goals per Nations League fixture. Harry Kane, fresh from his 2026 Ballon d'Or triumph, has struck 11 times in the calendar year for his country, while Anthony Gordon and Jude Bellingham continue to deliver decisive contributions.

Croatia's recent form reads reasonably well with three wins from five, yet their underlying numbers tell a different story. They average just a single goal per Nations League match this term, and the psychological scars of that record-breaking 7-0 humiliation will be difficult to shake. Slaven Bilić faces a monumental task in reorganising a side that conceded seven, even with the experienced Luka Modrić orchestrating from midfield.

Over 2.5 goals at 1.48 looks a strong secondary pick given England's prolific scoring rate and Croatia's defensive fragility in this head-to-head. Both teams to score at 1.91 also merits consideration; Croatia will push forward needing a result, which should leave gaps England can exploit while offering the visitors occasional openings on the counter.

Trends to Know about England vs Croatia

  • England average 3.5 goals per match
  • Kane scored 11 goals in 2026
  • Croatia conceded seven in reverse fixture

Form & Statistics: England vs Croatia

England

Recent form

WLWWW
Wins4/5 (80%)
Draws0/5 (0%)
Losses1/5 (20%)

Season statistics (5)

0Total goals
0%Both teams score
0Goals scored
0Goals conceded

Croatia

Recent form

LWWLW
Wins3/5 (60%)
Draws0/5 (0%)
Losses2/5 (40%)

Season statistics (5)

0Total goals
0%Both teams score
0Goals scored
0Goals conceded
StatisticEnglandCroatia
Last 5 results4W 1L·3W 2L
Avg goals scored0.0·0.0
Avg goals conceded0.0·0.0
Under 2.5 (last 5)0/5·1/5
Probable lineup

Lineups: England vs Croatia

England

4-2-3-1
  1. 1 Jordan Pickford
  2. 2 Trent Alexander-Arnold
  3. 3 Ezri Konsa
  4. 4 Marc Guehi
  5. 5 Lewis Hall
  6. 6 Elliot Anderson
  7. 7 James Garner
  8. 8 Jude Bellingham
  9. 9 Eberechi Eze
  10. 10 Harry Kane
  11. 11 Anthony Gordon
  • James Trafford
  • Myles Lewis-Skelly
  • Morgan Rogers
  • Morgan Gibbs-White
  • Dominic Calvert-Lewin
  • Rio Ngumoha
  • Jason Steele
  • Jarrad Branthwaite (injury)
  • Bukayo Saka (injury)
  • Trevoh Chalobah (injury)
  • Alex Scott (injury)

Croatia

4-2-3-1
  1. 1 Dominik Livaković
  2. 2 Josip Stanišić
  3. 3 Josip Šutalo
  4. 4 Luka Vušković
  5. 5 Joško Gvardiol
  6. 6 Luka Modrić
  7. 7 Mateo Kovačić
  8. 8 Martin Baturina
  9. 9 Luka Sučić
  10. 10 Petar Musa
  11. 11 Ivan Perišić
  • Andrej Kramarić
  • Igor Matanović
  • Kristijan Jakić
  • Nikola Vlašić
  • Mario Pašalić
  • Josip Mišić
  • Ivor Pandur
  • Marin Pongračić (injury)
  • Martin Erlić (injury)

Medium confidence

A mirror image of formations sets the stage at Wembley, with both sides lining up in a 4-2-3-1. England's attacking intent centres on Jude Bellingham operating behind Harry Kane, whilst Croatia will look to Luka Modrić and Mateo Kovačić to dictate tempo from a deep-lying double pivot.

Croatia's defensive shape will be tested by the width England can generate, with Trent Alexander-Arnold pushing forward from right back. For the visitors, Ivan Perišić offers experienced threat on the flank, and their ability to transition quickly through Luka Sučić could prove the decisive tactical wrinkle in this fixture.

How to Watch England vs Croatia Match?

What time is England vs Croatia?

England vs Croatia kicks off at 19:45 GMT on Wednesday 11 December 2026.

Where is England vs Croatia being played?

The venue for England vs Croatia is to be confirmed by UEFA ahead of the fixture.

How Can I Watch England vs Croatia on TV and Live Stream?

Broadcast details for England vs Croatia will be confirmed closer to the fixture by UEFA and local rights holders.