English Premier League Betting Tips For Beginners – Season 25/26
Are you a beginner looking for the best English Premier League betting tips? You’ve come to the right place. We’ve crunched the numbers and performed the research to provide you with the ultimate guide to EPL betting strategies. Check it out!
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Top Betting Tips for the 2025/26 Season
Football is unpredictable. And the Premier League especially so… who can forget when Leicester City won the title at odds of 5,000/1 in 2015/16 – that was one of the greatest underdog victories in the history of sport.
So making football predictions for the Premier League is not easy, although you can increase your likely success rate by following some simple tactics and strategies.
Home Team Advantage
The first of our English Premier League betting tips is to consider home advantage.
During the 2024/25 Premier League season, 41% of all games played ended in a home win, with a further 24% as a draw.
So that means that away teams won a third of all matches (35%), irrespective of the quality of the sides involved.
Clearly, there is an advantage to playing on home soil. And while it’s not an exact science, that is something to consider in your EPL football predictions.
Crunching the Numbers
Every week, there will be Premier League games played between two teams that are close to one another in the standings.
The odds will therefore typically be of greater value… if you’re able to predict the winner of these tight contests.
This is where taking a deep dive into the stats can be helpful. Consider the home/away splits, recent form, head-to-head records and even advanced metrics such as Expected Goals (xG), which offers an insight into how good – or otherwise – the teams are at creating goalscoring chances and repelling them.
Player Props
For many years, punters have been able to bet on the players they believe will score first, last or anytime in a particular game.
This can be a useful avenue to explore, particularly when considering the strength of the two teams – ideally, you want to back a player from the side expected to enjoy supremacy – and other details like form, home advantage etc.
More and more UK bookmakers are offering other player props now, too. Fire up the Bet Builder tools from the likes of bet365 and for certain Premier League matches, you’ll see markets for player passes, tackles, fouls, shots and more besides.
So another of our Premier League betting tips is to consider these player-based options as part of your wagering strategy; you may just be able to spot some value.
Doubles, Trebles, Accas
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You can bet on single selections when making your football predictions for the Premier League if you wish; this lowers your risk, but it also caps your potential returns too.
That’s why some punters prefer to expand their options with doubles, trebles and even accumulators, which allow for four or more selections to be made in a single bet.
It’s worth noting that it only takes one leg of an accumulator, or ‘acca’ as they are often known, to fail for your entire bet to be unsuccessful.
But the upside is that the odds of each selection are multiplied together, creating the potential for larger returns. For example, picks of 4/6, 8/11, 7/10 and 10/11 can be placed in an acca at cumulative odds of just over 8/1.
More Time, More Goals
At the World Cup in 2022, a new initiative saw match officials add on more injury time to the end of games.
The outcome? Games now last, on average, a good few minutes longer… creating more opportunities for goals.
During the 2023/24 Premier League season, an average of 3.20 goals were scored per game – a competition record. The 2024/25 campaign, while dipping from that high, was still the second-highest scoring season in EPL history.
So more goals are being scored than ever before… excellent fodder for Premier League betting tips that cannot be ignored.
Understanding Premier League Betting Markets
The average UK bookmaker now offers in excess of 50 different betting markets for each Premier League game.
In terms of making EPL football predictions, these are the most popular options:
Match Result
One of the easiest betting markets to understand, the match result option simply asks you to predict the outcome of a game.
There’s three possibilities: home win, draw or away win.
Total Goals (Over/Under)
You can bet on how many goals you think will be scored in a game. Your bookmaker will offer lines like 0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5 and so on; you must decide in your football predictions for the Premier League whether the match will go ‘over’ or ‘under’ the line.
For example, if you think there will be three or more goals in a game, you would back ‘over 2.5’. If you think there will be two or fewer, you would back ‘under 2.5’.
Both Teams to Score
As the name suggests, here you’re simply betting on whether both teams in the game will score or not.
It doesn’t matter who wins or what the final score is, along as both teams find the net. That said, there’s also a ‘No’ option – i.e. both teams NOT to score.
Correct Score
Not the easiest of the Premier League betting markets this; hence why the odds tend to be longer than most other categories of bets.
Here, you’re trying to predict the exact final result of a game. The more unexpected the correct score, the higher the odds – e.g. 1-1 might be 5/1, whereas 4-4 might be 30/1.
First Goalscorer
As mentioned already in this Premier League betting tips article, first goalscorer is a popular market that has been around for decades.
Punters are simply betting on the player that will score the first goal in a game. There’s also options for Anytime and Last Goalscorer, which are both as their names imply.
- If you want to know how Everton FC has been doing in his history, check our Everton Top Goal Scorers recap.
Accumulators
As we’ve learned, accumulator bets are made up of four or more selections.
So you could predict the winners of two EPL games, back over 2.5 goals in another and both teams to score in a fourth – the odds of each selection will be multiplied together for a higher payout, if successful.
But to reiterate: if one leg of an acca is unsuccessful, the entire bet fails.
Outright Markets
As well as game-by-game bets, you can also wager on season-long outright markets.
One of the most popular options is the EPL winner odds, which are available from pre-season up until the point that the champion has been crowned.
Other categories include EPL relegation odds, top four finish, to finish bottom, top goalscorer and many more besides.
The Toffees View
Hopefully, Everton’s days of being a favourite in the EPL relegation market are over! The prognosis certainly looks more positive in 25/26, so hopefully a more apt Premier League betting market in the future could be Top Half Finish or even better.
How We Create Our Betting Tips & Predictions
As touched upon earlier, there’s no silver bullet or secret sauce that guarantees success in football betting.
To give yourself the best possible chance of being profitable, betting in a way that is logical and evidence-based is the most sensible way to go.
That is the basis for our EPL tips and predictions, which incorporate the elements below.
Collating the Stats
We build a foundation using stats and data in our EPL betting tips.
These numbers are not a guarantee of how a game will play out, but they at least provide a theoretical basis on which to work.
We consider home/away form, head-to-head records (of the teams and their respective managers), the overall formline and Premier League Table 25/26 and advanced metrics such as Expected Goals and Expected Points.
Doing Your Homework
Some of the best information to inform your bets becomes available in the day or so before the next round of Premier League matches.
We scour all corners of the internet to read about injuries, suspensions and even managerial changes; all of which may make a difference to the bets we place. Social media and Google News are both excellent resources for quick, real-time updates.
If you want to time your bets even more efficiently, another of the EPL football betting tips that we follow is to wait until the team news has been released, which is typically an hour before kick-off.
Betting Models and Algorithms
Our team comprises of some high-level mathematicians and analysts, who have devised the models and algorithms that power our Premier League betting tips.
Using regression analysis, Poisson distribution and tools like Python, we are able to add extra layers to our EPL football betting tips that others perhaps don’t.
Wisdom of the Crowd
Many heads are better than a few, so we also utilise the expertise of other sources in our EPL tips and predictions.
That includes football experts and insiders, as well as the betting community as a whole. In the summer of 2025, the Betfair Exchange updated their graphs to show odds movements over specific timeframes – be it days, hours or even the past 60 minutes.
These line movements can offer excellent insights that we might otherwise have missed out on.
Key Statistics to Consider Before Placing a Bet
You can consider football betting to be like making dinner from a recipe. You might be able to make the meal without a few of the key ingredients, but will it taste as good?
When building a statistical picture ahead of placing your bets, there are some of the most appetising ingredients to add to your recipe:
- Team Performance Data – points won, goals scored, goals conceded, shots on target, corners won/conceded, fouls, Expected Goals etc.
- Player Performance Data – goals scored, assists, Expected Goals, Expected Assists, key passes, tackles, interceptions, crosses, shots etc.
- Head-to-Head Records – particularly the recent meetings of two teams with the same managers in charge and, mostly, the same squads of players.
- Home and Away Performances – does a team thrive at home, struggle or fare roughly as expected? What about the away team on the road?
Here’s an at-a-glance review of some of the checkpoints that go into our Premier League betting tips:
- Points Won – Over the course of a season, team quality is best assessed by points won.
- Home/Away Form – How strong is the home team on their own turf? Does the away team travel successfully?
- Goals Per Game – Opens the door to markets, such as Total Goals and Both Teams to Score, when analysing the number of goals a team scores/concedes on average.
- Fouls Committed/Cards – Many UK bookmakers now offer markets for cards, which often stem from fouls committed. This data can reveal teams/players that never shirk a tackle.
- Head-to-Head Records – A manager could be tactically superior to their rival. One team can have an edge on their opposition historically.
- Expected Goals (xG) – xG can identify performance outliers, e.g. teams with consistently high ‘xG for’ counts are ultimately more likely to score goals.
- Player Stats – Used in conjunction with team news, can identify key players that are absent. Goals, assists, key passes and defensive contributions, etc…
In-Play Betting Strategies and Tips
Sometimes, waiting until a game is underway can be a useful way to find value bets – particularly if you’re watching on TV or following the live stats.
In-play betting is essentially the same as pre-match, with markets like match result, handicaps, total goals, both teams to score, correct score etc all remaining live even after the game has kicked off.
One of the easiest ways to bet efficiently in-play is to track the live stats. It’s not always the case that what has gone before will predict what is to come, however tracking match momentum is a useful starting point.
Follow the stats and see which team is dominant: possession, shots, corners, touched in the opposition box are all excellent indicators. There may also be games that are more evenly matched but with lots of action… or perhaps very little.
The player stats can also be insightful; who is having the most touches? Are the attackers having shots and getting into dangerous areas?
In all these cases, the live stats can be the platform upon which you build the picture for your bets.
There are scores of apps that you can download for free which offer live football scores, stats and analysis tools. And don’t forget that many UK bookmakers also have live data feeds, so you can get the lowdown from within their websites/apps and place your bets without navigating away.
Betting Odds Explained
In the UK, we use fractional odds. Even money is the middle point – that’s a bet with an implied probability of 50/50.
Any price where the number on the left of the fraction is smaller than the number on the right is considered ‘odds on’, e.g. 1/2, 8/13, 10/11 etc.
Where the number on the left is larger than the number on the right, that is ‘odds against’, e.g. 2/1, 5/2, 100/30 etc.
Odds on bets have a higher implied probability of happening. Odds against selections are less likely to be successful, but will pay out more than odds on picks.
In some markets, such as Premier League winner, all of the teams can be odds-against prices to start the season. However, Liverpool at 2/1 are considered to have a greater chance of winning the title than Sunderland at 1,000/1.
The number on the right of the fraction is your stake, while the number on the left is your possible payout. So, a £10 bet on Liverpool to win the title at 2/1, your possible profit would be £20 (1 x 2, or £10 x 2). You will also receive your £10 stake back as the bet has won, for a total return of £30.
For way of contest, decimal betting odds revolve around 2.00 (even money), with numbers smaller than that depicting odds-on selections and numbers greater than 2.00 are odds against.
In American betting odds, zero is the even money point. Odds-on chances have a minus symbol in front of the number (e.g. -150), while odds-against selections have a plus symbol (e.g. +200).
The secret to success in football betting is to place bets where the odds reflect a ‘value’ opportunity, based upon your research and gut feeling.
So be sure to shop around and use odds comparison sites to extract the very best value from each bet you place.
Responsible Gambling Practices
If you follow our Premier League betting tips, or go it alone, you still need to be gambling sensibly and safely.
These are some of the checkpoints to follow studiously:
- Only bet what you can afford to lose
- Never chase losses
- Never bet when under the influence
- Never bet when emotional, distressed or tired
- Set a daily/weekly/monthly budget and stick to it
- Utilise bookmaker responsible gambling tools, e.g. deposit limits, loss limits etc
If you feel like you are betting more money than you want to and/or can afford to lose, it may be time to seek help. Likewise, if your gambling affects your personal or work life, it may be worth seeking help.
Learn More About Our Standards
We believe in transparency. That’s why we’ve created dedicated pages detailing our review and work frameworks:
- UK Responsible Gambling – How we ensure our betting content promotes safe and sustainable play.
- How We Rate Bookmakers in the UK – A deep dive into our scoring methodology and criteria.
And you always check the UK Gambling Commission for some first-hand information.
More FOOTBALL BETTING Information and guides
If you liked this article, you might be interested in our other football betting content. As a team of betting experts based in the UK, football is a main focus for us. We’ve gathered all our knowledge and shared it in the guides below:
- Best Football Betting Sites – UK 2025 Edition
- English Premier League Betting – Sites & Offers – Season 2025/26
- Europa League Free Bets & Betting Offers – Season 2025/26
- Europa League Betting Tips – Season 2025/26
Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs)
What are the best Premier League betting tips?
If you study the stats, research team news and player availability, check in with the betting markets and see what others are saying, you will have a better handle of what Premier League bets to place.
How can I improve my football betting?
Unfortunately, there’s no single way to instantly be successful at betting. But if you study the stats, the team news and the odds movements, you will at least have a stronger chance of winning than if you place bets wholly at random.
Who are the favourites to win the Premier League?
Liverpool, Arsenal, Manchester City and Chelsea are perennially amongst the favourites to win the Premier League. But could somebody spring a surprise this season?
What should I do if my gambling is becoming a problem?
You should contact GambleAware or Gamblers Anonymous immediately.
What does “min odds” mean, and why is it important?
Min odds are the lowest odds a bet must meet. To qualify for betting bonuses, you must meet the minimum odds requirement
