I have read with great interest and occasional frustration the ongoing debate on ToffeeWeb and elsewhere [regarding the merits of the current custodians]. One side seems to feel that the current management of Everton, personalized in David Moyes and Bill Kenwright, are bad for Everton: While they are well-meaning, their limitations mean Everton will never achieve the heights it deserves; Nil Satis Nisi Optimum. The other side feels that the duo are good for Everton and we are lucky to have two such committed and canny operators. The continuing "will-he, won’t-he" over Moyes’ contract discussions only adds further intensity to the debate.

In the document linked here (PDF Format), Paul goes on to present an illustrated cost-benefit analysis based on published 2011-12 numbers to show that David Moyes really does provide unique value for money... and therefore should be rewarded with a new contract and a big pay rise!!!

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Reader Comments (97)

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Andrew Fair
1 Posted 26/04/2013 at 16:49:54
I don't think it needs a big pay rise for Moyes to stay — just some big finances from the board! Hopefully he will get a good amount at the end of this season but I don't think Bill will be able to! Moyes is great for our club! BK not so much!
James Flynn
2 Posted 26/04/2013 at 17:10:54
I love Moyes, but he's earning plenty.

It's investment in players needing the increase.

John Gee
3 Posted 26/04/2013 at 17:05:31
Paul, great read. Thanks for putting so much effort in to enlightening people. I've called the NHS to warn them that a very vocal minority have contracted 'truth bubbles' that might make them realise what an asset is when they see one.

Now wait for the barrage of 'but he plays Naismith', 'he ruins strikers', 'he's a dour davey', 'he's not tactical, like what Pep is', 'he should be more like Mike Basset', 'we should sack him and get Owen Coyle', 'blue Billy boy bullshit blah-be-blah'.

Ernie Baywood
4 Posted 26/04/2013 at 17:16:13
Nicely done Paul.

If there is a line between MOBs and IMWTs then I'm probably slightly in the IMWT section... but even I can see that he has strengths and weaknesses.

Key strength is building a team on a budget. In that regard he's streets ahead of most in the league.

Key weakness is what he does with that team. He's built some crackers in his time but never quite let's them off the leash.

He's a very good value for money manager. I'm just not sure he's anything more than that.

Steven Telford
5 Posted 26/04/2013 at 17:33:11
What makes this article dumb is that there are many Pro Moyes people, who dislike Kenwright. its very wrong to imply that being in favour of Moyes is associated to liking kenwright.


Moyes is great, but does not need a pay rise, what he needs funds to enter the transfer market. .

Patrick Murphy
6 Posted 26/04/2013 at 17:30:56
A very find piece of research and a concise report Paul, you are to be congratulated on your work.


From a business and financial point of view very few people would argue that DM has done a very good job, at least he'll be able to find work outside of football should he so wish. But football is part of the entertainment industry and as there are a limited number of trophies the least we could hope for is an entertaining brand of football.

Not as some would argue a Blackpool or Hull type gung-ho approach but a style which embraces the need for defensive solidity and an attack that is focused upon scoring goals by whatever method best suits the players available. For too long DM has been over-cautious and expects his forward thinking players to produce tackles and running to defend rather than allowing them to help out when they can and focus their attention on creating chances.

He has to change his methods if he wants to be successful as a Football Manager he has to realise that although it is a team game each part of the team is a specialist unit and if one of them units is over-burdened by duties they are either not very good at or incapable of then it undermines the team as a whole.

When I have been to watch a film, my first thoughts are was it good, was it entertaining, did I enjoy it. At no point do I find myself thinking if it failed on any of those criteria that it may have been made by a director who was working for a studio lacking money and therefore compared to what he could have made with a bigger budget it was admirable, it was either a good film or a bad film.

Steve Cotton
7 Posted 26/04/2013 at 17:47:26
Will paying Moyes more money make him more attack minded? No ,thought not...

He seriously needs to lose some dead wood: Neville, Naismith, Osman, Heitinga, Anichebe and realise the assets that will be heading out of the door anyway (Baines, Fellaini).

£30 mill for the assets, £10 mill for the dead wood, £10 mill to the bank and £30 mil to reinvest.

Okay, starting again in not always the best policy but £30 mill could bring in 5 good players and then he has at least 3 youngsters knocking at the door.

Eric Myles
8 Posted 26/04/2013 at 17:21:08
Flawed logic there Paul, I would say that there are a lot more supporters out there that think Moyes is good for the Club and think that Kenwright and the board are bad for the Club than the way you portray it.
Paul Andrews
9 Posted 26/04/2013 at 18:03:04
Paul,
If the article points out the need for an improved contract it was probably ghost written by David.
Barry Rathbone
10 Posted 26/04/2013 at 17:44:50
So in conclusion the last 11 years the dynamic duo have been terrific value for money and we should give Moyes an even bigger wedge to make sure it continues!

Remarkably neighbouring threads question our expectations and why we didn't get 4th.

Personally I'm looking forward to the post on crop circles and aliens that surely must follow.

Brent Stephens
11 Posted 26/04/2013 at 18:10:47
Paul, excellent analysis. Demonstrates in quantitative terms what is always made as a general, qualitative point - Moyes punches above his weight in terms of the point-to spend ration.
Paul Andrews
12 Posted 26/04/2013 at 18:20:04
And to think David had a lot of fans worried he was going.Full of bluster about budget this,finishing position that.
Incredible how he has pulled the wool over people's eyes.
Bottom line ?
He was 100% always going to sign his new improved contract.
David is not quite the straight shooter he makes out.
Sam Hoare
13 Posted 26/04/2013 at 18:19:05
Pretty conclusive piece that demonstrates we are 'punching above our weight'.

Though I do not doubt Moyes has his flaws and makes mistakes aplenty I find the incessant criticism he gets from some regulars on here difficult to understand in the context of this clear over achievement. I suppose this only takes his league form into consideration and it is his cup performances that upsets many but even so some of the bile he receives is misplaced. I suppose some Man u fans moan about Fergie when they lose. That's just football fans, fickle as you like.

Dennis Stevens
14 Posted 26/04/2013 at 18:32:08
Here's another statistic for you - Trophies won by Everton under Moyes : Zero ; predicted Trophies whilst Moyes remains as Everton manager : Nil.

Could you do a similar exercise showing how the financial well-being of the club has been enhanced under Kenwright's tenure? Must be impressive after well over a decade of 'progress'.

I would have rid of both of them, but for quite seperate reasons. Moyes does deserve credit for what he has done at Everton, whereas the Board should be dumped in the Mersey!

Kevin Tully
15 Posted 26/04/2013 at 18:29:25
If you want to look purely at net spend, it can be very misleading.

We have received a combined total of £51m for Rooney & Lescott, and Moyes did have that much to re-invest, but net spend will show we didn't spend anything.

Wenger has won League titles with a negative net spend, and many Arsenal fans want him gone.

There is no denying Moyes gives excellent value for money if you want to look purely at his League placings, but the trophy cabinet is bare, and the football has been dire on occasions. His defensive mindset gives him an advantage over many of his peers, he goes out not to lose first and foremost (his words)

His 40 odd game losing streak at the usual suspects, and no trophy tells a different story. A good, pragmatic manager, but he is still here, when many 'bigger' positions have been filled. Doesn't that tell us all we need to know?

Phil Roberts
16 Posted 26/04/2013 at 18:37:51
Sam - the problem for David Moyes is that he has done too well.

Take out the Joe Royle 6th place (and still not good enough for Europe) and in the first 10 years of the premiership, we averaged 15th and highest place of 13th.

Take out the abberation of 2003/04, David Moyes' 10 years will average 6.5 and the lowest of 11th.

If this season had come after any of the first 10 of the premiership there would not be one person (probably) calling for him to go but heaping superlatives on him for far better football being played and much improved results.

David Moyes is now compared with the much improved team that we now watch and therefore failure to achieve what would only have been fantasy 10 years ago, is now considered failure and the reason for wanting to be rid.

A significant number of us are of the opinion that this improvement in the last 10 years is due to David Moyes and his loss will likely lead to our return to the dark days of the 90s. We do not have the spending power to buy a team of worldbeaters which can compensate for lack of managerial expertise, what we have is a team of exceptionally good players (bought by David Moyes) who he has built into a successful team.

Paul Andrews
17 Posted 26/04/2013 at 18:57:11
Phil,

I suppose it hangs on how you define "successful"...

Steve Pugh
18 Posted 26/04/2013 at 19:04:47
Some people seem to look at the fact we've won the league and cup few times and take that to mean we have a great history. Unfortunately they conveniently forget all the years when we were stagnating in the bottom half of the top flight. They think that our history means we have the right to beat Preston, even though they have done the double when we haven't. They think that we should be beating teams like Blackburn and Newcastle, despite the fact that they have more FA Cup wins than we do.

It is time people stopped looking at Everton in isolation and start taking into account how we stand in relation to the clubs around us.

Finally from 1946 to 1992, a period encompassing the glory years that make up our proud history we averaged 50 points per season, an average only good enough for 11th. How many times has Moyes finished lower than 11th?

Ian McDowell
19 Posted 26/04/2013 at 19:24:24
I'm going to probably get a lot of stick for this but I'm going to say in 5-10 years time I am afraid we will look back on Moyes time at Everton as the modern glory years.

I say this as a 34-year-old Everton fan who first went to the match in 1984 october I think when we beat Man Utd 5-0 at home. I was maybe a little young to appreciate the mid eighties. My fear is when Moyes goes we fall away and look back on the 2006-2013 as the modern good years.

Brian Harrison
20 Posted 26/04/2013 at 19:20:26
Phil Roberts

I agree with everything you have said.

Kevin Tulley

You say many bigger positions have been filled and he is still here, well 2 positions are Arsenal and Man Utd whose managers were at their clubs before Moyes joined Everton. So that's 2 of the bigger positions ruled out I don't think Chelsea have appointed a British manager under Abromovich, so who are the other biggest jobs he has missed out on.

Mark Frere
21 Posted 26/04/2013 at 19:16:16
It was interesting when Phil mentioned Joe Royle's 6th place finish, but failed to mention Joe Royle's 1995 FA Cup Winning team. That's got to make Joe Royle the most successful manager since Howard Kendall Mk 1, but I still don't think Joe Royle was as good a manager as Moyes. What does anyone else think?
Kevin Tully
22 Posted 26/04/2013 at 19:29:51
I suppose it all depends on how good you think he is Brian. He certainly sounded like he would have taken the Spurs job last year, he said he hadn't hear anything when Lineker was questioning him during the Euro's.

Wouldn't Chelsea consider him if was as good as some say? There have been plenty of big jobs abroad, Italy, France, Germany — surely he is known in these countries?

Don't get me wrong, I would rather have Moyes over the likes of Mark Hughes, Dave Jones and even Martinez, but he is not a great by any stretch of the imagination — too defensive.

Dennis Stevens
23 Posted 26/04/2013 at 20:00:39
Seriously, Mark? I think Moyes is a good manager, but it seems to me that Royle's managerial record is far better. Sadly, Royle only had one complete season in the job - I wonder what he would have done with eleven.
Andy Crooks
24 Posted 26/04/2013 at 19:53:33
David Moyes has built a good squad cheaply.. He has overall done really well in the transfer market and to me it's his finest quality/. If one accepts that, then the money argument is not as powerful.A less shrewd manager could have spent much more assembling such a squad,

If one accepts this, then is it not fair enough to expect more? Could not more have been got from this good squad? With a little luck we could still be challenging for a champion's league place so how does the money argument sit with that? David Moyes does not deserve a pay rise and it is not bonkers to ask whether a different coach could have achieved more with this squad.

Sean Patton
25 Posted 26/04/2013 at 20:01:59
Ian

I am also a 34 year old Evertonian and I could not disagree with you more. 20 years from now when when Moyes is finally gone please god and we look back at his tenure as manager it will be looked back on as the lost years where nothing of note happened.

John Gee
26 Posted 26/04/2013 at 20:04:05
Kevin Tully, from your earlier post (980) you said Wenger had won titles with a negative net spend. He stopped winning titles when the in-coming cash started to creep up and match his outgoings. With a negative net spend he has turned league contenders into also rans.

More generally, our biggest asset is Moyes. His ability to turn a profit on players is astonishing and is up there with the best of them. If our club were to try to renegotiate the terms on a loan or try to convince one of the moneyed tight arses on the board into investing capital into a business they own then the greatest argument they could have is Moyes's track record on player acquisitions.

Once that is accepted (it's indisputable!) then the danger that Moyes might leave would mean that a large degree of uncertainty regarding transfer policy and club revenue would get right in the face of these stakeholders. "I will do the best for Everton football club", that's a direct quote. I think he IS doing the best for the club but there are some of us who just don't get it.

Gavin Ramejkis
27 Posted 26/04/2013 at 20:38:33
Its incredibly hard to compare Moyes with other managers as his current situation is fairly unique, other than Wenger and Ferguson. No other top flight manager has had nearly the same amount of time in one job. Likewise no other long serving manager has survived without winning a single thing. Its like comparing apples and oranges.

Moyes has his strengths but these can be argued just as strongly as his weaknesses. The current breed of sub 40-year-old fan knows no better than what they have experienced which is pretty much sod all. There are fans who genuinely think Sky was the only form of football that has ever existed.

Clubs like Man City and Chelsea landed monied owners but had pretty much fuck all history before that money, the former residents of lower leagues in the not too distant past.

Kevin Tully
28 Posted 26/04/2013 at 20:45:41
I have to admit John, I would like nothing more than to see what Moyes could do with £50m, but there is a little part of me that says he would still set his team up the same way, albeit with better players. That semi against the dark side still sends shivers down my neck, we were gifted a goal and could not press home the advantage.
Ross Edwards
29 Posted 26/04/2013 at 20:47:36
No, No, No. Absolutely no. This man should pack his bags and fly off to Schalke and take BK with him. He may have done good financially for the club but in terms of any achievements. None whatsoever.

This man will not have a legacy, the only one is that he was a tactically inept, cautious, unambitious, bottling failure and average in every single respect.

He should not get a huge pay rise, he should get a P45, a suitcase, a passport, a taxi, an Airbus A380 and go to Schalke immediately, and take his equally unambitious lover BK with him.

Barry Rathbone
30 Posted 26/04/2013 at 20:44:01
John Gee you may be right..... but he keeps fucking up in the big games (it's indisputable) and yes it probably is "his best".

Which is the very reason we should make a change after 11 years, the idea we should annually accept "Wigan" episodes till the end of time is just bizarre.

Or as you say: "some of us just don't get it"

Steven Telford
31 Posted 26/04/2013 at 20:54:16
Sorry Paul, I take it back - I did not mean the article is dumb, I just meant the part about if you suport Moyes, you support Kenwright.

It's a well put togther piece.

Ross Edwards
32 Posted 26/04/2013 at 21:14:12
Look, even if Moyes went out and signed Leo Messi tommorrow, he would still be completely isolated on his own, and instructed to track back.

Moyes will never change no matter how much money he gets to spend.

John Gee
33 Posted 26/04/2013 at 20:57:07
Barry, I was as pissed off as anyone after the Wigan game but that's what football is. You win some, you lose some. You win more if you can buy a £30m striker, granted.

If I can expand on that a little, some you lose when you should win, some you win when you should lose, some you lose when you should lose and some you win when you should win. Some you draw when you should win and sometimes you lose when you should draw. Sometimes you draw when the draw has been unkind and sometimes win or lose when the draw has been kind. I guess that putting 25 men on a field, 40,000 people in 4 stands, 4 million viewers on TV, a million clowns on the internet will result in some unexpected variables a la Wigan.

Brendan McLaughlin
34 Posted 26/04/2013 at 21:21:49
Brilliant article, Paul.

You've managed to demonstrate an almost mathematical proof of what many of us have known intuitively all along. Great read.

Ross Edwards
35 Posted 26/04/2013 at 21:34:26
Brendan,

The fact remains that he hasn't won at the Sky 4 away, and he hasn't won anything yet.

What has he proved?

John Gee
36 Posted 26/04/2013 at 21:52:46
Ross, the Sky 4 thing is an anomaly. It happens in football sometimes, like when we didn't beat Forest for 11 years despite being the best team in England. If you want to know why, despite the anomaly, it hasn't happened ask Clattenburg.

I also remember a game at Old Trafford when we got beat 1-0 but they didn't have a single shot on target.

Ross Edwards
37 Posted 26/04/2013 at 21:58:07
It's not just Clattenburg though is it John?
John Gee
38 Posted 26/04/2013 at 22:08:39
You're quite right Ross. We should also ask Poll, Friend, Rennie and the rest why they ignored some transgressions while punishing others.

While it might be unpalatable to some, the fact remains that our 2 biggest assets are DM and his relationship with his chairman. Fellaini, Baines, Rooney, Lescot, Arteta, Cahill, Graveson, Yakubu, Mirrallas, Rodwell, Jags, Gibbo, Johnson and whoever else have all come/gone/stayed and all with the same result: we can give anyone a game and we have an almost legendary team spirit. With some extra cash for DM the sky is the limit. Just imagine what this team would have done with 2 top class additions.

Sam Hoare
39 Posted 26/04/2013 at 22:24:41
What has been proved Ross is that Moyes has overachieved in the league. Of course as we know, he has not won a trophy but then how many trophies have been won in the last 10 years by clubs outside the top 4. Is it 5? 6? Not many.
Jamie Crowley
40 Posted 26/04/2013 at 22:51:17
I'm sure this is flawed...

We've paid, under Moyes's reign, £1.076m per point.

If we therefore would not have paid approx £63m as much over the time span, we would be on 240 points, not 299, but would have been "safe" in the top fight.

What's our debt?

Are we spending that £63m the last 6 years chasing ghosts and putting our Club in a very precarious financial situation? Should we have been accepting 16th through 13th place or so year on and year out and not have the debt which riddles us?

The expenditure, based upon results, seems an unwise one. We've won nothing.

If this is the hard empirical data I'd say, with no incoming revenue streams in the immediate future, we've been spending money we don't have to only finish 8th through 6th.

Based upon our spend per points 6 year average, how much more would we need to spend to reach a CL spot and the money that comes with it?

Approx £10m per year could have not been spent and seen us stay in the top flight.

Now that is not a very rosy picture and I'm not saying we shouldn't try, but why spend that money if we can't get to where we need to be? And 6 years on, despite Moyes out-performing his peers on a point per expenditure basis, we are not there.

God I'm not an accountant and I might have this all wrong so someone who is much, much more intelligent than I please let me know if my analysis is flawed.

Dennis Stevens
41 Posted 26/04/2013 at 22:54:13
I’ve just finished reading ’Baz’ Rathbone’s book The Smell of Football and there was one passage that struck me in particular.

Just after joining Preston North End as Physio, he was asked by the manager to go to the local country park to sort out some runs for pre-season training. The manager was thinking of promoting a senior player to a player-coach role so suggested they go together to sort out the running sessions. They ran round the park in both directions, did sprints up the biggest hill & then did them again & so on until they felt they had the whole schedule as they wanted.

“Finally, several hours later, we slumped into the car, both knackered. I turned to this guy and said, ‘Wow, you are keen. Is that what you want to do when you finish playing – go into coaching?’”

“He looked at me and said, ‘Baz, by the time I am 45 I firmly believe I will have been Manager of the Season in the Premier League.’”

“It took me all my self control not to laugh in this poor deluded fellow’s face. And of course he was wrong – by the time he was 45, David Moyes had been named LMA Premier League Manager of the Season three times.”

Now I don’t know David Moyes, but to me it seems he has achieved his ambition – in triplicate! His peers have repeatedly recognised his ability – Manager of the Year in arguably the top League in world football. Is it significant that Moyes expressed his ambition in that way? Maybe it was just more plausible than “I’m gonna win the League!”

Moyes's league record at Everton is almost identical to Colin Harvey's and, to some extent, both have been judged by way of comparison to their respective predecessors. Would a couple more players make all the difference to Moyes? Does he lack that something extra — flair, maybe — to be elevated to great from very good?

Brendan McLaughlin
42 Posted 26/04/2013 at 23:35:00
Dennis#041
Yes he does lack hat something extra (which Colin Harvey didn't)...hard cash.
Brendan McLaughlin
43 Posted 26/04/2013 at 23:53:04
Ross #031
Those who understand need no explanation?
Dennis Stevens
44 Posted 26/04/2013 at 23:58:17
Maybe we'll find out one day, Brendan. Although I doubt it'll be at Everton. However, I'm not sure that's the answer. I think there's a little more to greatness than financial backing.
Andy Crooks
45 Posted 27/04/2013 at 00:54:01
"Almost mathematical proof"? It means nothing. Where is the logic in the side that were thumped by Wigan totally outplaying Man City??? Could a different coach have achieved more this season with this squad?
James Flynn
46 Posted 27/04/2013 at 06:00:09
Dennis (041) - A pity we had the right guy, but the wrong owners. Nothing new really, is there. After all, same bunch dumped Rooney for some ready. And cheaply. Fucking Wayne Rooney.

God help us, whoever the next manager in will be. We're fucked as long as this lot controls the Club.

Sam Hoare
47 Posted 27/04/2013 at 02:42:02
Andy, all teams have off days including Man U, arsenal, city and even Barcelona. Sadly our worst off day this season was in arguably our biggest match. Would another manager get more out of the squad? Possibly, but I would not think that much more given how thin the squad is. We will find out soon enough as I highly doubt Moyes will be here for another 5 years.
Gavin Ramejkis
48 Posted 27/04/2013 at 07:45:48
Brendan, Moyes has spent a damn sight more than Harvey ever did. As far as Moyes doing what he planned to do the LMAs, remind me when the open topped bus around Liverpool was for these because I'm buggered if I remember, the LMA is for the manager and not for actually succeeding winning silverware as a club, his long odds game have never actually won a carrot.
Paul Andrews
49 Posted 27/04/2013 at 07:45:21
Dennis 0415,

That story would have been better if the coach you took out had set some technical stuff up,a few hours of ball work drills instead of picking the "biggest hill" to run up for a few hours.
Still,may as well start as you intend to go on.

Steven Telford
50 Posted 27/04/2013 at 08:47:48
Gavin #071
Actually.......... give some consider ation “nominal” “real” and “relative”
(Of course) in nominal terms Moyes spent more than Harvey, but in relative and real terms, he certainly did not. And taking it as net figure, he maybe even under spends Harvey in nominal terms – which, when you think about it, is astonishing.
Christine Foster
51 Posted 27/04/2013 at 08:58:48
Paul a good perspective on value in relation to transfer cost against points earned but it hardly reflects the clubs business / commercial position. For that reason it's difficult to find anything but a tenuous link between the two.

Given that we no longer have any assets, the impact as such on the commercial viability of the club is now horrendous, it's also a complete falsify to say that players sold have funded Moyes success in the transfer market, the bulk of most incoming transfer fees have found their way to the bank and certainly not DM.

Our losses to earn each point have to be taken into consideration, the club commercial income, or lack of it, has meant the sale of players who Moyes did not want to go, we build them up and sell them on. To survive.

Without David Moyes we probably would have sunk out of sight by now, somewhere in the championship playing Leeds. That we haven't is a testament to Moyes skill in making a silk purse out of a sows ear. Repeatedly.

I would have to say this is his forte and he has succeeded in doing this in spite of the lack of support and financial hindrance of the board. Repeatedly.

No doubt about that, he has been a man for our time. But can he step up? Under the present owners we will never know. Not one has backed the man th succeed.

Commercially his performance overall has kept us in the EPL with a lightweight team, short on resources and choice, that has to be admired. Though his style has been lacking at times, his conservative nature and sheer bloody minded arrogance can be frustrating to fans, he has performed.

By sheer blinding contrast, his ability has paled the commercial performance of the senior management of the club into insignificance. He has papered over the cracks for 11 years but he knows as do the board that the credit card mentality is finished, we have nothing left to offset the losses other than player sales.

The writing is on the wall, until we clear our debts, become reinvested and start to build up our assets once again, the only way to appease the banks are to sell our best.

We need Moyes more than he needs us, if only to stay in the Premiership.

Brendan McLaughlin
52 Posted 27/04/2013 at 10:29:36
Hmmm..."We need Moyes than he needs us, if only to stay in the Premiership". I wonder, in Latin...
Gavin Ramejkis
53 Posted 27/04/2013 at 10:48:22
Steven again apples vs oranges, relative smellative, Harvey was left out to dry then bounced later on from the youth squad management role, first team management he had a blink of an eye compared to Moyes. Not denying Moyes has made some decent buys but throw in Kroldrup, Simon Davies and Bilyetdinov to name three that stank the place out, the very former a complete mystery as I watched him after he returned to Italy and he looked fine. Like any statistical analysis you can twist figures to get them to say whatever you like.
Paul Andrews
54 Posted 27/04/2013 at 10:57:15
Gavin,
After watching Koldrups first training session Graeme Sharp was telling a lot of people "Koldrup is in trouble here,he can't head a ball"
Funny that you would think David as an ex centre half would have spotted that.

Christine,in a nutshell then,if David goes we will be relegated?

Colin Glassar
55 Posted 27/04/2013 at 11:22:01
Surely it must be a prerequisite for any Moyes player to head the ball? I mean, all our players prefer to head the ball rather than try to control the ball and pass it to a team mate. I don't know how many times during a game that our lads, under no pressure whatsoever, choose to head the ball aimlessly rather than play it. This is obviously due to orders rather than technical shortcomings. It's so frustrating at times.
Christine Foster
56 Posted 27/04/2013 at 11:43:54
Paul, not to put words in my mouth, but what Moyes has demonstrated is the ability to get the best out of players who are not top drawer, to keep us above relegation while Rome burns.

The problem is he has an aged squad needing replacement without a great deal of funding to do it.

Until we have another owner, more investment, we are treading water... Without investment any new manager would face an incredibly difficult task, build a new team with no money, get the best out of an ageing and demoralized squad (Moyes men) not a great prospect, but time has all but run out anyway.

Phil Roberts
57 Posted 27/04/2013 at 11:58:53
I would also add Christine, not this year, not next and maybe not the one after, but the Premiership is a very "knife edge" league and we are on the right side at the moment but a few years after David Moyes leaves, we will probably be on the wrong side and sliding towards the relegation fights we all so enjoyed 10 years ago.

Oh we so miss those days, don't we!

Which therefore comes down to the real question for the MOB.

What is the probability of a new manager getting into Champions League regularly? Once is fine, but it needs to be year after year.

What is the probability of a new manager not keeping us in the Premier League?

The latter has a higher probability than the former, a significantly higher probability.

And would we swop positions with Wigan at the moment? 2 Cup Finals, one at City and one last day of the season with Villa to see who goes down.

Dennis Stevens
58 Posted 27/04/2013 at 11:46:29
James Flynn #061 - Certainly a Boardroom clearout would be preferable to a change of manager. However, any new Board, if able to move the club forward financially, may ultimately decide that Moyes is not the man to bring back the glory years. Perhaps that's why he's still with us after all his time. But he's been a god-send for the current Board - no wonder they're willing to offer such a generous remuneration package. Nonetheless, I agree the ultimate limit on the ability for this club to be successful is the effectiveness or otherwise of our Board, regardless of who the manager may be.
Dennis Stevens
59 Posted 27/04/2013 at 12:13:13
Paul Andrews #072 - Sorry, it's not my story but Baz Rathbone's. In all fairness to Moyes, the task set by the manager seemed to be quite specificly running as part of the pre-season conditioning of players. Rathbone doesn't really proceed to explain Moyes' overall coaching methods, although they were obviously sufficient for Preston to decide to appoint him as manager in due course.
Mike Green
60 Posted 27/04/2013 at 12:30:31
A fine bit of work Paul (OP), and a really interesting read.

I don't know whether I missed it or if someone else has eluded to it but from this we should be able to draw a figure of how much, exponentially, Moyes would theoretically need to bridge the gap between us and Top 4 / Champions....?

If we can send Moyes a copy with a breakdown for the board!

Either way, well done, I really enjoyed the article.

Denis Richardson
62 Posted 27/04/2013 at 12:40:10
I think we're missing the point a little. Reviewing what Moyes has done in the past is one thing, however the main question I would ask is - do you want to continue with him?

If you're happy with us playing relatively boring defensive football, finishing between 6th and 10th and winning nothing for the next 3-5 years, then Moyes is your man.

If you'd like to see some more expansive football, much better performances in the cup competitions with an actual chance of winning something AND still finish around mid table at worst - then Moyes is not your man.

He is boring and safe - if that floats your boat then Moyes is your man.

Personally I think the 4m is outrageous as I believe an ok manager could achieve at least mid table finishes, if not better, with the squad we have. I find the OP a joke as it somehow tries to say that BK and his chums have done well over the last 10 odd years. Why don't you compare our balance sheet 10-12 years ago to what it is today - then come back to me on that one!

Nick Entwistle
63 Posted 27/04/2013 at 13:02:47
If you think without exception we should be higher - despite the fortunes spent by the teams above (which is only coincidental to their league position) - and that a trophy is our right, then Moyes isn't your man.

If you want a manager who can challenge for Europe and CL each season with 15 decent players with five of the last seven transfer windows without a single first team purchase, Moyes is your man.

Some think we should be higher if only for Moyes, some think we're as high as we are because of him. We all have the same ambitions, but only some will expect returns on reality, some expect returns on their hopes.

Paul Andrews
64 Posted 27/04/2013 at 13:08:18
Christine,
"We need Moyes more than he needs us,if only to stay in the Premiership"
I wouldn't dream of putting words into your mouth.
Paul Andrews
65 Posted 27/04/2013 at 13:10:08
Dennis 111,
Sorry mate I didn't mean it was your story.
I said "That story"
Then went on to say "you" when I was directing it towards Baz
Denis Richardson
66 Posted 27/04/2013 at 13:45:29
Ah Nick - you've not quite interpreted what I said correctly, have you. I don't think we should be higher and I never actually said that. What I do think is that an ok manager can achieve what Moyes is/has, with better cup performances and more exciting football. Not the same as saying I expect us to be higher than where we are. Semantics maybe..

Also I 100% disagree with your notion that under Moyes we challenge for the CL every season. The main reason we got as close as we did this year is because the likes of Chelsea, Arsenal, Spurs, Liverpool and to an extent villa and Newcastle, have performed much worse than they really should have done. If half of these clubs had performed like they really should, we would likely be around 8th.

Anyway, its all ifs and buts and we'll never know - however one thing that is obvious is that if Moyes was such great manager as the media and others make out, why has no 'bigger' club ever come in for him? Spurs and Chelsea obviously said no last year and City weren't interested before either. He's a safe pair of hands, which suit the current ownership and is looking increasingly likely that all will remain as it was some June.

Alex Bonnar
67 Posted 27/04/2013 at 13:48:45
To my mind there is no doubt that over the years DM has done a good job at EFC but he could not have done this without the support of BK during this time. As nobody else has come in with money why not give credit where it is due and the same old ToffeeWeb Everton critics give it a rest - the self justifications in their arguments are now repetitive and boring. You are allowed to be positive and even recognise some great football we have played this season - go on give 'em an unqualified cheer today.
Dennis Stevens
68 Posted 27/04/2013 at 14:00:01
Nick Entwistle #121 - So your reality seems to be that this is as good as it gets & that if we lose Moyes then we risk failing to do as well rather than there being any chance of doing better? Maybe that's realistic, or just a fear of change - either way it's not a very optimisitc outlook. Sooner or later the Board will have to find a successor to Moyes &, unless we have a change of Board [some hope!], then the next manager will have to cope with the same restrictions that Moyes has handled so well. That's not necessarily a cause for despair, apart from anything else the next manager will inherit a better situation than Moyes did.
Paul Andrews
69 Posted 27/04/2013 at 14:08:14
Nick Entwistle 121,
"If you want a manager who can challenge for Europe and CL every season"

Nick Evertons points difference for the last 10 seasons,between our finishing position and 4th place are set out below

8
21
Q 4th
17
10
11
9
9
14
13

Slight exaggeration to claim David has us "challenging for CL each season"

Ross Edwards
70 Posted 27/04/2013 at 14:19:01
Nick
"If you want a manager who can challenge for Europe and CL every season"
Yes and fail every time.
Nick Entwistle
71 Posted 27/04/2013 at 14:27:29
Fair point on the CL, but for the want of some investment...

Denis, I wasn't directly responding to you, though I was taking your lead...

I don't know why this other manager will guarantee better cup performances on his arrival... hope he does.
But expansive football can also mean shit football, and I prefer to remain competitive, under whatever brand of style that comes.
Remember that when losing away to Sunderland becomes standard. But you're ok with midtable so long as its pass and move.

Anyway, other than the top 6, who else plays more attractive football than us? Swansea and Wigan?
When on song we do play some glorious stuff, and even when Moyes reverts to percentages it is not the hoof 1-0 job done of old.

How do you know no big team has come in for him?

Denis, is this as good as it gets? Hope not. But we challenged for CL this season because of Moyes, not despite of him. He will decide if he stays or goes so there's little point in talking about whether he should get the boot. But he pushes us much higher than we should expect to be given the size of squad and transfer kitty. He's his own worst enemy at times, but it would take a manager of some standing to get the same out of this team.

He can take us to CL positions, but only on the off-chance, like this season. And I don't think bar a Mourinho or a Hiddink those odds would improve if we brought in Bilic or any other choice manager. And certainly not with a Hughes or McLaren.

Andy Crooks
72 Posted 27/04/2013 at 15:06:58
Nick,. we have spent more money in real terms because Moyes is excellent in the transfer market. Can you not accept that someone else could do better with the squad that Moyes has assembled? Is it not a possibility?
Christine Foster
73 Posted 27/04/2013 at 15:50:57
Paul, fair do's I suppose it should be interpreted that way, if one contemplates that there is no money to be spent, a number of players moving on or retiring, or just too old to hack it, then replacements look thin on the ground for what is the smallest first team squad in the league.

What the question should be is how much will Moyes have to spend?
Will it be enough to coax him to stay?
Which players will be gone?
What happens if it's not enough?
What's plan B?

Nick Entwistle
74 Posted 27/04/2013 at 16:00:51
Yes, of course. Now if only you can guarantee it...
John Gee
75 Posted 27/04/2013 at 16:03:37
Over and over again it is PROVEN that DM is a good manager and each time it's proven some people are provoked into throwing their guesses around as if they were facts.

Paul Andrews
76 Posted 27/04/2013 at 17:16:27
Nick Entwistle 143,

Your at it again.
"Moyes has us challenging for CL each season"

Errr......he would do if he had some investment.

James McGarry
77 Posted 27/04/2013 at 20:02:01
Moyes is a joke and he thinks he's bigger than Everton Football Club — that's a fact. He's won fuck all in ELEVEN years, he shits himself and rolls over every time we play the Shite.

If he's was as good as he thinks, why have none of the top teams in England or Europe signed him up when positions have come available? Because they see a second-rate negative manager who thinks he's as big as his ego.

This man has no respect for the supporters otherwise he wouldn't have refused to sign a new contract. It's complete bollocks and can be seen as a smokescreen to deflect attention away from Kenwright who fucked up our challenge for Champions League by not making any finances available to strengthen in January.

A big fear is that Moyes will sign in the summer because no-one else wants him, he will get a big fat pay rise and will agree to play within the finances of Kenwright and the muppets on the board. Watch this space and dread the Summer of Discontent.

Andy Walker
78 Posted 27/04/2013 at 21:47:35
James 220- 'Moyes is a joke and he thinks he's bigger than Everton Football Club — that's a fact'

No that's not a fact it's an opinion, the facts are in the article.

Whether you agree with the interpretation of the facts is a different matter.

Andy Walker
79 Posted 27/04/2013 at 21:47:35
James 220- 'Moyes is a joke and he thinks he's bigger than Everton Football Club — that's a fact'

No that's not a fact it's an opinion, the facts are in the article.

Whether you agree with the interpretation of the facts is a different matter.

Brian Waring
80 Posted 27/04/2013 at 22:06:57
James, just like when we have some fans who say without Moyes we would be relegated, they try to state that as fact.
Brian Waring
81 Posted 27/04/2013 at 22:13:49
the above was in reply to Andy.
Roman Sidey
82 Posted 28/04/2013 at 00:55:29
In a business sense, Moyes is a good manager. It's just a shame that 35000 Evertonians don't sit around once a week and cheer on a spread sheet and bank balance.

The football field is the only reason Everton exists, and, even after a win today, it is not an enjoyable spectacle at the moment.

Jon Doran
83 Posted 28/04/2013 at 01:34:48
Nil Satis Nisi Optimum. Every one of us who support Everton knows what it means. I suppose if you are looking at trophies then we're not really there. No trophies in more than 10 years. But blaming Moyes for that makes no sense.

Look at where we are as a club and most importantly where we are in the table. Moyes has been amazing for Everton and if we don't get him on another contract... I honestly don't know what happens next?

Sometimes I read these posts and wonder do some people really not remember the dark days before Moyes? Fighting relegation... the Dogs of War... Personally, I don't want to go through that again.

John Ford
84 Posted 28/04/2013 at 07:11:35
I don't see anyone outside of the money clubs who play exciting football with any consistency. West Brom and Swansea had patches but they've dropped off. This is surely one of the great myths of the premier league? That there is a team outside of the usual suspects who play this mythical attacking football week on week.

So let's get rid of Moyes and play some attacking football? Really? People get highlights and snippets of other teams and assume somehow that there's this great football being played all the time. Most teams have their days, but theyrebjust premier league ballast. Fodder for the big boys.

Paul Ward
85 Posted 28/04/2013 at 07:02:33
Moyes is unable to change his tactics or mentality even if he had 50 million to spend. He has never been a winner and never will. His sides will never get thrashed because they are so cautious but that is as good as it will get. Paul and his disiples on this site are quite happy to give Moyes another 11 years and then say he has been good value by winning nothing. How long can a club stagnate before a new plan is put in place. Some people are very scared of change and there is a lot of David Moyes type comments on this forum.
Tim Jones
86 Posted 28/04/2013 at 07:49:02
This years Premier League has been extremely low quality which is why a team like Everton with 14 DRAWS and very few resounding wins can still be challenging for a European spot at this late stage. Many Referees this season have been abysmal too pedantic , wrong, inconsistent and just plain biased. It used to be said with Refs that what goes around comes around but when you look at some of the baffling penalties, fouls and free kicks awarded to some teams by some Refs that just isn't the case at all.
I am with the crowd that says no matter how much money Moyes has to spend it will not change his dour nature or approach to the game and he will just serve up timid, defensive, all track back, tactically inept, safety first football with better players. Which is why of course no BIG team will ever touch him with a barge pole. The only way for Davey when he leaves Everton is downwards and I think that deep down even he knows that.
Derek Thomas
87 Posted 28/04/2013 at 08:06:25
I read somewhere that Moyes is the 11th best paid manager. Who the others are above and below him I don't know.

What would be interesting to see is that payscale table only with titles won and finals played instead of money per week.

Then we might get a truer picture of value for money

Eric Myles
88 Posted 28/04/2013 at 08:34:09
Derek, he must have been spending his money over the last 11 years as he doesn't even make the top 12 wealthiest managers.

http://uk.eurosport.yahoo.com/news/football-ferguson-tops-manager-rich-list-084206922.html

Mike Green
89 Posted 28/04/2013 at 09:04:15
Derek #291 - if you google 'best paid football managers' there's a Daily Mail list of the top 30 which as Moyes at 16. It'll give you an idea of who's reputedly above him - there's quite a lot of silverware in that rarefied air too.
Derek Thomas
90 Posted 28/04/2013 at 10:25:31
11th 16th whatever: point 1) ; how much silver ware BELOW him and of what quality?

Or do you get what you pay for, is it the singer not the song.

Point 2) no matter how much wages you throw at the coach, silk purse and sows ear might ( will, does? ) kick in.

Point 3) whoever:if the board don't give him sufficient tools ( money ) to do the job you will get a half arsed job...

Point 4) Moyes stays...we got what we get 50% ( in varying permutations )curates egg seasons...or as some one said, too many groundhog games, too many groundhog seasons.

Point 5) come June, we will be living in those supossedly cursed ' intersting times '

Strange days indeed, strange days indeed.

Jackie Barry
91 Posted 28/04/2013 at 15:52:40
A big pay rise? Then we get the moaning about lack of money? Firstly he should achieve something first because his 11-years mean nothing when you look back - there is nothing to show for it, our trophy cabinet in bare. Where is the lock down on earnings for these players and managers, all I can see with the increase of income from new TV deals is an increase in wage demands from the players and managers.
Wayne Smyth
92 Posted 28/04/2013 at 16:48:53
The main issues I take with the article is it takes no account of stability or pressure.

Virtually every manager operates under the fear of sack should results be far worse than expected. BK probably wouldn't sack Moyes even if we were relegated.

Crucially, Moyes has had 11 years of full control over who comes, or goes. The players are all his and he has control over the youth setup too.

I've no doubt we could do far worse than Moyes if we were to replace him - he's a decent safety-first coach whose sides are well organised and generally difficult to beat - but we might do better. If you go through life being shit scared of change you'll never amount to fuck all.

Ross Edwards
93 Posted 28/04/2013 at 19:42:56
Wanting the board out but keeping Moyes is like killing all of the Nazi leaders and just leaving Hitler. Nothing will change.
Dennis Stevens
94 Posted 28/04/2013 at 19:56:54
Ross, that really depends upon who is on the new Board. They may have different expectations of Moyes which might affect his performance &/or lead to his departure anyway. A new Board would definitely take top priority, given the choice.
Dean Adams
95 Posted 28/04/2013 at 19:59:49
The Fun Boy Three got it right in November 1981. Truest sentance of the modern era!
Andy Walker
96 Posted 07/05/2013 at 21:45:53
The carefree attitude of posters who think we should take a risk just to try and finish a couple of places higher by getting rid of Moyes is an insult to our club. We have been in the top flight 110 years. It isn't down to luck or taking a punt. Loosing DM and getting the replacement wrong could easily bankrupt the club and see us follow the path of numerous other teams and drop down 2/3 leagues.
Its easy to fall down he leagues but it ain't anything like as easy to go back up through them.
I don't want anyone gambling the future of my club away thanks very much. Just think about it.
Patrick Murphy
97 Posted 07/05/2013 at 22:10:38
It's not in our hands if David Moyes leaves or stays it's in his!!!!!
Gary Poole
98 Posted 07/05/2013 at 22:15:17
Ross Edwards(447) - is that analogy for real..........Jeez

Never mind the wholly inappropriate comparison, are you now saying that Moyes is also responsible for the crap financial position of the club?

I presume he must also be at fault for the 3 goals Wigan leaked tonight - he appears to be in the firing line for everything


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