The Mail Bag

Fellaini and the future

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Fellaini seems to be a great divider of Evertonian opinion at the moment, with some singing his praises and other questioning his ability. One thing that seems certain is that expectation is raised due to the price tag. Everton and Liege are the only ones responsible for the price that was paid for him and Fellaini would still be the same player whether we paid 15 million euros or 15 quid for him.

This piece isn't just about Fellaini, however; I think the bigger picture is being missed by a lot of fans, this is about Moyes's transfer policy. For the record my opinion is that Fellaini, right now, has not provided great value for ?15M, but is a very good player. And it's his future that will decide whether he's good value or not ? not this season and maybe not next season ? but hopefully the one after that and the one after, for some time to come.

I think we can more or less categorise the current 1st team squad into 4 rough groups:

  1. We have the backbone of a decent, young-ish first team, players who should be big players in Everton's push for Champs League football in the form of Howard, Jags, Lescott, Baines, Fellaini, Arteta, Cahill, Pienaar and Yakubu.
  2. We have a couple of older, ex-top level players in Saha and Neville.
  3. We then have the players who make up the numbers like Ossie, Hibbert, Anichebe and I'm also going to lump Yobo into this category after the emergence of Jags & Lescott as a top pairing.
  4. Last we have the youngsters who we hope will be part of a bright blue future, like Rodwell, Gosling, Vaughan and possibly Kissock, Irving, Baxter et al.
Now we all know the giant leap Everton need to take in order to establish themselves in the top 4. Without £100M of ready-made talent we know that it's not going to happen in the next few years. As far as I can see, that only leaves one way which is to buy young players who, in 3 or 4 years time, will grow to be the next Giggs, Berbatov, Lampard, Terry or Fabregas.

I think Fellaini is a risk, as he's not the finished article, but how else can we hope to EVER compete without following this policy? Fellaini, at 21 years old, already possesses the ability to be a good Premier League player and with 2, 3, 4 more years under his belt he could be a top Premier League player. I feel that the Fellaini 'model' should be our transfer policy for the next 2 or 3 years, unless circumstances change.

I am excited at the prospect of Moyes bringing in top, young, talented players to supplement the backbone of our squad, who can grow together, improve together and become the team of 2012 or 2013 which challenges for honours. If a bit of patience ? with Fellaini and hopefully another couple of signings in the same mould this summer and the one after that ? is what it takes, then I am happy with that.

At the end of the day, the challenge is to take a top-6 squad and turn it into a top-2 squad, without top-2 levels of investment, and I would love to hear if anyone has a better idea of how to achieve it.
Richard Parker, Saudi Arabia     Posted 30/03/2009 at 06:14:00

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Ciarán MacGiolla Eoin
1   Posted 30/03/2009 at 14:50:44

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It?s unfortunate that you chose Fellaini as the possible model for our transfer policy... throwing ?15 mill at potential is not something we can afford to do.

People may be divided on opinion of Fellaini, however, I don?t think anyone can argue that ?15 mill (and without evidence that this is not the case we have to accept the clubs word that this was the price) - was way over the odds for the ?possible potential? to be a decent Premier League player. But then again, the quality of Fellaini is a separate issue from the abstract idea of a spending big money on youth players. However, it does pose the question of whether Moyes is capable of spending large amounts of money wisely.

Therefore the proposition that this is a sounds basis for the clubs transfer policy is certainly debatable. We would all love to have the world's best young talent in our team... but realistically ? that?s not gonna happen until we become an attractive proposition ? and how does that happen?

Simple really. Money.

We may have ambitions of being a top four team ? but while the potless crew are in charge of the bank balance ? that simply isn?t going to happen.
Dominic Fitzpatrick
2   Posted 30/03/2009 at 15:39:48

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I think the only way Fellaini will fill that valuation is if he does perform to Everton’s and Liege’s expectations, which is exactly what the transfer agreement between the two clubs entails.

Everton paid no more than around £5 million for Fellaini upfront, with the rest being paid in installments, depending on the players development and success in the future.

I am still undecided on Fellaini, but I am however fairly confident that after a season in the Premier League he will adjust accordingly and turn out to be a decent player for us, hopefully finding his position in a settled starting XI.

The worst thing you can do with Fellaini is dispute whether he is worth £15 million, because he isn’t, and he wasn’t ever intended to after such a short period of time.

People forget we couldn’t up our bid for Moutinho in the summer to £15 million which is what Sporting where asking for, yet we go out and supposedly splash the same figure on an inferior player, can people not see the problem with this?

In conclusion, he is NOT a £15 million player. He may well be in the future and IF he is, then that is what we will pay.

My advice would be to view Felli as a promising player with potential and to stop expecting so much from him. If we had signed a player of proper pedigree, like a Moutinho, a Lucho Gonzalez, a Riquelme then we’d know what we were getting. With Felli we don’t, that’s the point, but we shall see and the early signs are fairly positive.
Anthony Millington
3   Posted 30/03/2009 at 15:46:21

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I agree with what you are saying, but I can’t help but think that Fellaini was a panic buy. We signed no-one all summer after players turning us down and then the fans heard that we had no money to spend and turned on Kenwright. After the poor start to the season we desperately needed a centre mid as Jagielka and Rodwell were struggling and so we paid over the odds for a Belgian called Fellaini.

Hopefully Fellaini does turn out to be a good player, because he is only young, but he has a lot of improving to do in my opinion. For a holding midfielder he should be doing alot more than he is regardless of his price tag as players take him on far too easily and he doesn’t track back enough for the team. Maybe he will just need a season or two to adapt to the English game like many foreigners do before turning out to be top premier league players.
Ian Tunny
4   Posted 30/03/2009 at 15:35:26

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Totaly agree, with you many fans just want a quick fix and arnt prepared to wait and be patient. There is the rare exception like Rooney when a player is fantastic and is fully developed at 16, but most players dont get to be fully establised members of premiere league teams untill their early 20s and still wont stand out as being great untill their peak at mid to late 20s.

I read an article last week about Cahill which showed cahills ratio of goals per game in the prem was much better than Lampard and Gerrards, and someone commented saying ’’i cant believe how few goals Gerrard has scored in the league’’. This is because in recent times he seems to score hatricks every week and seems to have been great for years, but if you look at it more closley although he as always been very good its only been the last 3 or 4 years, since he was about 24 when he has really stepped up.

Even with Lampard, the comentator said his goal on saturday was his first since he scored against Croatioa, which brought something back to me that his very first England goal was against Croatia in a friendly not that long ago when he was about 24. You would have thought he would have been around the England set up a lot longer than that.

Then John Terry mentioned about his 50th cap for England and i remebered that he had only established himself in the England team in the Euros the same year Rooney made himself a regular, So Terry was about 23-24.

My point is Fellaini is just 21 and i dont think will see him near his best for another couple of seasons, but who knows how much of an impact he will have made when Gerrard or Lampards age. Who knows, people might one day be saying ’’i cant believe how few goals Fellaini has score’’ when he’s banging them in left right and centre when in his prime.

Michael Evans
5   Posted 30/03/2009 at 15:54:03

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Personally I think he will in time develop into a good player who will justify his fee. However, I think sometimes we overlook the pressure that the financial situation at the club places on Moyes and any new signing. If you are a £15m signing for the Fat Waiter,Ferguson or Hughes etc so what. Both manager and player know It doesn’t matter too much if you turn out to be a turkey because you are part of a £30-50m+ spend. If you are a £15m signing at Everton then that’s the annual budget blown and if you don’t turn out to be a World beater immediately then you will get slaughtered. The guy’s only 21 - give him time. I remember when Henry signed for Arsenal and couldn’t hit a barn door for the first season or so their fans said the same things as some are saying about Fellaini.
Col Wills
6   Posted 30/03/2009 at 16:07:08

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I hate to think what we would have done if we hadnt signed him at the last minute, his goals have been priceless in pinching points at the end of games. To improve next season, i would ask him to take control of the ball more, a la arteta, cos to me, he seems to play it simple and too many time just plays’ the way he’s facing instead of turning into space. I honestly believe he’ll improve another 50% come next season
Ian Tunny
7   Posted 30/03/2009 at 16:18:27

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I thought I should have checked and made sure I got my facts right so had a look at the stats on Wikipedia for Gerrard and Lampard, but was surprised to read some of the things about Gerrard which could be said of or by Fellaini, when he says he was ?filling in the midfield position for injured Jamie Redknapp (Yakubu) and playing on the right wing, (up front)' but he scarcely contributed in the short on-pitch time he received, due to nervousness affecting his play.

Gerrard recalled in a November 2008 interview with The Guardian, "I was out of position and out of my depth." The Liverpool hierarchy nonetheless remained convinced that he would improve. Gerrard saw himself as a defensive player primarily, looking to make key tackles rather than push the team forward.

However, he began to suffer from nagging back problems, which sports consultant Hans-Wilhelm Müller-Wohlfahrt later diagnosed as a result of accelerated growth, coupled with excessive playing, during his teenage years. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Steven_Gerrard

Jay Harris
8   Posted 30/03/2009 at 16:37:08

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A few points.

First of all, as mentioned by others Fellaini was NOT £15m. Even Belgian newspapers were stating that Liege were ASKING 15 million euros which at the prevailing exchange rate was £11m which I am sure we would have knocked down and got on installments with the popular consensus being c £4.5m down payment the rest in lucky bags.

I do however remain unconvinced not so much about his ability but about his head (and I don't mean his hair). He loses concentration quite a lot and his attitude with other players and referees makes him easily unsettled.

Lastly we do not know the extent of the back injury he has been carrying but it?s obvious his form has gone right out of the window recently.
Howard Don
9   Posted 30/03/2009 at 17:34:10

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I agree 100% Richard buying young potential is vital for a club like us, and I think Moyes has the ability to do that. Fellaini is by no means the finished article and can be infuriating at times, but there’s no doubting his talent and threat. That’s a view most teams we play against seem to share judging by the "attention" he gets, he worries the hell out of defenders.
Vincent Bird
10   Posted 30/03/2009 at 18:46:03

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Get shut at the earliest oppourtunity, the lad is crap! Sorry, guys... he really is.
Trevor Lynes
11   Posted 30/03/2009 at 19:16:10

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Promising youngsters are bought at much lower prices and I am afraid that Fellaini was bought at the price of already established stars...

All this talk of his improvement is an unknown quantity and to my eye he lacks stamina, pace and his tackling is abysmal. Pace does not come with development although stamina and tackling can. However, when compared to Henry, as one writer has, then that is completely laughable. Henry had fantastic ball control and MADE lots of goals besides becoming probably Arsenal's greatest ever player.

Talking of youth and obvious potential, not including Rooney, there has been Fabregas who was purchased for an absolute pittance. Now that is what I call foresight... I honestly believe that our top players in today's side have cost the least.
I dont think that any of our so called star buys... Beattie, Johnson, Yakubu etc have ever really been value for money. The Yak has scored but does little else and when he doesn?t score he is worthless. Beattie I won't even go into... and Johnson for me is just an honest worker who would not get into any of the top sides.

Our best bargains have been Arteta, Cahill, Lescott, Yobo, Jags and Baines... the latter two should have cost us nothing!!! Neville has also been a great acquisition. If we are to spend big money then we should be looking for a decent playmaker and fast winger who can cross the ball accurately.
Felli for my money has a lot to prove !!

Alan Clarke
12   Posted 31/03/2009 at 09:42:06

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I’ve tried to defend Fellaini in the past but I’ve since come to the conclusion that he is utter dog shit regardless of his price. It’s not just that he’s crap for £15 mil, even if we’d have signed him on a free, we’d still all be saying he’s crap.

Fellaini is an example of what seems to happen when Moyes is given more money to spend, he doesn’t know what to do with it. Fellaini was a total panic buy and will be very costly for our club when we have fuck all to spend in the first place.
Mike Homfray
13   Posted 31/03/2009 at 11:14:13

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The Yak is there to score goals. If he does nothing else, who cares?

Jury is out on Fellaini, but lets be positive.

And the future has to be about developing the academy first and foremost.
Rich Grisdale
14   Posted 31/03/2009 at 13:57:13

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You lot need to give the lad a break... It's been said so many times not to judge a player when they first move to a new country; give him a full season, then you can start the debate...
Marc Manford
15   Posted 31/03/2009 at 15:52:27

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Fellaini won?t get in the side when everyone is fit; when he?s played in midfield (where he was bought to play) he?s been terrible... he did alright playing further forward.
Tony Kelly
16   Posted 31/03/2009 at 20:29:16

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ALL our record buys in recent seasons seem to get fucked off when a payment is due. Think of Beattie, Johnson... I think the Yak would have been next, only his injury scuppered it. Call me a cynic if you like, but when Fellaini?s next payment is due, he?ll be on his way.
Paul O'Hanlon
17   Posted 31/03/2009 at 21:09:43

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I agree with Marc Manford, we paid a huge fee for a central midfielder, but he simply can?t play there in the Premier League... at the moment at least. I do like the lad, he seems to have something, particularly when in the final 3rd, but unless he drastically improves as a CENTRE MID, then he won?t be around until he?s 24.
Ian Tunny
18   Posted 31/03/2009 at 21:38:02

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The thing is, Mark, how many times and for how long have Everton been able to claim everyone is fit and able? The truth of the matter is we have a small squad and 2 or 3 injury-prone players, so everyone should get a lot of first team action ? especially if we can manage to stay in the cup competitions a bit longer than this season, which I believe we will.

Fellaini already contributes more than Osmen, even on a bad day; I think this is his best chance of getting in the 1st team with a fully fit squad.
Richard Lum
19   Posted 01/04/2009 at 00:09:57

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"This piece isn’t just about Fellaini", yet everyone is discussing Fellaini. Ciarán got it rightwhen he questioned Moyes capability of spending large amounts of money wisely. Even if we loads of cash, we won’t make it to tregular top 4. Moyes is not good on big buys.
Andy Crooks
20   Posted 01/04/2009 at 00:57:54

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Richard, I must agree with you and Ciaran. David Moyes has done a magnificent job. He could actually save West Brom. But... he?s not the man for the Champions League. Safety first is his way.
Tony Williams
21   Posted 01/04/2009 at 08:56:57

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I see quite a few people having a go at Moyes "big Money" spending again, sayong he isn?t up to it with big signings, let's look at it realistically. He has only ever had 3 "big" signings, starting with AJ at almost £9 million, Yak at £12 million and now Fellaini at whatever the price really is. Can?t really say that these have been failures, can you?

Before the responses come in, I don?t consider a £6m siging to be a "big" signing, so there goes Beattie and Krøldrup, Davies et al.

We sold AJ at a £3 million profit, Yak scored the most he ever has in a season for his first year and Fellaini, love him or hate him, IS an influence in this team, has been playing with an injury and is picked on by the ref. It?s too early to judge him yet, let's get a full season without a pretty serious back injury behind him before saying he isn?t worth this or that much.
Ciarán MacGiolla Eoin
22   Posted 01/04/2009 at 10:12:46

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If you need to be reminded, £6mill was our record transfer fee at that time ? so it was a big figure at the time... and so was the £5 mill for Krøldrup.

The point being that we need money to spend big money to compete with the big four ? but it is debatable if Moyes is capable of spending relatively big amounts without getting a nosebleed.
Tony Williams
23   Posted 01/04/2009 at 10:34:46

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No need to remind me that it was our transfer record but that doesn’t mean that we were getting a world class player because our record transfers were so low before. This was in the same year that Carvalho and Ferreira went to Chelski for a combined cost of £33 million, Drogba went for £24 million and Cisse, a flop, went to Auxerre for £14 million, so in the grand scheme of things £6m is not really a "big" signing is it?
Ciarán MacGiolla Eoin
24   Posted 01/04/2009 at 11:05:33

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Again, £6Mill was relatively a hell of a lot of money for Moyes to be spending on one player..

By the way - what exactly does ?world class? mean?
Tony Williams
25   Posted 01/04/2009 at 11:37:19

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£6m was only relatively a hell of a lot of money in our own budget terms, not in general transfer amounts.

World Class, in my view, is that the player is good/outstanding for both club and country on a world stage, less Messi for Barcelona and Argentine but not Stevie Mee Laaa for Liverpool and England
Rich Griffiths
26   Posted 07/04/2009 at 18:40:36

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Fellaini is a star. See youtube Fellaini Chant. I shall be backing him to score against manu. COYB!

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