The Mail Bag

Roll on 2010-11 — time to take a tilt at the title?

Comments (72)

So that's the season over then, we've given it a bloody good go in the second half to recover from our injury-ridden start (which in itself is worthy of note) but ultimately come up just a little bit short in Europe (undone by the dastardly Portugeezers) and the Premier League (what no prize for 8th).

Yet, despite this relatively mediocre final outcome and the lack of any European adventures, next year I actually think 2010-11 will represent our best chance yet to scoop some silverware and to have a genuine go at the title.

Yes, it sounds like madness, but there is some method here for 3 reasons:

1. We have a first team capable of beating anyone (Sky 4 included) This year saw us finally record some sustained results against the big boys, with wins over both Chelsea and Man Utd (and we deserved a win at the Emirates), not to mention rolling over pretenders Man City twice, deserving better against Villa twice and being robbed by Liverpool.

With Jags, Arteta and the Yak back, Heitinga and Fellaini have overcome initial issues to look like real class acts, the likes of Baines, Pienaar, Saha, Cahill all creating/scoring and Howard and Neville being pretty solid, our first team looks good; and what's more....

2. We have a half-decent squad too For once, we've got Premier League quality cover and options in virtually all positions:

  • Goal: Nash, Turner or Ruddy
  • Defence: Hibbert, Yobo, Distin, Senderos, Coleman Midfield: Billy, Osman, Rodwell, Gosling (when fit)
  • Forward: Anichebe, Vaughan
Of these, in Rodwell and Coleman we appear to have two up-and-coming stars in the making, whilst the likes of Agard, Baxter, Mustafi and Co offer promise of others that could step up.

All of which means that...

3. We could have a proper, calm pre-season Granted we could still do with more pace and endeavour on the flanks (Donovan was a great addition), some less-injury prone cover up front and another left-back option... but generally we could go into a pre-season without needing to completely rebuild in the transfer market.

Also, without the qualifying rounds of the Europa League to worry about, we shouldn't get drawn into unnecessary games.

Also, compared to our nearest challengers, we have comparatively few players involved in the tiring, injury-producing clamour of the World Cup (okay - Baines, Pienaar, Howard, Cahill and Heitinga aside).

4. It should be another 'open' league Whilst many fret about the addition of extra challengers (and to be fair, they appear relatively accurate this season, considering we're going to finish 8th), I actually think this could work in our favour in terms of evening out the points and allowing more teams a crack at finishing high up.

Sure, we're not going to be improving our squad in the transfer window, but I can't see the existing teams strengthening that much either. Neither Man Utd or Liverpool will spending a fortune on players this summer due to their financial plights (especially with Liverpool losing out on CL), indeed the latter could even lose one of their 2 only real matchwinners. Abrahmovich has the cash but is less willing to splash it than he was; O'Neill's already evidently arguing with Lerner about the return for expenditure to date; and Wenger is unlikely to change his habit of a lifetime to splurge on big names.

Of course Spurs will spend serious money (seriously, where DOES it all come from?) but it's likely to mostly go on yet more promising midfielders, which just leaves Man City who WILL spend VERY big, most likely on the stars of the World Cup, and WILL improve their squad... although it's potentially only later in the season that they'll really gel.

Add all that together, take away the distraction of European football (for 1 season only hopefully), divide it by at least one inevitable disruption (Pienaar departure?) but multiply it by fans optimism leaves me with the conclusion that, with a little bit of luck, we actually really could be up there challenging for the title next season.

So COYB and roll on August!
Chris James, London     Posted 25/04/2010 at 17:08:10

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Brendan O'Doherty
1   Posted 25/04/2010 at 22:32:45

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All that Chris, and the 24 year business as well. I'm going to put a few quid on it.

By the way, you've forgotten about Mucha the keeper.

Aiden Jones
2   Posted 25/04/2010 at 22:56:56

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Great to be optimistic... however, the title !!??
Must be joking.
Ciarán McGlone
3   Posted 25/04/2010 at 22:57:19

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We're probably good enough to challenge for fourth next season — but as we won't be making the obvious additions, it really depends on what our rivals do during the summer.
Pat Finegan
4   Posted 25/04/2010 at 23:06:45

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Chris, I really, really want to agree with you about being able to contend for the title. I'm just not sure I would go that far. I think 3rd or 4th is realistic but the title just might be out of reach. Don't get me wrong, I hope you're right and I'm glad you can be that optimistic.
Rob Hollis
5   Posted 25/04/2010 at 23:29:02

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Chris;

You're wrong to speculate that we will win the title. That is obvious.

I just wonder by how many points.
Alan Kirwin
6   Posted 25/04/2010 at 23:50:28

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As is evident from this season's league, there now seems to be an elite group of 8 that's some way ahead of the field. Given our shite start and frequent misfortune in recent away draws that we should have won (5), we'd certainly be well in the mix and there'd be a gap of 15 pts or more between the 8 and the rest.

Of the elite, on this season's evidence, we should have no fear. I say that in full recognition or our porous defence that I hope will be corrected. We beat Man U & Chelsea, City twice, conceded last minute equalisers away to Arsenal & Villa and were unlucky twice against a crap Liverpool team.

I don't envisage much activity at Arsenal, Liverpool, Man U, Villa or even Chelsea, probably Spurs too, as they are investing in a stadium. Arsenal may lose Fabregas. Chelsea will have a very old team. There is a strong chance of Torres going if Liverpool don't get bought & buy a tilt at the title.

Stability counts for a lot. So does a good start. So here's wishing for a rapid return of the boss (Fellaini), Pienaar to repay our faith in him by re-signing, and some professional pre-season management for a change. I see Saha as playing fewer games from hereon in. I see the Yak regaining his spunk & goal boots. I anticipate good things from Anichebe, I think he has what it takes. I'd love a marauding centre forward.

At 250-1 we are most definitely worth a punt, especially on each-way. Target is 40 pts by Xmas. if that happens then it's game on.
Garry Corgan
7   Posted 26/04/2010 at 00:40:35

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Are you all mental? Everton even challenging for the title is ludicrous? We have some good players, for sure but virtually no strength in depth. We're lacking in a couple of departments too. Distin at the back? Down the right hand side? Up front?

I'm glad that we appear to be included in the group of eight teams that have broken away from the rest of the league but I'm concerned we don't have the resources to push on. Utd/Arsenal/Chelsea/Liverpool have enough support, resources and assets to make the big purchases. Spurs and City have the cash by other means. We're on par with Villa and that's about it.

Yes we can beat any team on our day, but over 38 games this season or next season we don't have the quality or consistency to break the top four, and we don't have the money to change that.

Our aim over the next couple of years should be to make Everton a viable, investable business and to raise our international profile by performing well in Europe. We'll miss out on that next season, but maybe having fewer games to play will give us an advantage over Villa, Spurs, City?

At 250-1 ... you're wasting a pound.
Matt Traynor
8   Posted 26/04/2010 at 00:45:38

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Chris, a good post but a tad optimistic on the title call. As you say, a lot depends on the summer (transfers - more what goes out than in) and the pre-season.

Last time we won the championship (which was incidentally, only 3 years prior to them winning their last championship) it was possible for a team to come up from nowhere and do it. If memory serves me correct, the 85 championship side only used about 14 outfield players.

It is a different game now. With the big (resource) teams having a bench full of 100 grand a week players.

One benefit I see of the strengthening of the other teams is their ability to take points off the Sky 4.

Regarding our own performances - remember - this season was the first time we'd beaten Chelsea under Moyes. And we've still to do anything meaningful away. But on that score hopefully we are moving in the right direction.
Mike Green
9   Posted 26/04/2010 at 00:41:51

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Chris

I really had a sense that this could be the case during the month of death... but now, as the season closes, I've settled down a bit.

With two games to go, we are 23 points behind the league leaders, even having taken four points off them this season.

We are within our rights to speculate and I do think we will put Villa, Spurs and Liverpool in their place next season but can you imagaine what City fans are expecting of next season? They and Chelsea are talking about spunking £60m+ on Torres and, without getting into the money argument, it makes you think.

Champions League — a definite maybe. Champions? Maybe not.
James Flynn
10   Posted 26/04/2010 at 01:07:52

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This off-the-charts negativity is shocking, even for ToffeeWeb. Let me first say if a bunch of you start following American baseball, pick the Boston Red Sox. You already have the perfect Red Sox attitude; "Get that positive bullshit out of my way. Where's the negative"? Pretty sad.

Here's what's happening next season. We ARE challenging for the EPL Silverware and with every good reason. Pick the team that finishes above us this year and eliminate their same key guys we lost to injury this season. Go ahead, pick. They would go tumbling down the Table as we did. And once they got the key players fit again, back up the Table they would go. As we did.

The top slot is there for the team talented enough, and with the grit, to go take it. EFC is indisputedly talented enough. The grit TBD (Just like everyone else by the way).

The main thing is our health, re-signing Landon (He can't wait to come back), and Rodwell's blossoming. If money (it has it's place, no question) is the be-all, end-all, how did Moyes put this team together? With a shrewd eye for talent, not some owner's deep pockets. The guys we have love playing for Moyes and the Goodison faithful. This is obvious.

Injuries at a minimum is the key. We're right there. Right there. Can't wait to be part of next season's celebration. Imagine the EPL Cup being carried out to mid-field at Goodison. It's going to be fantastic.
Martin Mason
11   Posted 26/04/2010 at 02:22:07

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I'm also very positive about next year. There's been a seismic shift this year in that nobody now has the money to buy really top players. The reasons are debt, the weak pound and 55% tax. Players are going elsewhere now and look at the woeful performance of the Sky 4 in the CL this year after usually providing 3 semi-finalists.

The Sky 4 will not be any better next year and we have the potential to be much better as will City courtesy of Arab billions. I don't rate Villa and Spurs aren't consistent so why shouldn't we be in with a shout if we can strengthen the squad? OK, it'd be a tall order but at Oxford who would have seen the 85/6/7 silverware?

James Flynn
12   Posted 26/04/2010 at 02:58:31

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Chris James - You're right on. To have the EPL Cup raised at Goodison we need some good luck. Same as any team that's raised the thing. Luck always plays a part in title contention; good or bad (See the wrong referree at Chelsea - Barca last year's CL).

The thing to me is our team's health. We have everyone ready to go next season's start? Look out everyone else. Mr. Moyes has managed to build a side with minimal finance. And that side has thrown the gauntlet down for months now, even as Landon departed, others were injured, and yet others returned from injury.

I think we cannot over-estimate how Moyes has built the team. Our players are "Moyes Players". If we talk here about how he's molded the team without the benefit of major funding, does any EFC follower not understand that our players know this too? And that they have a natural, vested interest in proving Moyes proven correct?

Next season is ours. Ours. OURS!!

COYB
James Flynn
13   Posted 26/04/2010 at 03:17:07

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Gary Corgan - Are YOU mental?? Of course money has it's importance. But are you an EFC fan or just in here to shoot the breeze? Without money, Mr Moyes has assembled a team ready to go. The EPL title is there for us to grab.

Landon's coming back. He's not staying at Galaxy, even if they win the title (which I expect). There's a variety of ways a deal can be brokered beyond the straight cash = player deal.

Plus, either Rodwell's a stud or he's not. Over everything, this seems to be most overlooked. I say next year is THE year for Rodwell. Why not? No comparisons to other Englanders, FFS. That's national business, not EFC's. I say the kid explodes next season.

Given good luck in the health department (same as every team), I'm coming over to witness EPL Silverware being lifted at Goodison.

COYB
Brendan O'Doherty
14   Posted 26/04/2010 at 03:40:02

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250-1 ?! - I'll have some of that!
Mick Wrende
15   Posted 26/04/2010 at 07:19:25

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With a lazy oaf like Yakubu in the side, we have no chance of the top half — let alone the title. Get real.
Liam Reilly
16   Posted 26/04/2010 at 08:18:24

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We'd have to be consistently challenging for the top 4 places before we can be conceived to be title contenders. For those who say we have a strong squad, er... we don't — that's why injuries to key players cost us so much in the earlier part of the season.

Its also a double-edged sword, if the team is challenging at Christmas, the transfer window opens and our players are in the spotlight, especially as they won’t be cup-tied in Europe.

Realistically, challenge for 4th and really go for both domestic Cup competitions.
Gareth Humphreys
17   Posted 26/04/2010 at 08:55:40

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I don't think the title but I do think we can have a shot at 4th. Since December, we have only made up 4 points on Spurs, 3 on Liverpool and 1 on City and Villa. As such, our form has only been slightly better than theirs but still shows that — if we had beaten Hull, Burnley and Bolton away as opposed to getting beaten early on in the season — we would have been right in the mix.
Iain Love
18   Posted 26/04/2010 at 08:45:56

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If we keep what we have (fit) and add Donovan, N'Zogbia and a striker (possibly Bellamy on loan as Citeh will buy another 10 strikers and I can't see Bellamy sitting on his arse at 30 years old), that's about £15M to £20M outlay... Do we have it??? Or do we sell??? i'm not sure, but as last year, 1 out 3 in improves the team.

Having a full & fit squad (with no Euro distractions) from the start would this season have put us in the mix certainly for 4th possibly for the top 3 and, considering there's not much in it between them, why not a title challenge???

  • Manure — without Rooney — are beatable
  • Chelski — are getting older
  • Arsenal — are perrenial also rans
  • Liverpool — have lost the plot, not to mention probably their manager and star player.
  • Citeh — are in transition
  • Villa — are bottle merchants
  • Spurs — have spent a hell of a lot of money and, if they don't finish 4th, won't be splashing the cash much. (Actually if they do finish 4th the bonus payments for the players will cripple them, as it did when Portsmouth won the cup.)
We will be better next season just down to the injuries we suffered, also Fellaini & Bily will have had longer to settle in; Rodwell will be a year older; potentially Coleman's emergence and the teams above us distracted by europe.

I say yes, we can challenge for the title next season and 250 -1 is worth a tenner of anyone's money. BELIEVE and convey that from the stands at Goodison.

Richard Parker
19   Posted 26/04/2010 at 10:14:05

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I think that our record in the second half of this season shows that we are able to challenge higher up the league, but we've never yet put in a consistent shift over a whole season.

If we keep everyone and have a fully fit squad and make a good start, then we can certainly be up there in the top 4. It's all going to come down to the start and avoiding injury.... another slow start and we're buggered. Arteta out for any length of time, we're buggered.

We're also relying on Saha and Yak being able to lead the line and score regularly for an entire season.

There's a lot of ifs and buts, but with a bit of luck, a bit of consistency and a decent start we're capable of a top 4 finish. I think a title challenge is optimistic, if not perhaps a little foolish — I hope to be proven wrong.
Danny Burke
20   Posted 26/04/2010 at 10:27:36

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I'm enjoying the optimism on here, fellas. I do think there is the potential for next season to be a great one but there are several IFs: will Pienaar/Rodwell go? ... Who will be brought in to replace them?

Assuming we keep the squad as it is, the challenging for the top 4 is a must. The title is a bit beyond us, but hey, I like to dream as much as the next guy! Bring on the open-top bus parade!
Ciarán McGlone
21   Posted 26/04/2010 at 10:48:29

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Mr Flynn...

I've not seen any negativity on this thread... Just an avoidance of hyper-positivity.

We are all gushing about our prospects, albeit some are doing it with a healthy dose of realism.
Peter Warren
22   Posted 26/04/2010 at 11:10:05

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I think losing Lescott was a massive blow and, unless Heitinga can play with Jags or Rodwell, or Duffy can mature and play next to him, we need to sign somebody to have a chance of competing.

Aside from that, we need the obvious right back (unless Coleman is good enough), right midfield and a forward. Have we got circa £20M without selling one of our star players? I doubt it... UNLESS Kenright is indeed selling club in the summer — and then Happy Days.

Tony J Williams
23   Posted 26/04/2010 at 11:29:52

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I don't feel we need the "obvious right back" at all. We just need someone good enough in front of Hibbert that can link up the same as Pienaar and Baines.

Watch Hibbert when he has a player willing to show for him, he always passes to him and 9 times out of 10 the pass will get to him.

His defending is not in doubt and his forward play, as shown yesterday, albeit against a lesser side, is nowhere as bad as many (including me) think it is.
Derek Turnbull
24   Posted 26/04/2010 at 11:44:19

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If we had a decent squad we wouldn't have struggled when we had players out injured would we?
Robert Workman
25   Posted 26/04/2010 at 12:12:43

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We began this season without 4 long term injured players, including 3 first team influential regulars:– Arteta, Jagielka, Yakubu – and Anichebe.

Next season (as things stand) we will start with only one long term injured player:– Gosling. It's bound to make a difference.

Craig Walker
26   Posted 26/04/2010 at 12:42:33

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I admire the optimism but there is one certainty in life as an Evertonian: Just when you have reason to be optimistic, they go and let you down.

I will only start believing that Everton are genuine top 4 material when I can look forward to trips away at Burnley, Bolton and Hull, for example, knowing that we are going to get 3 points.

Sure, on our day we can beat any other team in the division but that doesn't mean we are realistic contenders.

Without sounding too much like a depressed blue, is there not a case to say that we are actually further away from winning the league in terms of league standings when compared to the previous 3 or 4 seasons?
Nick Wall
27   Posted 26/04/2010 at 12:17:47

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I'm feeling very positive too; just a couple of notes of caution. I think there are a couple of areas where our rivals have a big advantage on us. One is in the overall strength and depth of the squad. Granted, we won't have the demands of European football next season, but we'll still have to cope with injuries. Our performance in the 2nd half of this season shows we can still do well with "normal" levels of injuries, but we don't have the squad size or the quality of cover that teams like Chelsea can call upon, and it'll be hard for us to keep performing at the same level while key players are injured.

The other main area of weakness is with strikers. Look at the top 7 teams, virtually all of them have at least 3 proven top strikers on their books. We have two, and of them Saha can't be relied on to play more than 20-30 games a season, while Yakubu is still struggling to return to his best form. Vaughan will probably leave us this summer; Anichebe looks best when he's used as an impact sub; and Beckford (if he comes) is untested at this level. Most of our goals in recent weeks have come from midfield. The obvious problem is that we don't have the funds to bring in a big name striker, so Moyes will have to keep shopping around for those clever loan deals and promising teenagers.
Mike Green
28   Posted 26/04/2010 at 12:49:42

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Tony J Williams – spot on. The problem isn't Hibbo or Nev, it's the black hole in front of them.

Iain Love:–

Chelsea are ageing but at the weekend Ancelotti said 5 youth team players will be entering the squad and they'll be adding 2 or 3 worldies with a few going out.

City are in transition but it's a pretty dramatic one isn't it? What would we be saying on these pages if we were talking about signing a £60m+ striker...?

Agree on Villa and Liverpool – and Man Utd to an extent – but unfortunately they do have Rooney, just as at the moment LFC do have Torres and Gerrard. When we really start challenging Man Utd at Old Trafford, I'll think about writing them off.

Spurs – frightens me the amount of money they spunk up the wall without CL cash to spend so I'm praying City get 4th as the money won't make a blind bit of difference to them – to Spurs, Villa and LFC, it'll mean everything. But, all round, I think we've got better claims next year than them.

Arsenal – perennial also-rans? Had they won their games against Chelsea and Man Utd, they'd have won the league wouldn't they?

Realistically I think fans will be thinking like this for next year:

Chelsea, Man Utd, Arsenal – we could win the league.

City – Champions League place, depending on who comes in we could win the league

LFC - Champions League best Europa Worst, anywhere 3rd to 6th.

Spurs, Villa Everton – let's have a crack at the Top 4 but Europe is a must.

It doesn't look like we're going to get into Europe next year now... will that mean we lose Pienaar and others? Will it mean no-one will want to come our way?

It's been a funny old year... the Sky 4 have each lost between 6 and 8 games this season which is 3 times more than you can usually to win the league – is that a blip or is it a portent of things to come? Hopefully for ours and football's sake, it's the start of a trend, I just hope we don't look back at the season as a chance which we missed out on big time to get into that club.
Michael Brien
29   Posted 26/04/2010 at 12:40:14

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One key factor is the summer or the pre-season, however you like to call it. The last 2 summers: 2008 and 2009, we waited till the last minute of the transfer window to add players to our squad. The result was that, in both 2008-09 and 2009-10, we struggled in the early part of the season.

In effect, we gave the other teams a start and it was a case of playing catch-up. Going into this season, we had four long-term injured players – but that was something that we knew even before the 2008-09 season ended. It was therefore vital that we brought in players as our squad was depleted. However, we didn't do anything, as I stated earlier, until virtually the close of the transfer window.

The last couple of seasons we have managed to get away with very poor pre-seasons in terms of adding to the squad. I am sure that there were many anxious Evertonians scanning the football press & football news websites for any indiactions of new players coming in. I don't think that we can afford to have a third successive pre-season of leaving all our transfer dealings to the last minute.

Compare the reactions of Arsenal and Everton last summer when the new "Rich Kids On the Block" Man Citeh came flashing the cash to buy themselves a Centre Back or two. Everton tried to resist and drag the situation out whilst Arsenal reluctantly accepted the reality of the situation – they accepted the money for Toure and gave themselves several weeks time in which to bring in a replacement/replacements.

In contrast, once the Lescott situation was sorted, we had about 2 weeks before the end of the transfer window. Distin and Heitinga are good signings in my opinion, but wouldn't you have liked to see them at Everton for the start of the 2009-10 season? And wouldn't it have been great to have had Heitinga available for the Europa League matches?

So come on Mr Moyes and Mr Kenwright — get your acts together and start the planning for 2010-11 now!!!

Matthew Tait
30   Posted 26/04/2010 at 13:20:41

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Next season's going to be fascinating, it's certainly the most uncertain I can remember it for 20-odd years. The top 4 teams are all currently significantly weaker than they have been in recent years, so the gate is open. I do think Man U and Chelsea are still significantly ahead of the pack, but the gap is narrowing.

I don't think we're nearly good enough to tilt at the title, but I do agree we have a realistic shot at third or especially fourth IF everything goes perfectly for us. Not playing in Europe next year is likely to help us, as long as we can convince our players to stick with us. We also ideally need to add a quick winger and a striker and left back.

Most importantly we need to get lucky and avoid lengthy injuries to our key players (Arteta above all, but also Howard, Baines, and Pienaar in particular).

Even then, we probably also need other teams to falter. Tottenham, City, Liverpool and Villa all have squads about as good as ours in my opinion, and City and Spurs in particular are likely to add players. We have to hope their new signings don't work out and that they hopefully pick up a few key injuries (it's got to be someone else's turn!). If we can catch a bit of the rub of the green, we'll have a real chance.

Game on!
Jay Harris
31   Posted 26/04/2010 at 13:53:02

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I'm really positive about the team spirit and the way we played recently against the big boys but the league is a marathon not a sprint: we won't win the league without keeping more clean sheets and without being more clinical in front of goal.

They are the 2 weaknesses that need addressing over the summer; the scoring more goals situation requires some more pace to be introduced into the side.
Kevin Tully
32   Posted 26/04/2010 at 13:54:30

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We had a devastating injury list at the start of the season; whatever some posters say about the club, we cannot go and buy players for cover every time you have a long-term injury. The likes of Man City and Chelsea may be able to adopt this approach, but you still have to pay injured players' wages.

Imagine any team without their top scorer, best defender, and best midfielder. We were also without Neville for a long period; whatever his attributes as a player, he is our only leader on the pitch who is able to organise the team. (Heitinga may be able to take this on next season though.)

Fellaini had a virus at the beginning of the season and lost a stone in weight. We had the Lescott saga, and we had to bed in Bily, Distin and Heitinga. Our bench was full of untried kids, and we also suffered some shitty luck in the first few games, along withy the confidence sapping 6-1 defeat on the opening day.

We can't possibly have the same injury list or bad luck in the last couple of games, and I hope we don't send Bainesy or Jags to the World Cup. If Pienaar goes, well fuck him. Apart from Rooney, no player has gone on to better things after leaving us lately. We will give a few people a fright next season, and I hope we knock Liverpool down another peg or two.

I am not bothered about new signings. If we keep our current squad fit, we are still four players better off than the start of this campaign.
Tony Cheek
33   Posted 26/04/2010 at 14:06:04

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Good post Chris, but must agree it's way too optimistic. If we don't strengthen in the summer, then we are doomed to another year behind the Sky 6 (put Spurs and City in there now).

We need a striker that gets in amongst them a la Andy Gray. Both Yak and Saha are bleeding static when good crosses come in. Cahill will do it but we need a more aggressive, clinical finisher up there. Let's face it, that's why we are 8th this time — too many wasted chances and bad last passes have let us down.

THAT'S why we are behind the RS. We have played better than them for most of the season, but just don't cut in the the last phase. A big problem that has to be addressed before next season. What we do not need is another right back!!!

Matthew Tait
34   Posted 26/04/2010 at 14:29:31

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Tony, no one's going to argue with you that we don't score enough goals, but a huge part of the reason for that were the injuries to Arteta and Yak for most of the season.

Without our best ball player and playmaker we've been frequently starved of quality posession in the middle of the park. Yak is only now beginning to recover his fitness from that chronic ankle injury, and Saha has also been injured. If all those three can get and stay fully fit for most of the season, we've got the players to score a lot of goals.

I do agree we could do with another good quality striker as cover though. Saha is quality but is likely to pick up niggling injuries especially if over-played, it's unclear whether or not Yak will regain his full sharpness, and 'm still not convinced Anichebe has got what it takes to lead the line on his own.
Martin Mason
35   Posted 26/04/2010 at 14:43:18

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But imagine the current team with Donovan, Anichebe (who is starting to look the part), and Fellaini (who is a total destruction squad) back. We are almost there and we have players that even City would pay a lot for. I like the Idea of Bellamy from City but he really is a cunt of a person. Scott Parker from West Ham but he won't come.

James Flynn, you are my kind of Evertonian. Don't be depressed by TW negativity. There are many on here who would bitch if we won the EPL next year and the CL the following year. We have a lot to be positive about.
Mike Green
36   Posted 26/04/2010 at 15:58:13

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Martin Mason - Bellamy appears to be a proper cunt, you're right, but providing he didn't disrupt the team spirit (which would appear to be a massive but), I'd love to see him playing for us – scores 1 in 3 games, is proverbial shit off a stick, which we are desperate for, and passionate about winning and the opposition hate playing against him – what more are you looking for in a striker?

Add a "Donovan" on the right and a Bellamy up front and we could be in business.
Matthew Tait
37   Posted 26/04/2010 at 16:49:57

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Ugh... I really think Bellamy is far more trouble than he's worth. Surely there's someone else with a bit of pace in our price range (whatever that might be!).

Robbie Keane? I wouldn't say no...
Mike Green
38   Posted 26/04/2010 at 17:02:13

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Be interesting to see what Bellamy would go for — City were meant to have paid £14m for him so can't see him going for much less than £10m and then doubt we could meet his wages.

Any idea what price is on Donovans head?
Matthew Tait
39   Posted 26/04/2010 at 17:08:10

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To be fair, City paid, what, £23m for Lescott last year and would be very lucky to get half that today, so I don't know if City's transfer fees are much of a guide to true value. Agree with you about the wages though, probably the same issue with Keane even if we could afford him.

I've never seen an actual number mooted for Donovan. All I've ever heard is Moyes say that he would cost much more than you would expect, and more than what all but a few Premier League clubs could afford (ie, not including us). Which suggests a figure well in excess of £10m, maybe more than £15m. Probably the exchange rate doesn't help currently..! But who knows...
James Stewart
40   Posted 26/04/2010 at 17:12:40

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The defense needs sorting out before we can start thinking about 4th!.
James Stewart
41   Posted 26/04/2010 at 17:18:46

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I never want to see Bellamy in an Everton shirt! UGH!
Matthew Lovekin
42   Posted 26/04/2010 at 17:14:31

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I've written a couple of articles already on this, this season. Agree on the positivity. Add to your list, the emergence of Rodwell & Coleman seriously challenging for a starting place each. A full and settled season out of Fellaini & Heitinga, and also the 24-year itch!

A couple of things we don't necessarily need, but would be nice: a pacy right winger, how much would it take LA Galaxy to sell Donovan and would we have the money? If not, could we at least get him on another 10-week loan?

If we do have some money, a striker is the most important. The jury is still out on Yakubu and anything we get out of Saha is a bonus. Both those reasons apply to Vaughan and I'm not convinced Anichebe and Baxter are going to make it in the long run at GP. Soldado would be a good bet but I'm not sure Moyes will have any money this summer. A bargain basement striker would be ideal if Moyes can find another rabbit in that hat.

Also, keep hold of the players we do have, Pienaar (Bosman or not), Rodwell, Fellaini, etc need to stay for next season.

I think we can and should aim for the title, but anything in the top 4 will be deemed a success.

Lastly, a little bit of luck would be nice, no more long-term injuries (Gosling already!) and some fair referees for the derby matches, and you just never know...

Mike Green
43   Posted 26/04/2010 at 18:55:31

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Hear, hear, Matthew Lovekin.
Tony Cheek
44   Posted 26/04/2010 at 19:51:56

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Very true Matthew , luck is something we havnt had for a while and its about time we had our share of it .
But what has been great this year is it is no longer talk about how many Everton players would get in the united team , oh no , this year people ask how many united players would get in our team ....and for the first time for years I can look the RS fans at work in the eye and say that our team is better....and mean it , and detect a worried little laugh that follows....bloody lovely!!!.....COYB !
Tony Cheek
45   Posted 26/04/2010 at 19:51:56

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Very true Matthew, luck is something we haven't had for a while and it's about time we had our share of it.

But what has been great this year is it is no longer talk about how many Everton players would get in the United team, oh no... this year people ask how many United players would get in our team.

And for the first time for years I can look the RS fans at work in the eye and say that our team is better.... and mean it, and detect a worried little laugh that follows.... bloody lovely!!!.....COYB !

Rob Murphy
46   Posted 26/04/2010 at 19:58:35

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Personally, I'm fuckin chuffed we're not gonna be wasting our time with pointless Europa Cup games next season. Our squad isn't big enough to deal with that many games but I do think we can put together an epic season if our main men stay fit. A crack at the league, why fuckin not??? NIL SATIS NISI OPTIMUM!!!
Alan Clarke
47   Posted 26/04/2010 at 20:39:27

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Chris James, in what way is the Yak back? He is fucking useless. The way to measure how good a team we have is against whether our players would get in a team ahead of their counterparts. I would take every striker, except Ngog, from every team above us ahead of Yakubu.

If we are going to have a realistic chance of the top 4 next season we need a new decent striker. Saha will be a year older and as good as he is on his day, we're not going to get more than half a season out of him.

Also James Flynn, there are a lot of similarities between Everton and the red sox so I'd recommend people follow them if they've any interest in baseball.
Dave Smith
48   Posted 26/04/2010 at 20:58:04

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Amazing. We beat Man Utd and Chelsea in the same season, and suddenly now where going to win it next year.

Two words - 'perspective' and 'consistency'.
Dennis Stevens
49   Posted 26/04/2010 at 22:36:18

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Another word for you Dave: History...

Everton win the title every 24 years & next season it's time to do it again.

Iain Love
50   Posted 26/04/2010 at 22:37:20

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So, Mike Green, what would you say to the players if you where David Moyes? "Right lads, we are going for 4th this season and we want Europe if not..." ???

Yes I'm being optimistic and putting the other teams down and bigging us up. I'm a fucking fan and I'd be well pissed if Moyes was saying that to the players.

As a realist / outside pundit I'd say Everton will again be one of the teams challenging for a Euro place but risk being left behind by the money spent by our rivals.

But I'm not, I'm a fan who thinks with a full and fit team with some additions like Donovan, who I suspect wants to come back to us and play against some of the best teams in the world and fucking WIN instead of USA shit unrecognised league.

N'Zogbia is the best player outside the top 8 and, IF Pienaar goes, a cheap alternative. Bellamy may be a cunt but lets face it so is Rooney / Drogba / Ronaldo. And would be a loan signing with bags of pace and proven Prem ability. Come on, this is a fans' forum — not a pessimists one; want that, support Villa.

Dave Smith
51   Posted 26/04/2010 at 23:17:37

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That's not history, Dennis, that's pattern spotting.
Julian Wait
52   Posted 27/04/2010 at 04:38:11

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I am not one to think Coleman is the Holy Trinity reincarnate in one human form, but if he's not quite up to it defensively (so some say) and bloody good going forwards (as others say) then why not try him at right midfield, at least as an impact sub to begin with? There, saved $10m, now let's buy half a decent new striker with it instead ...
Matthew Tait
53   Posted 27/04/2010 at 09:42:46

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Yeah but Dave, 'If you know your pattern spotting' just doesn't have quite the same ring to it.
Dave Smith
54   Posted 27/04/2010 at 12:19:22

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Nice one Matthew. I had to chuckle at that.

My point is though, we don't win the title EVERY 24 years. A good example is 85 and 87. That's a 2-year gap.

This every 24 year thing is just a pattern.
Matthew Tait
55   Posted 27/04/2010 at 13:22:56

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Haha... oh definitely agree, surely nobody actually thinks we've got a god-given right to win the title next year just because we've won it on the 24 year anniversary a few times before. It's a nice fantasy I have to admit, but I'll gladly take 3rd or 4th instead!
Matthew Lovekin
56   Posted 27/04/2010 at 17:23:07

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The 24-year thing is just a bit of fun. I grew up hearing Spurs winning the Cup every time the year ended in a 01. Soon stopped when they didn't win it in 2001!

It's a nice idea we will win the league every 24th year, but if we do, it will be more down to the quality of players and manager than some old wive's tale.
Mike Green
57   Posted 27/04/2010 at 17:24:00

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Iain, you need to chill out mate, I'm as much a fan and an optimistic as the next man.

I've got £50 with a mate we finish Top 4, I'll be having £50 on it with a bookie when the odds come out for Top 4 and have already put £10 e/w on is winning the league at 250/1.

So I'm putting my money where my mouth is re: where I think we'll finish to the tune of £120 (to date — I'm sure there'll be more to follow).

Considering likely to finish 8th this season I'd say that was pretty optimistic betting.

How much are you putting on us winning the league?

God knows what your "go and support Villa comment was supposed to mean" by the way. Lost.
Dennis Stevens
58   Posted 27/04/2010 at 18:17:21

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Dave, you're wrong : we do win the title every 24 years — if we fail to do so next season, it'll be the first & only break in the pattern, as you describe it.

I note you have picked up on the fact that Everton have also won the title during seasons other than "every 24th year"; however, that also forms a pattern of sorts in relation to the 24 year rule, insofar as, between our 24-yearly wins, we either win the title twice or not at all, on an alternating basis. As you can see:-

1891
No title success until
1915
Two "non-24 yearly" title wins in 1928 & 1932
1939
No title success until
1963
Two "non-24 yearly" title wins in 1970 & 1985
1987
No title success until
... 2011?

So not only can we expect to win the title next season & again in 2035, but we should also win it twice in between. Hopefully, Liverpool will still be awaiting their next league success at that point!

Iain Love
59   Posted 27/04/2010 at 19:58:35

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Sorry Mike, chilled now. I just think that we have a chance (outside, admittedly) of the title next season and I am a great believer in positive thinking.

As for the Villa comment, their fans are so pessimistic, it's untrue. Maybe that's why they are bottle merchants, ie positive thinking.
Again, sorry mate.

Dave Smith
60   Posted 27/04/2010 at 21:02:33

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Love your optimism, Dennis. Wish Ii could share in it.

Our minds are designed to see patterns in everything, but they don't form rules. Next season we have a 1/20 chance (without taking anything else into account) in winning the league. The fact that we won the league 24 years ago doesn't change that. The hard work still needs to be done!
James Flynn
61   Posted 27/04/2010 at 20:27:04

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Well, we can win it. We can see 4th place? Then we can see lifitng the Cup itself.

There doesn't seem to be an argument amongst us that Moyes has put together a talented side. Maybe this guy or that, but overall a talented side.

The talent has been proven with wins or top sides used to EFC as cannon-fodder or at least a guaranteed 3 points on the schedule. No win against the top teams was a fluke. They were ready and came at us and were beaten.

The only thing not proven was finishing off a lesser side or a team above us we had outplayed. Here's the difference this season between us and those at the top, absolutely the difference between us and the 4 teams immediately above us. Like the rest here, I'm not in the locker room or at the practices. My belief is that the players well know they should have finished higher this season. That the quality of their play the second half of the season should have yielded better results in the Table. I also believe they'll come out next season determined to eliminate this problem.

Everything (especially injuries) being even, finishing teams off (grit, killer instinct) is where we have to step up next season. I just feel we're going to do it. It's the last step to winning a title. Yeah I'm optimistic. Everything I see signals I should be. I'm also a realist. We have to finish teams off. I think we will.

In fact, since some of most severe "realists" here feel 4th place is attainable, what's the big difference between your "realism" and the expectations of us "hyper optimists"? If you can get 4th in an ultra-competitive league, for Goodison's sake, you can lift the Silverware.

Come on, we all feel it. Next season's going to be exciting for us. It's there to be had and we can take it.
Dennis Stevens
62   Posted 27/04/2010 at 22:10:15

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Absotively, Dave — hard work it will be indeed! Everything has to fall into place such as injuries, supensions, tranfers, attitude & luck, of course — however, as James has posted above: "It's there to be had and we can take it."
Chris Butler
63   Posted 27/04/2010 at 22:37:40

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Not qualifying for the Europa League could be a blessing in disguise. If you look at a how VIlla, Manchester City and Spurs have done after not playing in the competition, we could well mount a serious push for the top four if we can beat our rivals and not get any injuries.
Michael Kenrick
64   Posted 28/04/2010 at 02:00:43

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Ian, that's a fantastic idea: if everyone who contributes could start to positively affirm in every message that we ARE going to win the league next season, that would be a fantastic wave of positive thinking behind the team. They simply could not resist but go out every game and play with total conviction toward the ulimate goal.

Everton are going to win the League in 2011. I feel sure of it now!

(BTW James Flynn, we don't call it a Cup... it's the League Trophy.)
James Flynn
65   Posted 28/04/2010 at 03:00:03

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Michael, League Trophy it is and thanks.

It's not a matter of "feeling" we'll win and having the "positive waves" influence our standing this time next year (Yet we all accept home field advantage as a very real thing. Hmmm).

It's looking at what we have when healthy and what we've done. Who's been better the second half of this season? And that's with our leaving points on the field we should have taken.

We can win it all next season based on how we've played with (most) everyone healthy lately. Do we need good health? Yes. A bit of good luck. Yes. Finishing lesser teams off we've out-played? We won't top the Table without those points.




But we have the side to get it done. That, I'm positive of.
Mike Green
66   Posted 28/04/2010 at 09:47:54

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Iain - no offence taken but I appreciate the apology, nice one.

We all want the best for the club and I think we'd agree that if can strengthen in the right places, start well, maintain consistentcy and get the results against the Sky 4 we got this year but deservedly beat LFC this time - all of which are more than realistic - then anythings possible next season.

Take it easy - and as always - COYB!

Dale Forbes
67   Posted 28/04/2010 at 11:37:58

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Garry Corgan is spot on. It isn't a matter of not being positive, it's a question of a sober assessment of our strengths and weaknesses. And unfortunately the list in the weakness column is pretty long.

Moyes has severe limitations as a manager, which has been pointed out many times on this site. Fundamentally, he doesn't have the tactical nous to compete at the highest level. We are also burdened with his allegiance to players like Neville and Cahill who are not part of a Championship winning outfit.

It's also foolish to think we won't pick up injuries. Look at what happened to Arsenal. Injuries to a few key players and they were out of the game.

Methinks, we'd be lucky to finish in the Top 4 next season.

Dennis Stevens
68   Posted 28/04/2010 at 22:03:59

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Dale, I don't think anybody thinks we won't pick up injuries, but in the same way we've been relatively unlucky on the injury front over the last 18 months or so, it is possible to be quite lucky as regards injuries. I remember Aston Villa winning the League using only 14 players, whereas we often use that many in one match nowadays. Looked at objectively. it's quite unlikely, but certainly not wholly inconceivable that we could do it next season.
James Flynn
69   Posted 30/04/2010 at 02:56:15

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Dale Forbes - If you're agreeing with Corgan, I think you should leave the word sober out of the conversation.

You gave every description of a side destined for relegation, yet still mentioned Top 4 "with luck". Either pull your EFC tail out from between your legs or admit you're some other team's fan in here to play around. We're good enough to win it all. Will we? Let's see what happens. Just like Manu, Chelsea, etc fans will have to see. EFC is as good as any of em. Any of em!!
Dale Forbes
70   Posted 30/04/2010 at 10:18:11

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James Flynn & Dennis Stevens: I don't know what your definition of a fan is. Is it some maniacal, one-eyed demon blind to any kind of reality? If it is, then I'm not a fan.

Why should the choice be relegation or winning the league? Of course, we all hope to win the league, the Champions League and the World Club Championship all in one year, a la Barcelona. Would you bet your house and your mother's house on it happening? No.

We have severe limitations that will prevent us from making the move into the highest levels. Unless those weaknesses can be eliminated, we will struggle to compete with the big boys.

James Flynn
71   Posted 30/04/2010 at 23:03:11

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Dale - OK. OK. Look, I don't think what I say is much different than what you and many others here have stated. There seems to be a general hope or agreement that Top 4 is there to be had next season. That we're good enough.

The only difference I see is that in my mind if we're good enough for Big 4 (again, I'm part of a large group believing that, you included), we're good enough to lift the League Trophy in the air this time next year. How great of a difference is that really? You can't call that maniacal. You'd be as happy as me, if not more, watching the Trophy being lifted at Goodison next season.

If we were Newcastle United fans and I was talking this way about next season, maniacal would apply to what I'm saying. But what I'm saying is I've seen the same thing as everyone else in 2010. We have the talent.

With some good luck no question (every winning team gets some), particularly with injuries and general good health, and our yougsters' continued improvements, we have as good a chance as any of the 7 teams above us to win the thing in 2011. After all, none of us here think ManU, Chelsea, Arsenal, etal are better than us now. Besides, this season is the last kick of the so-called "Sky 4" era.

Anyway Dale, you say 4th "with luck" and I'm saying, with luck, lifting the Trophy. 4th aint bad in a league who's top half is stacked. But 4th is at the lower end of our capability. We've done 4th recently. We now have the guys to win it all next season. I'm here saying it and will continue to do so.
James Flynn
72   Posted 30/04/2010 at 23:45:57

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Tony (33) and Matthew (34). That's the whole thing. When we have an opponent down with our foot on his chest and our sword at his throat, we can't stab into the ground next to his neck.

I think Moyes has assembled the team that knew this season would be a great one, then bodies starting dropping and here we are in 8th. All the points missed 2010? We're pissed off and the players have to be furious. They KNOW they're better than everyone else.

I've never been to England, let alone Liverpool. What's the best hotel Everton-wise? My job keeps me on the road internationally. If I can, I want to be at Goodison this time next year. The tumult, the pandemonium! How exciting! I know there are some here who've seen trophies lifted for EFC. There's millions of us who haven't and I'm one.

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