Season 2011-12
The Mail Bag
We're Missing Eleven Goals
I've just been doing some calculations which show the average goals scored (or conceded!) by a Premier League Club stands of today at 1.36 per game or 41 goals in 30 games played.
On the defensive side, only three clubs, ironically all NorthWest rivals, Man Utd, Man City and Liverpool have conceded less and Everton are NINE goals to the good defensively against that mean figure.
At the other end of the pitch, Everton are 11 goals to the shy of the average goalscoring, 41, with a meagre 30... where would we be with those 11 goals to give us merely an AVERAGE attacking record? Drenthe's goal against Arsenal would have provided a point to start with...
My estimate, based on if we were merely an average attack, would be fighting for fifth place with Chelsea.
Please note, that I do know that mean scores are limited in their usage and reliability, but 11 goals down so far... that's just an extra goal every three matches!
Trevor Powell, Posted 25/03/2012 at 16:46:43
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The attack/defence balance gives the opposition the freedom of the park when we always fall back to the half-way line and allow them to do what they want. Stracq at least disrupts this, and the whole team benefits.
And as was saw yesterday, when the likes of Pienaar and Baines carry the ball forward we dictate play and create chances. I'll take Jelavic for Saha any day, but he will struggle if we don't get forward rapidly to support him. And an extra 15, 20 or hopefully more goals per season would transform our league position. It wouldn't mean that we would stop defending well.
I almost always play the role of defending him on this website because of the sheer nonsense that comes from his critics but, if only he would've taken a few more risks in home games earlier in the season, I think we'd be where you say, battling with Chelsea and comfortably ahead of Liverpool.
There's no way of knowing that though, and the good results we have had may not have happened had we already been that high up and our more illustrious opponents had not been lulled into taking us lightly. It's a funny old game, a funny old world, and counter-factuals can only ever be a bit of fun speculation without offering any true insight.
Fantastic servant but sadly over the last 12 months more of a liability, it did not go unnoticed that our play became more expansive after he was taken off yesterday.
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517 Posted 25/03/2012 at 17:54:53
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If we'd scored those 11 goals to give us an 'average' attacking record it's likely we'd have conceded the 9 to give us an average defensive record...
All in all I don't think we'd be a lot better off.