Season 2011-12
The Mail Bag
Seven Remaining Games
With 31 games done and dusted, our focus is now on the remaining 7 games till the end of the season.
Starting with Norwich away this Saturday to the home game against Newcastle on the last day of the season, where do you think we will finish come Sunday, the 13th of May 2012?
On paper, most of the games look winnable bar the Man Utd game at Old Trafford where we traditionally never take any points.
Can we get at least get 18 points from the remaining fixtures to end the season with 61 points and finish 6th or 7th?
Wally Melwani, Posted 02/04/2012 at 08:19:51
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And as for the claim that "our focus is now on the remaining 7 games till the end of the season" - I think there's a match on the 14th April that is drawing quite a lot of focus from the remaining league fixtures. It is with the Evertonians that I've been talking to anyway...
I think the FA cup will distract and that 7th would be good. 8th decent.
Anything else is a bonus.
I felt before the season started that we would end on 53 points and still believe that is where we will end up particularly given the cup distraction
Table I ended up with:
1 Man Utd 38 58 93
2 Man City 38 58 86
3 Tottenham 38 30 79
4 Arsenal 38 23 75
5 Chelsea 38 23 68
6 Newcastle 38 10 67
7 Swansea 38 1 57
8 Sunderland 38 8 53
9 Everton 38 -1 52
10 Liverpool 38 3 50
11 Norwich 38 -12 45
12 Stoke 38 -16 45
13 Fulham 38 -8 44
14 West Brom 38 -10 42
15 Bolton 38 -28 37
16 Blackburn 38 -23 36
17 Aston Villa 38 -18 34
18 QPR 38 -28 30
19 Wigan 38 -34 29
20 Wolves 38 -41 24
1 Man Utd 20
2 Man City 15
3 Tottenham 21
4 Arsenal 17
5 Chelsea 15
6 Newcastle 14
7 Swansea 18
8 Sunderland 12
9 Everton 9
10 Liverpool 8
11 Norwich 6
12 Stoke 7
13 Fulham 5
14 West Brom 6
15 Bolton 8
16 Blackburn 8
17 Aston Villa 1
18 QPR 2
19 Wigan 1
20 Wolves 2
I can see a tall dark stranger entering your life. But he probably won't...
I filled in the predictor a game at a time. Each game I put what I thought. That ended up, without me realising, with 7 victories for Spurs. Looking back at it, I think Spurs are unlikely to win their next 7. Instead of carping, have a go yourself maybe - it was just meant as a bit of fun,and in line with the original post...
I tried doing that predictor but it doesn't allow for putting Swansea into administration and the 3 point deduction Man United are going to get for De Gea punching Balotelli.
We need to win this FA Cup, Moyes will never be given a better chance.
Yeah - we can do that!
:o)
Here's my own stab at results (can't be bothered predicting everyone else's matches):
Norwich (A) - 2-1 win
Sunderland (H) 1-0 win
Man U (A) - 0-2 loss
Fulham (H) 2-0 win
Stoke (A) 1-1 draw
Wolves (A) 2-2 draw
Newcastle (H) 2-1 win
Total of 4 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat = 14 points.
Leaving us on 57 which I think would be enough to see us in 7th, but maybe 8th
Of course, as has been said above, the matches that matter so much more are on 14th April and (hopefully) the back-end of May as they represent the best chance of silverware, glory and European competition next year.
On that front I honestly have no idea how either match will go, we haven't got a great record against the Reds in cup competitions and the form book tends to go out of the window in derby games. As for Spurs and Chelsea, I think this too is incredibly open, Harry will want to part on a high note and he's also going to want to deal another blow to Chelsea confidence for the top 4 battle, so I don't think there's any chance Spurs will hold off in favour of focusing on the league.
I suppose the hollywood script sees us defeating Liverpool, then coming from behind to overturn Chelsea in the final.
It's very hard to predict the end of the season as I fear a 2005esq collapse in form should we get knocked out of the cup on the 14th.
Norwich away on Saturday will not be an easy game. We beat Swansea not just because we played well but also because they didn't really turn up on the day, so we'll see which Norwich turn up. I think we'll get abouut 11 points from the last 7 games leaving us 7th or 8th at the end of the day.
(2) I wondered on another thread whether the RS were mathematically safe. I'd "luv it" if someone could use the predictor to demonstrate that Stevie Gee could be heading for Leeds and some other places next year.
But I'd love it, I'd just love it...
However a relegation fight would be lovely to watch though.
Rub a little salt into the open wounds of the fallen king kenny, Kenny "LOSER" Daglish, hahahahaha.
His face when they lose is the most ugly face I have ever seen, and his face when they scored against us was just as ugly..
Kenny deserves all the shit he can get after protecting Suarez like he did.
Daglish sort of represents all that is bad about liverpool fc.
How fitting.
And they had the nerve to chant 10 years and no trophy.
It gives me great joy to see that man suffer and also to hear the phone-ins from disgruntled red shite supporters.
More of the same please. Hope they keep Daglish on for many more years.
For me, every player in the other 16 teams in the league would prefer to be in the Cup semis as well as trying to finish as high as possible in the league, and our players and manager should be having a right go of both competitions.
Six from seven? Probably not, but definitely possible.
Attitude Mr M... Attitude. Daring deeds give results. Have the courage to win the games instead of the fear of loosing them.
VanNistelrooy had his career, Yak his. Never a day was Ruud more gifted. We see where they both wound up.
We don't have zero chance. 21 points up for grabs. Newcastle and Chelsea have to come back to us as we go towards them. No question.
Let's see how the next 2-3 weeks go before we state "zero chance".
What chance did we have on January 1st this year? But here we are.
3 wins 2 draws and 2 defeats seems about right. Still to play Sunderland at home, who'll want revenge for their FA Cup exit, Newcastle are still pushing for top 4 and Utd always beat us.
What's the line on 6th for EFC over there?
The phrase 'mathematically possible' should be taken with a pinch of salt.
By the way, Arsenal have a 'mathematical chance' of winning the league and Chelsea and Newcaslte (the teams we would be chasing to overtake) have a mathematical chance of finishing 2nd!
Even IF we won all our remaining games (and thats a hell of an IF), both Chelsea and Newcastle would have to lose around half of theirs. Last time I looked, they were doing quite well (hence being 5th and 6th!).
Not exactly unwinnable fixtures for them.
But the 5th and 6th place teams are right above us and why should I follow my team for the last 7 games (or any one of them for that matter) without holding out hope.
It doesn't happen, it doesn't. The games will get played and we'll see.
To be honest you can use any logic you want to back up your position and although not impossible, we will not finish 6th (using your line of thought, we also have to play Stoke away, nevermind Manure away).
(When I was at school I used to do the whole 'if we win all our remaining games we could finish Xth' etc - then I grew up and learnt that that sort of thinking never comes off. (No offence to James).
Personally, given how utterly shite we were between Aug and Jan, 7th would be a minor miracle, although it says more about the standard of the league than anything else. We should also say a big thankyou to lady luck for results like Blackburn and Fulham away, take 6 points off our total and we'd be 14th!
Am pumping all my optimism into Wembley for now - any voodoo dolls going about to curse the RS?
One game at a time and all that.....
More important, we have to beat them in the semi and finally get some silverware? the boys, David and all of us deserves it.
Being from Denmark and an Evertonian since 1977 (6-0 v Coventry), I have just discovered this site and I'm loving it, so thanks to you all - for the site and all the inside information I get from reading the colums and comments.
COYB
Listen guys, that's why they are the top 4, they hardly ever get beat by any of the other teams in the EPL ? never mind us. More often, if they are beaten on home turf, this is seen as a shock win.
Do you really want to bring up the records of past managers? I'm not sure why you would... but let's just take a look at Joe Royle, God love him! The last really great Anfield victory came on his watch. If only this current shithouse of a manager would go to Anfield with that kind of attitude...
As for the dumbest of comments... don't tempt me..
Same as me. All I'm saying about the last few games. We don't finish higher, we don't.
To get 5th, Chelsea and Newcastle will have to come back to us as well as we keep winning as they do so. What's the chances? Slim, right?
But the games haven't been played yet. Why should I tune in this weekend hoping we finish ahead of those beneath us? Rather read a book then cheer my team on with that mindset.
They're not better managed, coached (or determined) over 38 games. But in the course of a season, their margin for error is much larger than ours because they can afford the price for the best talent.
Wait . . . unless you were serious. Were you?
Oh c'mon, that's just too easy. Possibly the softest target since Macauley Culkin opted to sunbathe nude at Neverland and innocently asked 'Mike' to smear suntan lotion on his scrotum.
James [878] - it was merely my efforts on that predictor thingy - I found the results very pleasing, even if a tad unlikely to be replicated in reality.
However, his general refereeing has deteriorated noticeably over the last couple of seasons and, in my opinion, he is now an attention seeker in the league of Graham Poll.
Therefore I fully expect the RS to be given a ridiculous penalty, or us to be denied a clear one, as Webb would then receive great praise from the RS-loving media.
I'd add, and not just at you Gavin, why are the players somehow exempted from our poor showings against these 4 teams? Really, it's all Moyes' fault?
I'm thinking we have gone up against teams at their place who had better players.
Let's flip Moyes and Ferguson. How would EFC have faired better over the 10 years by the magical presence of the other Scot manager?
I can only hope that David Moyes or any of our current squad WILL NEVER look at this site...it's not exactly going to fill them with confidence or a sense of belonging is it?
We have every chance of winning the FA cup and building a better, stronger squad for next season.
I wouldn't feel inclined to call him such names if he had a more positive and upbeat attitude toward his job ? especially when it comes to playing against them bastards.
He dug his own hole here; let's see what pre-match bullshit he comes out with this time... at least we can believe that he is actually trying to set the team up to win this time... although I'm far from convinced.
Please stop using this as an argument - it can't be proved and on the basis of what we know it's completely wrong as well.
With what money Adrian? Do you know something we don't?
"nonsense. a) Because it can't be proved". OK. It can't.
My view is that the position of manager is over-rated. Yet, some rate, Ferguson and Moyes among the few.
However, you follow "can't be proved" with "Ferguson would've wiped the floor with Moyes achievements over the past ten years had he been in charge at EFC". Haha. Make up your mind. Can't have it both ways.
I rate Ferguson. But he's only done as well as the talent he's had. Just like Moyes. Just like Mourhino. Just like Pep, and whatever manager we'd name. No more or less.
Here, let's leave EFC and ManU out of it.
The bottom 5 teams in EPL have allowed the most goals. Let's say Moyes, Ferguson, Mourhino, Pep (a maybe on him) took over those teams. How would they improve?
On known past performance, those managers would train them towards allowing fewer goals and would be successful doing so. They all have a track record that way (with a ? on Pep).
But how would any of those same managers make the players on those rosters better players? How?
I don't know how. You don't. Which puts us in the same boat as Moyes, Fergy, etc.
Flip Moyes with Ferguson these last 10 years, and you flip the view of them. Moyes - "He's underachieved in the CL".
Ferguson - "Drab, dour, defeatist, etc".
Managers are over-rated. Very few count at all. ManU has one of them who do. So does Everton. ManU has more money, so more talent available. Everton suffers a crippling loss of funds by signing Bily.
Yeah, Ferguson's a better manager. Bullshit.
So are we to believe these teams have a better record over the past ten years than Everton? It doesnt make sense to hand pick certain games as if it were they were the only measure of how good we are.. So what would you rather us do, have the odd big win away against the elite teams, but then fuck up against the rest of the league? Cos thats what other teams do....all the time. And that's why they all finish beneath us.....all the time.
If were talking league performances, reflected by league position then Moyes outshines anyone, including any manager outside of the money clubs. Why is this so hard to understand?
We can argue all day about whether his teams are good to watch or not, but its complete bullshit to analyse his performance....by actually ignoring most of the fucking games Moyes wins us!
Talk about the proper top four ?- the teams placed 1st - 4th and Moyes's record stands up to any manager's.
It's called coaching, James. Not sure if you've ever been coached, or coached someone yourself, but the coach/manager has a fair bit of impact on how a player turns out.
Do you think Ferguson got lucky with his youngsters in the 90s? That he just happened to get two brothers that were exceptional footballers?
Likewise, do you think Moyes was just unlucky that one of our better prospects that came to Everton as a youngster and showed more promise than any of the young players we have now decided to take his legal loophole and join a club that had only just gotten back into the Premier League? Or that the supposed 30million pound centre half/midfielder has turned out to be a sideways passing liability?
They're not better managed, coached (or determined) over 38 games. But in the course of a season, their margin for error is much larger than ours because they can afford the price for the best talent." really does mean you are talking about every other team in the premier league as not just once but twice you say over 38 games; we don't play the top four 38 times a season, we play the content of the league over those 38 games QED every other team so yes you did mention every other team twice.
I would guess that this record is statistically un-balanced due to Moyeses undue caution tilting the balance against us.
Until he changes his ethos over the long term our results won't.
Not so much Moyes out as Moyes change - get a grip ffs
He took the best players from all of the clubs around the country. Beckham from Spurs, Giggs from Man City, Butt and Scholes from Oldham etc. These players were well known to be outstanding talents when he brought them in - not unlike Barkley or Rooney type figures. So lucky? No ... calculated and really possible anymore. Every clubs has cottoned on and there is the small matter of compensation payable. Secondly, that team of kids in the 90's wouldn't be as succesful now. They were the best players in a league that was made of up the best domestic players, with a few foreigners scattered here and there. Now, the top end of the premier league is a collection of the best players hand picked from around the world. If you think that is how easy it is, why would Man Utd now be routinely bringing in players for £15-30m (+) every year. Why wouldn't they just bring through a Scholes and a Giggs every year and be set?
I'd rather finish in the higher in the league and not beat certain teams away (nb our home record against them in recent seasons is good) than beat those teams away but finish lower overall.
It's a matter of opinion about how a player might turn out under the tutelage of certain coaches, and in my opinion, if Moyes were in SAF's position in the early 90s, he wouldn't have known what to do with Beckham even if he had have signed him from Tottenham, and he wouldn't have brought in a player like Giggs. He probably would have loved the shit out of Butt's back passes though.
I get absolutely hounded for some of my OPINION based ideas, but James comes out with "Coaches don't make that much of a difference" and it slides?
James,
You come out with some crackers. My favourite up to now was the time you claimed Everton would definately, without a shadow of a doubt, win the league if they loaned Jack Rodwell to LA Galaxy during the summer.
However, you've finally managed to reach new heights of Herman Munster dozy-as-fuckness if, with a straight face, you seriously maintain that a guy who dragged Scottish minnows Aberdeen above Rangers and Celtic and led them to European glory, who led Utd to the league title after 27 yrs of waiting and went on to win a further 36 trophies, is no better than a guy who nearly got Preston promoted to the PL once and nearly got Everton to the CL once.
In your mind, the only differences between the two are that Moyes has had less money to spend and Fergies pubes are greyer? Here's a nice little snapshot of how or leaves the other in the shade, provided by our own David Moyes:
"When I was at Preston, Alex rang me out of the blue one afternoon to discuss a 14-year-old we had at the club. If I'm honest, I wasn't even sure of the boy's name but Alex knew all about him and was keen for him to go to United's academy. I found that a real eye-opener. With everything he had going on at first- team level and all the pressure that accompanies it, to be able to know such precise details of a young kid showed his attention to detail."
No, I didn't comment on what James said, I commented on what you said. Whether James was right or wong (and I haven't read his post - but from what you say I'd probably disagree with him) the fact remains that I still disgree with what you said.
/>http://www.dailymail.co.uk/sport/football/article-2057320/Sir-Alex-Ferguson-25-years-Manchester-United-What-best-ever.html
What I'm saying is, that those players were considered outstanding. That is why Alex Ferguson brought them in. Its not like he's some magician who turns average players into outstanding one's - and do I think that if Beckham had stayed at Spurs he'd have turned as good as he did? Yes. Giggs at City? Yes. They might have been sold and gone on elsewhere to accomplish their ambitions - but it would have been for a lot of money. A bit like Rooney (you know, the one that Englands best player at Euro 2002). Point is Roman, what Ferguson (or Rose, you know, the one that was actually coaching them ) did 20 years ago with that group of players what fantastic. It was forward thinking and big played a huge role in making Man Utd the force that it is today. BUT what I am saying, is that you can't do it now. As I asked before, if you can - why doesn't he?
The problem is Moyes goes defensive and negative against top 4 and the shite away from home.
I've said, and repeating, few count; Moyes and Ferguson among that few. But if Ferguson (or Pep, Mourhino, etc) is so much better a manager than Moyes explain to me how EFC would be better if he (or any of the others) took over as manager?
I'm the easiest guy to confince of most anything. How would we improve in the Table if one of the other top managers took over from Moyes? Same players, same financial situation. Ferguson et al would move us up the Table by their very presence? I'm all for it. Just explain how.
Speaking of crackers, "you claimed Everton would definately, without a shadow of a doubt, win the league if they loaned Jack Rodwell to LA Galaxy during the summer". Haha. You know good and well I said no such thing.
I talked Rodders on loan to Galaxy as part of a possible deal to get LD to Everton. I also proposed the deal would be good for Everton as teenage Rodwell would be playing during the off-season instead of sitting around.
Not sure what you're getting at with the rest of your post. I've said, and apparently keep having to repeat, I rate Ferguson. Not because of the silverware. But because he's done well with what he's had to work with talent-wise and done it consistenly.
However, you or anyone have to explain to me (and I'm ready to be convinced) how EFC would have faired better over these last 10 years with Ferguson in charge.
Or better, 18 points left to play for and in the FA Cup semis. Moyes out. Ferguson in. What would improve? I'm all for it. You tell me. What would improve?
(171) - Yes, I think over 38 games the best teams finish the highest. And they're the best because they have the most talent. Not sure why that's for dispute. Happens every year.
Or do you think we have the most talent, but Moyes is keeping us mid-table?
That's it? You're pulling my leg, right? Ferguson made Ruud, Rooney, and Ronaldo better by his "coaching"? How about Cantona? Ferguson "coached" him to a ManU legend? Please.
Great players make themselves great. Not any coach or manager. A manager might point them in the right direction. That I believe. But nothing more. You send Ferguson (or Moyes) to QPR, QPR might evade relegation. But they're not storming up the Table until they get better talent in; whoever the manager is.
Really, I'm open to improvement for our team. New manager Ferguson. We improve how? And why, incidentally?
James, #365, utter garbage.
I think they'd be fine representatives of the Club. Just not getting how we'd fare better with them in charge instead of Moyes.
How would we be better with one of them in charge Roman? I want us to be better. You do. We're in agreement there. Just, I'm not seeing how getting in one of the others instead of Moyes improves us.
Seemingly, you do. Enlighten me. I'm all for it. Moyes out! Fergy (or whoever) in. I'm stoked! Some manager other than Moyes, up the Table we sprint.
Roman, you got me fired up. Hit me. Bring on this magical manager who'll move us up the Table.
Slow your roll brother. My stance isn't radical. Most managers don't count. Any sport. They don't. Some do, Ferguson and Moyes among them.
You want this fellow Postecoglou given a go? Fine. Bold of you, radical even. But a bridge too far for me. I'll stick to a Moyes or Ferguson.
Let's get back to Fergy improving us. How?
Couldn't watch the game today because the misses insisted I go kite-flying with our grandson. Can you believe that? Fucking kite-flying! Yeah, I went. He had a ball. So OK.
But this is the shit the women should be doing, especially on game day. But our daughter was in class for ITIL certification (You fucking Brits!) and my wife "had" to go to Lowes to buy flowers for the Spring. She "had" to. Left me the the little rascal.
Fuck it. We had fun. And good for him, he couldn't just point at something and have women leap to as he's used to.
On the other hand, Gibson and me have kept our streak alive. Alas, Gibbo could only get us the draw we would have turned into 3 points if Flynn was there screaming at the TV. Ah well.
My grandson had fun. Little bastard.
James, if coaches are so worthless, why do they exist at all? Why not simply allow the players to do their own thing?
Did your grandson learn to fly a kite all by his "little bastard" self, or did somebody, horror of horrors, coach him?
Similarly, footballers will not learn how to play as a team all by themselves. Should club owners/chairmen simply pull 11 names out of a hat and say get on with it? That appears to be your argument. Would this work in any other industry?
Does nobody need to be told how to improve and/or how to do their job?
The coach watches the opposition teams games, notes their strengths and weaknesses and passes that information onto his players and devises a plan to use his own team strengths to exploit the oposition weaknesses and plug up his own.
That's how it's done on Super Strikers anyway.
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416 Posted 02/04/2012 at 14:23:48
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