How to Reach the Top 4

Mike Oates 07/02/2019 10comments  |  Jump to last

Moshiri – our long wanted billionaire – has just stated that Everton’s future is linked to Silva with the emphasis linked to bringing youth through to the first team. Can Silva do it, can Brand’s academy and scouts find the stars or is Moshiri expecting far too much. Why can’t he give us a start like the recent billionaires did elsewhere.

Let’s look at two clubs taken over by billionaires, namely Abramovich at Chelsea and the Qatar royalty at Man City, and see what commitment they’ve made.

Abramovich took Chelsea over in 2003, just after they won the FA Cup, he gave the existing manager Ranreiri year, then he sacked him after spending £153m to win the FA Cup. He then took on Mourinho from Porto. He immediately gave Mourinho £170m to spend on players (probably £450m in today’s transfer values) and Mourinho delivered by winning the Premier League in 2004-05 and 2005-06.

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Mourinho had a few world class players already there, Makelele and Robben, probably being the main two players. Chelsea since under Abramovich have won a further 5 FA cups, 3 further Premier leagues, 3 League Cups, 1 Champions League, and 1 Europa League – so 16 trophies in 15 years, spending over £1.5bn and recouping £680m, and he’s gone through 10 managers in that time and bought 98 players.

The Qatar family took Manchester City over in 2008 after 25 years of not winning anything. The existing manager Mark Hughes was sacked after a year after finishing 10th in the league and he was given a £40m player in Robinho as a start, plus another £80m for players (in today's inflated transfers £250m?). He was replaced by Mancini who after 2 years, had got City into the Europa League after finishing 5th and then he won FA Cup, then in his 3rd season he got them into the Champions League after finishing 3rd.

He was given transfer monies totalling £350m in his 3 years, then he was sacked and Pellegrini was brought in who won them the Premier League in 2012, and 2014 and a League Cup. Pellegrini was given £250m in his 3 years. After a barren year with only finishing 2nd in the league, he was sacked to be replaced by current Guardiola who in his 3 years has won the League Cup twice and the Premier League once and spent £520m.

So, in total, the family have injected £1.3bn in their 10 years at the club and received back £350m in transfers, and they’ve bought 89 players. Trophy wise, it’s not as dynamic as Chelsea with 3 Premier Leagues, 3 League Cups and a FA Cup and they’ve only used 4 managers.

It’s fair to say both clubs have bought their way into success and have not really tried to use any serious academy, homegrown talent. Mourinho is notorious for avoiding youth, as is Guardiola, who quite clearly stated that with the time he got to obtain success at Bayern Munich and Man City he couldn’t/can’t rely on youth. He doesn’t like this, and his record at Barcelona showed he used youth, but again he says he knew the whole youth system there is set up to bring players through who are steeped in the Barcelona style and who know their jobs.

Both clubs also very quickly got into obtaining World Class managers, experienced, proven managers, who had done it at European level and had had success elsewhere.

So where do Everton stand? Moshiri took over Everton in Feb 2016 and has spent £320m on transfers in 3 years and recouped £186m. To be fair to the man, his main cash input has been in takeover costs, clearing debt and new stadium support, probably near or over £300-350m, with at least another £100m on the stadium to come in the next 2-3 years.

He’s clearly not in the same league financially as Abramovich or the Qatar family and in today’s costs I just can’t see him pumping in £100-150m a year in getting top class players, let alone supporting the astronomical wages they’ll want. We’ve made that mistake already with the likes of Schneiderlin, Ramirez, Bolasie, Klaassen, Tosun, Walcott and probably more.

We are not clearly going to be supported as we probably all thought 3 years ago with a mega billionaire throwing cash around like there’s no tomorrow. We haven’t taken on any European or English proven manager as I suspect Moshiri and Co know they’ll want the big monies transfer deals, and our only hope to get up there into the Champions League places is by bringing through youth either from our own academy or Brands finding the £10m gems from elsewhere, youngsters itching to be given an opportunity and only asking for a meagre £30-50k a week, rather than Ramirez’s £120k a week.

So our only route is a young manager with potential, a proven director of football and on the hope that we can find at least 6 youngsters who have the potential to become future Premier League class players. It probably won’t be as quick as Chelsea’s and Man City, more like the Spurs model, as Moshiri recently said. Is Silva the new Pochettino?

The major worry I have is that Pochettino inherited a team from Harry Rednapp at Spurs in 2014 who already had gained a top 4 place 3 years before, then 5th and 6th and already contained Vertonghen, Dembele, Eriksen, LLoris in it; within a year, Pochettino had supplemented them with Alli, Dier, Davies, Tripper, Wanyama and Alderweireld, total fees for all 6 players: £37m!! And of course they had the gem of Harry Kane from the academy. The 25-goal-a-season absolute-must player all top clubs need.

He got rid of about 2 dozen deadwood players within 2 years, including Sigurdsson, Livermore, Townsend, Solado, Kaboul and Paulinho. The rest since has been a roller coated ride for them, with 5th place in his first year and virtually top 4 since. He hasn’t won any trophies yet, but no doubt they are now top 4 material.

Not sure at all whether Silva has inherited anything special and we’ve got plenty of deadwood to shift ourselves. Oh and only time will tell if Silva is as good as Pochettino.

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Reader Comments (10)

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Jim Bennings
1 Posted 10/02/2019 at 08:27:19
Forget talk of the top four.

The days when we could even finish top 7 look a distant memory now and next season will be equally as hard as this.

There are no pushovers in this league anymore and teams are regularly coming up from promotion and finishing in strong positions.

Everton have lost too many reliable players and characters between 2012 and 2017 and replaced them with lesser men that’s why we can no longer reach consistency or produce higher finishes.

The sales of Lukaku, Barkley and Stones haven’t seen them replaced with better players.

The sales of squad players like Deulofeu and Lennon haven’t seen drastic improvements in their place.

We replaced Gareth Barry with Schneiderlin enough said.

We have sat and watch Coleman go downhill with no idea of a top class long term replacement for him.

Baines has been replaced by a fairly competent Lucas Digne although still question marks over his defensive capabilities.

Have we replaced goals in midfield that we once got from the likes of Fellaini, Cahill or Osman?

No we haven’t.

Have we got a variety of striking options capable of sticking the ball in the net?

No we haven’t.

I think talk of top fours is just premature and you are talking about something years and years off now.

We can’t even win a game against a top four club.

Stan Schofield
2 Posted 10/02/2019 at 10:19:39
It would require someone with the wealth of Usmanov, otherwise it's difficult to see us getting higher than mid-table.

So on the face of it, given what Moshiri has said, we're going to continue in mid-table for the moment. If we want true glory at the very top, we need someone like Usmanov. I think it really is that simple.

Paul Birmingham
3 Posted 10/02/2019 at 20:59:00
Jim and Stan, well pitched and ever so true.

Right now the decline of the first team and its impact on investment, makes progress, with out heavy weight backing, look impossible.

I hope I’m miles off, and the road to recovery will be found, but this is the reality of the mess, the club is in.

Anthony A Hughes
4 Posted 10/02/2019 at 21:31:52
How much has Moshirii actually contributed to transfers from his own personal wealth though?

We've had huge income from the television deals and from out going transfers. I'm pretty sure all of our buys have come from these sources and not from the Moshiri's pockets.

Tony Everan
5 Posted 11/02/2019 at 16:40:14
Aguero, Salah, Kane, Lukaku, Hazard, Aubameyang, etc, etc...

Tosun.

James Hughes
6 Posted 11/02/2019 at 18:20:21
I have just read Aaron Ramsey has signed a £400k per week deal with Juve.

£400k PER WEEK!!! FOR RAMSEY... C'MON!?!?!

Brands needs to be a fucken genius to get us back to the top of the pile.

Jay Harris
7 Posted 11/02/2019 at 18:36:20
Good post, Mike, and I can't disagree with a word Jim has said.

I think we can safely say Silva is no Pocchetino so I don't know where we go from here but ever more depressing after a wave of euphoria when Moshiri took over.

Steve Ferns
8 Posted 11/02/2019 at 18:42:44
Why can you safely say that, Jay? Not every season Pochettino has had has been a stroll in the park. He had some difficult times himself. All managers do.

Back on topic, FFP prevents us copying what Man City and Chelsea did anyway. FFP is closing the door on the “big 6” so no-one else can break in by spending their way there. The only way is by a smart young coach and astute signings and development of young players.

You know, the strategy that takes time, is prone to downturns in form, and can be a bumpy road requiring lots of patience.

Ross Edwards
9 Posted 11/02/2019 at 20:04:51
Not every new foreign manager that comes to England will be as good as Pochettino. Silva is nowhere near his level.

Pochettino got the Spurs job 'cos of what he did at Southampton. I'm still wondering why Silva was deemed good enough to come here? His record in the Premier League is dreadful — he's been relegated and sacked.

Saying we should give Silva time 'cos it took Pochettino a season or two to turn Spurs into what they are is wishful thinking. Pochettino is a world-class manager; Silva is vastly overrated and is lucky to be at a club of our size.

Marios Alexandrou
10 Posted 13/02/2019 at 04:43:46
Football games are won on the field by players who are determined not to allow their opposition to play their game, who have the passion to win, who give 100% of their ability and many others.

If Everton want to be a Top Six Premier League Club, they need a Top Class Manager who will be able to make Everton great again and make its players believe in themselves. It's time to be professional.

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